Richmond (Yorks)

2015 Result:
Conservative: 27744 (54.8%)
Labour: 7124 (14.1%)
Lib Dem: 3465 (6.8%)
Green: 2313 (4.6%)
UKIP: 8194 (16.2%)
Independent: 1811 (3.6%)
MAJORITY: 19550 (38.6%)

Category: Ultra-safe Conservative seat

Geography: Yorkshire and Humberside, North Yorkshire. The whole of Richmondshire council area and part of Hambleton council area.

Main population centres: Northallerton, Richmond, Stokesley, Leyburn.

Profile: A geographically huge seat that covers a vast swathe of rural North Yorkshire, including much of the Yorkshire Dales national park, Swaledale and Wensleydale, and part of the North Yorkshire Moors to the East. Most of the constituency is small villages and hamlets - the only towns are Northallerton, Richmond, Stokesley and Leyburn. The local economy relies upon agriculture and tourism, though the constituency also includes the army base at Catterick Garrison.

Politics: Richmond is a very safe Tory seat, held by the party over a century, notably by former Foreign Secretary William Hague and former Home Secretary Leon Brittan. William Hague held it only narrowly in the 1989 by-election that originally returned him to Parliament, with only the split between the SLD and the continuing SDP seeing Hague home safely.


Current MP
RISHI SUNAK (Conservative) Born Hampshire. Educated at Winchester College and Oxford University. Former businessman. First elected as MP for Richmond (Yorks) in 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 33541 (63%)
Lab: 8150 (15%)
LDem: 10205 (19%)
GRN: 1516 (3%)
MAJ: 23336 (44%)
2005*
Con: 26722 (59%)
Lab: 8915 (20%)
LDem: 7982 (18%)
GRN: 1581 (3%)
MAJ: 17807 (39%)
2001
Con: 25951 (59%)
Lab: 9632 (22%)
LDem: 7890 (18%)
Oth: 561 (1%)
MAJ: 16319 (37%)
1997
Con: 23326 (49%)
Lab: 13275 (28%)
LDem: 8773 (18%)
MAJ: 10051 (21%)

*There were boundary changes after 2005

Demographics
2015 Candidates
RISHI SUNAK (Conservative) Born Hampshire. Educated at Winchester College and Oxford University. Businessman.
MIKE HILL (Labour) Trade union officer.
JOHN HARRIS (Liberal Democrat) Teacher. Married to Baroness Harris of Richmond.
MATTHEW COOKE (UKIP) Accountant.
LESLIE ROWE (Green) Accountant and charity management consultant. Contested Croydon North West 1987, Ealing Acton 1992 for the Liberal Democrats, Richmond (Yorks) 2005, 2010 for the Greens.
JOHN BLACKIE (Independent) Richmondshire councillor, Leader of Richmondshire council, North Yorkshire councillor .
ROBIN SCOTT (Independent) Born Catterick. Educated at Wensleydale School and Newcastle University. Businessman. Richmondshire councillor since 2013, originally elected as a Conservative.
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Comments - 213 Responses on “Richmond (Yorks)”
  1. Democracy – “significantly better off under Blair” – really?

    But the personal tax allowance has doubled since then. IIRC the IFS said that 80% have received tax cuts in each of the years of the past decade. Even more if you take into account fuel duty freezes and so on.

  2. Lancs

    I haven’t in truth done any exact calculations, it would probably depend on how much over £100k you earn but the loss of the personal allowance over that amount would obviously start to offset the increase in personal allowance since then.

  3. I do feel that at least somebody should be making the case for more broad-based tax rises, though. They should be sold as a price we should be happy to all pay for a good society, rather than (as the modern left often seems to do) a tool for punishing the rich.

  4. Nobody wants to punish the rich.

  5. Well as HH has been saying, something has to be done to combat the national debt continuing from spiralling out of control. It can’t go on forever unchecked and it’s the more vulnerable in society who would be hit hardest were a default to happen.
    I wonder if a tax touted for a particular purpose might work well – a national debt surcharge!? I would gladly pay a bit of extra tax if I was assured it would be ring fenced for defence spending for example (suspect many may not share this particular view though!)

  6. PT

    I’m not sure the last time they asked a ‘would you be willing to pay more tax for better public services’ question but whenever they did during the 1980s and 90s people mostly said they would

    Since then the perception was that Labour pumped lots of money into public services yet there was no real improvement. Whilst neither of these are strictly speaking true (certainly not the no improvement bit), even if it were, Labour didn’t do it through rising income tax levels, which they went out of their way to avoid, and were quite explicit about it too

    The only people really making the case for large tax rises over the past 20/30 years has been the Corbynistas and we all now know how that ended up

    Another point is that the cost of living is considerably more nowadays, in no small part as a result if indirect taxes. It costs a good couple of hundred quid for a good night out and that never used to be the case, and things like childcare and good food cost much more in real terms than they used to

    There is a case for tax rises but at the moment the Right seem to be winning the argument that putting more money into something doesn’t always make it better whereas invariably it does

    I’m not from the Left so I can’t speak for them but they need to up their game considerably.

  7. Which is exactly why it’s such a poor sales pitch!

    The weird thing is, it’s Momentum folk who are the sort of people to volunteer at food banks and night shelters. They have noble intentions. But come election time they didn’t really mention any of that stuff much. Their message seemed to be that the 95% were all equally victims of the status quo (hence no tax rises for any of them); I felt that was somewhat insulting to the 20 – 30% who *really* need the help. Instead I saw a lot of “the rich are scared of us, and they are right to be.”

  8. Previous post was addressed to Matt Wilson, obvs.

    Tim: even the Corbynites never committed to *broad* tax rises. (“95% will pay no more”, which was designed to deflect Tory criticisms about the government stealing your wages but ended up dumping Labour with another problem, that it ended up looking like the numbers didn’t add up.)

  9. TJ

    The problem with putting more money into public services is whilst they do generally improve as you say, it doesn’t tend to be proportionate to the amount of money put in (difficult if not impossible to quantify I know but I think that’s the way most people see it).

  10. You make my point Democracy – that probably is the way most people see it and I agree that what’s needed is better and more creative ways of spending that money and I guess you only do that when you have good people at the top willing to take bold decisions and able to take those that work for them with them. I see little evidence of that currently

  11. I came across a boigraphy of Sunaks and saw he was married to an Asian origin woman. I don’t know why but I was surprised. This made me wonder how many other BAME Tory MPs have partners/spouses that were similarly mono racial.

    The answer is very very few.

    The following have spouses/partners that are all Brotish White: Helen Grant, Ranil Jayawardene, J Cleverley, Derren Henry, P Patel, Alok Sharma, Kwasi Kwarteng, Nadhim Zahawi, Adam Afriye, Nusrat Ghani, Suella Braverman, Shailesh Vara,  Sajid Javid, Bim Afalomi, Kemi Badenoch, Claire Coutinho and Gagant Mohindra.

    All except Rishi Sunak and Wolverhampton MP Paul Uppal.

    I cannot find info Meridien MP Saqib Bhatti and Rainham’s Rehman Chishti. The Wakefield MP Ahmad-Khan is a bit of a mystery.

  12. “The Wakefield MP Ahmad-Khan is a bit of a mystery.”

    Selected in a panic at the 11th hour just before the election, due to the previous candidate having to resign because of scandal.

    Such poorly vetted MPs are always at particular risk of turning into rotten apples….let’s hope he isn’t another Jared O’Mara or Fiona Onsanaya. Though in fairness he probably won’t be, his articles on ConHome have been pretty good.

  13. Hot take time: the calamitous drop in GDP Britain has suffered has demonstrated the success of the furlough scheme. When people receive money for staying at home, of course they will be disincentivised to go to work. (Which was the *entire* point of the furlough scheme.) I do, however, dear what is going to happen to such people as furlough comes to an end – many of their jobs will have disappeared regardless.

    Separately, I also notice a lot of government critics have pivoted seamlessly from “the Tories are sacrificing lives to save the economy” to “this whole lives-vs-economy thing is a false dichotomy”, which is disingenuous as hell.

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