East Renfrewshire

2015 Result:
Conservative: 12465 (22%)
Labour: 19295 (34%)
Lib Dem: 1069 (1.9%)
SNP: 23013 (40.6%)
UKIP: 888 (1.6%)
MAJORITY: 3718 (6.6%)

Category: Marginal SNP seat

Geography: Scotland, West. The whole of the East Renfrewshire council area.

Main population centres: Barrhead, Clarkston, Busby, Eaglesham, Giffnock, Newton Mearns.

Profile: A outer suburbs of the Glasgow conurbanation and the rural hinterland to the south-west of Glasgow. This is an affluent, middle-class commuter area with a high proportion of owner-occupiers and professionals. Clarkston used to be a dry area until planning permission for the first pub in the area was given in 2006. Renfrewshire East has the largest Jewish population of any seat in Scotland, with almost half of Scotland`s Jewish population living in the area.

Politics: Anywhere outside Scotland this would probably be a safe Conservative seat, and up until 1997 it was one of the safest Conservative seats in Scotland. Scotland is no country for Conservatives though, it fell to Labour in 1997 under Jim Murphy. Murphy rose to the Labour cabinet and in opposition took on the doomed role of Scottish Labour leader following the 2014 referendum, losing his own seat in the subsequent SNP landslide.


Current MP
KIRSTEN OSWALD (SNP) Educated at Glasgow University. Former HR professional. First elected as MP for Renfrewshire East in 2015.
Past Results
2010
Con: 15567 (30%)
Lab: 25987 (51%)
LDem: 4720 (9%)
SNP: 4535 (9%)
Oth: 372 (1%)
MAJ: 10420 (20%)
2005
Con: 14158 (30%)
Lab: 20815 (44%)
LDem: 8659 (18%)
SNP: 3245 (7%)
Oth: 528 (1%)
MAJ: 6657 (14%)
2001*
Con: 13895 (29%)
Lab: 23036 (48%)
LDem: 6239 (13%)
SNP: 4137 (9%)
Oth: 1061 (2%)
MAJ: 9141 (19%)
1997
Con: 17530 (34%)
Lab: 20766 (40%)
LDem: 6110 (12%)
SNP: 6826 (13%)
Oth: 1003 (2%)
MAJ: 3236 (6%)

2015 Candidates
DAVID MONTGOMERY (Conservative) Educated at Bearsden Academy and Glasgow University. Medical Director and surgeon.
JIM MURPHY (Labour) Born 1967, Glasgow. Educated at Milnerton High School, South Africa and Strathclyde University. President of the NUS. MP for Eastwood 1997 to 2015. PPS to Helen Liddell 2001-02, Government Whip 2002-2005, Parliamentary Secretary, Cabinet Office 2005-06, Minister of State for Employment and Welfare Reform 2006-07, Minister of State for Europe 2007-08, Secretary of State for Scotland 2008-10. Shadow Secretary of State for Scotland 2010, Shadow Defence Secretary 2010-2013. Shadow International Development Secretary 2013-2014. Leader of the Scottish Labour party 2015.
GRAEME COWIE (Liberal Democrat)
ROBERT MALYN (UKIP)
KIRSTEN OSWALD (SNP) Educated at Glasgow University. HR professional.
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Comments - 682 Responses on “Renfrewshire East”
  1. As I have said HH it is a dumbed down understanding. There is a very clear correspondence between labour specialisation and disposable income by state. Germany is more service-based than industry-based

    Take the following example:
    In Europe the states with the largest share of industry-based workforces include Belarus, Czech Republic, Slovenia, Ukraine and Romania. The clear leaders of the European economy, obviously.

    In terms of GDP, industry dominates the north of Africa and the west of Asia whilst services dominate the west of Europe and North America.

  2. Let me also point out: this highly affluent suburban seat is mostly populated by professionals of service occupations – not the miners of the Central belt or the shipbuilders of the Clyde, who generally populate the more deprived corners of Greater Glasgow.

  3. HH is correct on the Uni %.

    It still staggers me how many new young journalists assume everyone goes to University (because presumably 80% of their cohort did).

    In half of Merseyside 50% STILL don’t even stay on post-16. Or didn’t on the 2011 figures. I realise the Govt now makes them continue to 17 (even if sadly 50% don’t achieve 5 GCSEs A-C here).

    HH is also right re industry.

    We now produce more cars than ever and the port of Liverpool exports and imports more tonnage than ever before due to the miles of containers.

    MP-R probably meant to say mechanisation rather than post-industrial?

  4. Well I for one don’t believe that a university education is the silver bullet to success.
    I may not be in a very common situation but I struggle to see myself earning anything like I do from a job following a degree (certainly not at my age anyway).
    Correct me if I am wrong anyone but I just don’t see it happening (and that’s before we even start considering any debt accumulated whilst studying).

  5. Have first-hand evidence of this debate. I am Cambridge graduate who has been in agency work for the past six months, having had nine months out of work before that.

    I still believe in the principle of tuition fees – that there are too many graduates and something needs to be done about it. Reducing university places would benefit those who go to work in apprenticeships, giving them career-relevant skills and the ability to support themselves financially; it would help the remaining graduates, whose degrees would increase in value; and it would help the exchequer, as you got more 18- to 21-year-olds earning income and paying tax on it.

    That said, tuition fees have soared and it hasn’t had the slightest impact on university admissions – probably because of a feeling of entitlement (which Blair was keen to nurture) that degrees are a basic human right. Someone will have to change the whole culture of education for this to change, but unfortunately while higher education policy is seen exclusively through the prism of regulation vs marketisation that is not going to happen. The Tories will raise tuition fees and admissions will go up. Labour will drop/scrap tuition fees and admissions will go up. Graduates will leave university with paper degrees, unable to compete with those who have three years’ practical experience under their belts. And the saddest thing is that no politician of any stripe is saying this as they’re too worried about what it might do to the yoof vote.

  6. Teachers are graduates. Careers advisers are graduates. Parents of 16-year-olds, increasingly, are graduates.

    The appeal of university is about more than future employability. It is a right of passage, it is the first time most people live away from their parents, a chance to exercise new freedoms, but equally to prove to your old folks that you can handle the increased responsibility. You can’t do that if you just get a job: how many entry-level non-graduate jobs are going to allow you to rent, let alone save up that deposit for a mortgage?

  7. Well I own a decent house (with a mortgage) at 21.
    I know quite a lot of others in a similar situation.

  8. It really depends on the sector. For some degrees are an absolute essential and directly relevant to the jobs people go into; in others they are just a piece of paper – a requirement but you earn your real qualifications on the job; in some sectors it is perfectly possible to get a good job on a good salary without a degree at all.

    Whether schools should push uni to the extent they do is a really difficult one. On average people who go to uni do have better career prospects – that’s just a fact, though of course there are many exceptions in both directions, people with no degree who do really well and people who go to uni but end up in average jobs they never needed the degree for. Related to the discussion on the Bristol West thread, if schools don’t push uni to everyone they risk dampening aspiration and potentially exacerbating social inequalities.

  9. My overall view is that whilst I don’t doubt that a degree opens plenty of doors, for those that look hard enough, there are plenty of excellent opportunities around which allow you to earn a lot of money with pretty few qualifications.
    I guess it really comes down to the type of person that you are and what kind of career you want.

  10. An interesting episode in internal Labour party politics apparently took place here last night.

    Somebody called Rhea Wolfson is/was being backed by Momentum for Labour’s NEC. Under the rules a candidate for the NEC must be nominated by their home CLP. This is, I assume, usually a formality. Wolfson’s home CLP is Eastwood and it is being reported that Jim Murphy last night attended the meeting at which she was to be nominated and convinced the locals not to do so. The locals followed Murphy’s advice and so her candidacy can’t go forward.

  11. To fill in further, Wolfson was the replacement candidate for Ken Livingstone on the left slate after his recent incident. I assume this means they need yet another replacement.

  12. “Under the rules a candidate for the NEC must be nominated by their home CLP. This is, I assume, usually a formality. ”

    yes, it’s usually a formality to get your CLP nom as even if the CLP has different political views than yours, they usually nominate you (as they have 6 noms) out of respect/personal knowledge.

    However it’s not the first time someone has problems with their own CLP. In 2014 it was Christine Shawcroft who had to wait until the last month to get Nottingham South nomination. This time she got it immediately.

    In 2010 Pete Willsman had to change CLP as it would have been difficult for him to get the Erith and Thamesmead nomination after the AWS debacle (at the NEC he voted for giving an AWS to his CLP against their wills)

    ” I assume this means they need yet another replacement.”

    it they have time…IIRC June 24th is the deadline. So they need someone who comes from a CLP who has not nominated yet.

  13. LabourList suggests that Wolfson divides her time between two constituencies, so she could plausibly get a nomination from her second “home” constituency and get on the ballot that way.

    Interesting that, after all of the talk of Momentum-backed deselection campaigns, it is the right of the party who are behaving in such an underhanded way to subvert internal Labour Party democracy.

  14. In respect to the which constituencies are the “wealthiest” in Scotland here are a couple of measures:

    Average Personal Income (2012-13):
    1. West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine – £27,600
    2. Edinburgh South – £26,700
    3. Aberdeen South – £26,100
    4. East Renfrewshire – £25,700
    4. Gordon – £25,700
    6. East Dunbartonshire – £25,200
    7. Edinburgh West – £23,000
    7. Glasgow North – £23,000
    9. North East Fife – £22,800
    10. Na h-Eileanan An Iar – £22,600

    Mean Income (2013-14):
    1. Aberdeen South – £46,100
    2. West Aberdeenshire – £42,800
    3. Edinburgh South – £39,900
    4. Gordon – £37,800
    5. Edinburgh North and Leith – £37,400
    6. Edinburgh West – £36,600
    7. Stirling – £34,800
    8. East Renfrewshire – £34,300
    9. East Dunbartonshire – £33,900
    10. Edinburgh South West – £32,700

    Median Income (2013-14):
    1. West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine – £29,900
    2. Aberdeen South – £28,900
    3. Gordon – £27,800
    4. East Dunbartonshire – £25,500
    4. Edinburgh West – £25,500
    6. Edinburgh South – £25,100
    7. East Renfrewshire – £24,500
    8. Edinburgh North and Leith – £24,200
    9. Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross – £23,800
    10. Aberdeen North – £23,700

    Under the Scottish Index for Multiple Deprivation (which considers various factors including wealth, crime and health deprivation) the list I mentioned earlier is applicable.

    Constituencies which meet all of the lists:
    * Aberdeen South
    * East Dunbartonshire
    * East Renfrewshire
    * Edinburgh South
    * Edinburgh West
    * Gordon
    * West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine

  15. It’s only really Sunderland that has surprised me so far. But clearly things looking a lot more positive for Leave for sure.

  16. If there was a snap general election tomorrow the SNP would gain Dumfriesshire CT and Edinburgh South but perhaps not Orkney & Shetland (given the huge LD lead in May).

    However, I would see an election in 2020 resulting in the only constituencies that could be remotely competitive –

    Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine (Possible Conservative Gain)

    Ayr, Carrick, and Cumnock (SNP hold on current boundaries/ possible Conservative Gain with boundary changes).
    One the current boundaries this constituency is pretty safe for the SNP, however, is boundary changes re-create the old Ayr Constituency with the most Conservative parts of “Ayr, Carrick, and Cumnock” and “Central Ayrshire”, a Conservative MP in Ayrshire is possible.

    Berwickshire (Possible Conservative Gain)

    Dumfries & Galloway (Conservative longshot/ SNP Hold most likely).

    East Dunbartonshire (SNP hold most likely)
    Were it not for the boundary changes this would be a strong prospect for a Lib Dem Regain but the loss of part of Bearsden/ Milngavie and gain of solid SNP territory further East will make this seat impossible for the Lib Dems.

    East Lothian (SNP Hold but with reduced majority).
    Labour won here in May but that was with Iain Grey’s incumbency. The Holyrood constituency also excludes Mussleburgh that is now pretty solidly SNP.

    East Renfrewshire (Likely SNP Hold, possibly with increased majority)
    Without Murphy’s or Macintosh’s personal vote the Labour vote is likely to fall back. The SNP have a commanding position of 10548 votes ahead of the third placed Tories, and that’s before considering boundary changes that would add Johnston or part of East Kilbride.

    Edinburgh South (Labour Hold most likely but not certain).
    It depends on the impact of the unwinding of Neil Hay’s negative personal vote. My view is that Labour will throw all their resources into this constituency and are much better organised (in the way that Liberals traditionally held challenging seats).

    Edinburgh West (Likely Lib Dem Gain for Independent)

    Fife North East (Too close to call).
    On the current boundaries a Lib Dem Gain would be most likely but the boundary changes which will bring in more former Labour/ now SNP working class communities won’t help the Lib Dems.

    Glasgow East (Almost Certain SNP Gain from Independent)
    Things may change but some years ago if a donkey was put up in any Glasgow seat with a red rosette it would win. A good example was Labour’s easy victory in the Glasgow Cathcart by election following Mike Watson’s conviction as an arsonist. Now this situation has reversed in the SNP’s favour.

    Paisley & Renfrewshire South (Large increase in SNP majority).
    The loss of Alexander’s personal vote and a new Black incumbency factor should result in an increased SNP majority, however, this is a constituency in Scotland that may disappear.

    Moray (SNP hold likely but with greatly reduced majority).
    The large swing from SNP to Con in May and the strongest LEAVE vote in Scotland could cause some concern for the SNP here, but I don’t see Angus Robertson losing here.

    West Dunbartonshire (SNP Hold)
    Jackie Baillie held Dumbarton within one of the only four YES councils but I suspect that she may have performed more strongly in the Argyll & Bute parts of her constituency (Helensburgh, Luss, Cardross, Faslane and Kilcreggan) than in Dumbarton or the Vale of Leven. By contrast, the SNP performed strongly in Clydebank & Milngavie last May suggesting that any recovery by Labour in Dumbarton/ Vale of Leven will be offset by a further slump in Labour support in Clydebank/ Kilpatrick.

  17. @ Dalek –

    Can’t wrap my head around this one:
    “East Dunbartonshire (SNP hold most likely)” but “Edinburgh West (Likely Lib Dem Gain for Independent)”?

    Boundary change will not be implemented until the 2020 UK general election (or, if there’s a snap election, elections held there-after): a snap election would be conducted under the existing boundaries. East Dunbartonshire is as likely/if not more likely to go Lib Dem than Edinburgh West in my opinion.

    “One the current boundaries this constituency is pretty safe for the SNP, however, is boundary changes re-create the old Ayr Constituency with the most Conservative parts of “Ayr, Carrick, and Cumnock” and “Central Ayrshire”, a Conservative MP in Ayrshire is possible.”

    The Ayr constituency in the Scottish Parliament effectively follows the perfect boundaries for the Conservatives here, the only minor alterations which could benefit the party would be lumping in Loans and Nether Auchendrane into the constituency – both of which are actually quite logical additions to the current seat. They would possibly benefit from having Coylton in the constituency too, but that’s really pushing it.

    For the Ayr constituency to exist in the UK parliament it also needs to take in electors from the adjacent deprived Ayrshire villages of Tarbolton, Symington, Mossblown, Dundonald and Annbank: most of which (possibly barring Dundonald to some extent) are SNP stongholds which would cancel out any slim Tory lead enjoyed in the Ayr, Prestwick and Troon part of the constituency.

  18. I’m not sure that a snap GE would be so good for the unionists: any gains made by the Conservatives would be undermined by the SNP off the back of the EU referendum I think. Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk stands as their only realistic shot of a gain at the moment in my view.

    I think the Conservatives could make 2 gains in South Ayrshire at the very most (1 in Ayr West and 1 in Girvan and South Carrick). A singular gain would not represent huge advance compared with the rest of Scotland in my view.

  19. Are there figures to support any of these suggestions? Several of them seem questionable. I would have thought the SNP may well have carried East Renfrewshire, NE Fife and East Lothian on the list. In all three seats the Westminster boundaries are more favourable, and there was substantial tactical voting in NE Fife, and probably, to a lesser extent, in East Lothian.

  20. Does it really matter?

    Labour CERTAINLY didn’t carry East Lothian on the list. They didn’t carry the Scottish Parliamentary constituency on the list whose boundaries are more favourable for the party compared to the Westminster constituency of East Lothian.

    IIRC I had East Renfrewshire as ultra-marginal SNP.

    I think Edinburgh South and NE Fife both went SNP on the list.

  21. I’ll need to double check the NE Fife List vote to be sure though 😛

  22. Starting to think that the make-up of East Renfrewshire council will be 8 Conservative 6 SNP 4 Labour which would be quite a substantial gain for the Tories.

  23. There’s no election in 2018? I suppose you mean 2017?

  24. I’m not sure I agree that the SNP should just give up on their core policy because of one vote to remain within the UK (which was pretty narrow).

    Apparently that YouGov poll (which found 54% of Scots back the union and 46% back independence with don’t knows excluded) has Ruth Davidson on a higher net approval rating than Nicola Sturgeon!

    It also found that 49% of Scots believe that Scotland benefits economically from being part of the UK, with 23% believing to be economically worse off within the UK..

  25. Approval ratings from that poll –
    Ruth Davidson +21
    Nicola Sturgeon + 20
    Theresa May +13
    Kezia Dugdale -17
    Jeremy Corbyn -42

    Support for another referendum –
    Oppose 50%
    Support 37%

    https://yougov.co.uk/news/2016/09/01/davidson-now-more-popular-sturgeon-scotland/

  26. “If the SNP call a 2nd referendum and lose then the chances of Scotland becoming independent would decrease significantly.”

    Not necessarily: they could be hit either way… (failing to push for a second referendum could deprive the SNP of resources and members; pushing too much could impact their vote share in elections).

    “I think if there’s a 2nd referendum in the current Holyrood Parliament then the SNP’s bubble may start to burst with their support being cut to “yes” voters. This is just a theory, so feel free to eviscerate it in its entirety!”

    It’s superstition to be honest.

  27. And they could always win the referendum.

  28. I doubt the Yes vote would fall much; if you want independence you’ll vote yes whenever. What might happen is the people who vote SNP but voted no might stop voting SNP

  29. “My point was that they could alienate voters in strongly Unionist areas like they did in May, but I think they remain popular overall.”

    There’s no evidence to support this. The SNP fell back in places such as Cowdenbeath, Dumbarton and Rutherglen, more so than in Aberdeenshire West for example.

  30. “Isn’t there?
    Largest swings against the SNP 2016
    Aberdeenshire East: 16.9% SNP to Con
    Moray: 14.9% SNP to Con
    Banffshire and Buchan Coast: 13.0% SNP to Con
    Perthshire North: 12.4% SNP to Con
    Angus South: 12.4% SNP to Con
    Aberdeenshire West: 12.0% SNP to Con
    Angus North and Mearns: 10.4% SNP to Con
    Perthshire South and Kinross-shire: 9.5% SNP to Con
    Aberdeen South and North Kincardine: 9.5% SNP to Con”

    I was referring to the change from 2015 to 2016 (the two elections which actually have some correlation to the 2014 Scottish Independence referendum).

    In case you hadn’t noticed many of the aforementioned “heavily unionist areas” had a much larger swing to the SNP from the 2014 referendum “Yes” vote compared to some of the more working class parts of the country.

    In fact for all of the constituencies you have listed the SNP vote share was up by atleast 4% from the 2014 “Yes” vote. This compares to the national result in 2016, where the vote share change from the 2014 “Yes” vote to the 2016 SNP/Green vote on the constituency side of the vote was only 2.4%.

    “I do think though that the idea of a 2nd referendum wouldn’t be well received in areas that voted heavily against independence in 2014”

    It seems as if it won’t be well-received by most No voters from 2014 to be honest…

    “The SNP wants to have a conversation with the Scottish people but when those same people gave their verdict on independence the SNP ignore it”

    The SNP did respect the result: for the remainder of their 2011-2016 tenure in the Scottish Parliament they did not attempt to overturn the result from 2014. You have to respect the democratic process even if you don’t respect the SNP. You can’t blame them for keeping to their central policy… Nicola Sturgeon is right, you shouldn’t be afraid of the democratic process (this coming from an extremely staunch unionist).

  31. “Even if the SNP vote does fall they’re only really vulnerable in Berwickshire.
    I don’t see them losing this because the opposition is split.”

    The SNP’s majority is wafer thin in Berwickshire. The Conservatives increased the number of votes cast for them in the Scottish Borders in 2016 compared to 2015… I think that the Conservatives have a very very good chance of picking up the constituency in 2020 (obviously depending on the political context in Scotland then), even more so if the 2018 Boundary Review pairs Galashiels with Midlothian.

  32. “Chances are though that WA&K (my favourite seat in Scotland if number of comments are anything to go by!), DCT, D&G and East Renfrewshire will declare before BRS so it might not technically be their first gain since 2005.”

    Remember that the boundaries are supposed to be changing quite dramatically in Scotland and 2020 is a long way away… If we do have a boundary change in Scotland I would be very surprised at a Conservative gain in whatever constituency East Renfrewshire is replaced by to be honest (it appears as though most of the constituency will be grouped with Johnstone, East Kilbride or the north of East Ayrshire).

  33. Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale is currently held by the Conservatives, so it would be counted as a hold.

    The most likely would be-

    [1. DCT]
    2. BRS
    3. D&G
    4. WA&K
    5. ER

  34. I have Dumfries and Galloway ahead due to the more solid Conservative vote there in 2016/the high Leave vote in the area at the EU referendum.

    Edinburgh South West is pretty mixed, it’s not comparable to the former Pentlands constituency.

  35. Adding: (Aberdeen South would probably be the next on my list I think).

  36. Everything past East Renfrewshire is extremely unlikely, although again Edinburgh South West is really nothing like the old Pentlands constituency: a substantial part of the constituency is based in working class areas… At the 2014 independence referendum the No vote was not extraordinary here either (around the Edinburgh average of 61%).

    I am pretty confident in placing Aberdeen South ahead of Edinburgh South West. I can’t see Ruth having that much of an impact in South West to the extent of a Conservative gain without a massive shift in public opinion at the same time. I would certainly put Edinburgh South West below Moray, and perhaps even Angus and Perth & North Perthshire…

  37. Possibly though I’m not convinced that a high Leave vote in Moray will translate to a substantial drop in the SNP’s vote share here over the national average. Moray has a long-standing tradition with the SNP: even if their vote does collapse nationally they should maintain a decent vote in Moray…

    The SNP were ahead of the Tories by 18.8% of the vote in Aberdeen South and 18.4% in Moray. Keep in mind the fact that Aberdeen South had a substantially larger No vote in 2014 (around 64% No to Moray’s 57.6% No vote) and had the Tories in third in 2010 (more room for a “tactical unwind” to the Conservatives versus Moray, where the Tories were the clear challengers to the SNP in 2015).

  38. I believe he mentioned he was a Conservative supporter at one point, though I could be wrong.

  39. It’s very interesting to look back at comments from before the 2015 and 2016 elections: I am glad that I didn’t completely dismiss the Conservatives winning in Eastwood in 2016 (though I was convinced it would go SNP by the end of the campaign).

  40. Back in 2015 many saw East Renfrewshire as a sure-fire Labour hold… This was truly a fantastic (and symbolic) result for the SNP.

  41. I thought you said you were infallible 🙂 ?

  42. Out of curiosity: where are the wealthiest Labour constituencies in England, and the most deprived Conservative ones?

  43. Interesting thank you 🙂

  44. Weighing in the cost of living they are both very affluent though I’m not expert enough to compare it to any given English constituency. They may well sit among the top 50 most affluent constituencies in the UK.

  45. I believe Hallam is the wealthiest seat in the North of England, or at least was in the not too distant past.

  46. Wirral S isn’t wealthier than West no but its probably wealthier than some of the seats mentioned like Bristol W and Hove.

  47. Decided to retry the Scottish boundaries, working from the Highlands down (avoiding the creation of a constituency in excess of the area limit).

    Here’s what I came up with: http://vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/6888/2018-review-scotland?page=14

  48. Some interesting constituencies from the attempt:

    – Avondale and Eastwood
    Covering all of the East Renfrewshire council area except Barrhead, plus the South Lanarkshire electoral wards of Avondale & Stonehouse and Clydesdale South

    – Dumfries
    Covering the historic county of Dumfriesshire.

    – Edinburgh South
    Covering the Edinburgh electoral wards of Southside/Newington; Meadows/Morningside; Fountainbridge/Craiglockhart and Colinton/Fairmilehead.

    – Kincardine and Deeside
    Covering the historic district council of Kincardine and Deeside, plus the Angus electoral wards of Brechin & Edzell and Montrose & District.

    – Kyle
    Covering the towns of Ayr, Prestwick and Troon in South Ayrshire, plus the adjacent rural district of Kyle.

    – Lochaber and Speyside
    Covering most of the Moray council area (except the electoral wards of Forres and Keith & Cullen), plus the Highland districts of Badenoch, Strathspey and Lochaber.

    – Scottish Borders
    Covering all of the Scottish Borders council area except for the electoral ward of Galashiels & District.

    – South Tayside
    Covering the rural south of the Perth & Kinross council area, plus the north coast of Fife.

  49. Are you sure that East Renfrewshire becomes Cunningham East? I would have thought that would be the new constituency that covers North Ayrshire Council except for the Largs & North Ayrshire Coast Ward? That ward joins Inverclyde.

  50. Yes it appears so. (The number for Cunninghame East at the side of the map matches up with the constituency in Eastwood and Loudoun!)

    The constituency covering the western part of North Ayrshire is Inverclyde & Largs, the one in the south is Cunninghame West. Kilmarnock is covered by Kilmarnock, Cumnock and Doon Valley leaving Cunningame East for Eastwood and Loudoun.

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