Comments on: West Midlands European

By: Oliver Healey

Oliver Healey — Tue, 21 Jul 2009 09:27:31 +0000

English Democrats did very good for a first outing in the region. 32,000 votes and in the Telford and Wrekin area there would be another 25,000 next time.

By: Pete Whitehead

Pete Whitehead — Mon, 08 Jun 2009 16:31:52 +0000

They did not do as well in Nuneaton as they had last year – for example they would have won Camp Hill which is identical to the borough ward if the results from 2008 had been repeated. They have also seen their support in Sandwell and Dudley fall back quite sharply compared with a few years ago.

By: Andy Stidwill

Andy Stidwill — Mon, 08 Jun 2009 14:59:18 +0000

BNP had a disappointing night in both Midlands’ regions. I haven’t seen most of the detailed results yet but they must have had underwhelming results in places like Stoke-on-Trent and Sandwell. Interesting because they seemed to have done quite well in places like Nuneaton in the county council elections.

By: Pete Whitehead

Pete Whitehead — Mon, 08 Jun 2009 01:46:27 +0000

They technically didnt lose a seat, because if there had been six seats in 2004 the Tories would only have won two then. If the seventh seat is awarded to this region it will go to the Conservatives so there is no change to their position really. The UKIP gain comes purely at Labour’s expense. There is some discussion that the seventh seat may go to London instead, although at the time the allocations were made the West Midlands qualified for the additional seat. It seems rather dubious to reallocate after the election. If London gets the extra seat it would go to Labour.

By: Warofdreams

Warofdreams — Mon, 08 Jun 2009 01:20:40 +0000

Yet another poor Labour performance, falling behind the strongly performing UKIP, to whom they lose a seat. Despite a small increase in the Conservative share, they lost a seat. Otherwise, little change; the BNP ended up some way away from taking a seat.

By: Andy Stidwill

Andy Stidwill — Mon, 08 Jun 2009 00:57:46 +0000

17% for Labour in West Midlands. Their current running total is 14.66% with just the North West and Scotland to come. Incredible.

By: Badger

Badger — Fri, 05 Jun 2009 00:04:47 +0000

If (When?) Lisbon comes into force during the term of this European parliament, will the results of this election be used to determine who gets the seventh seat for this region?

I’m going to predict 2 Con, 1 UKIP, 1 Lab, 1 Lib Dem, 1 BNP with the Conservatives taking the phantom seventh seat.

By: Andy Stidwill

Andy Stidwill — Thu, 04 Jun 2009 22:06:45 +0000

If the Greens do better than expected and win a few unexpected seats in regions like this it will probably be mostly down to the young and middle-aged female vote defecting in large numbers from Labour. I agree that the chance of a Green seat in the West Midlands is still only about 30-40%. It probably will be extremely tight between LD, BNP and Green in this region. UKIP may push Labour into third place if they really do poll only 17% nationwide.

By: Pete Whitehead

Pete Whitehead — Thu, 04 Jun 2009 21:10:29 +0000

I am going for 2 Con 1 Lab 1 LD 1 UKIP 1 BNP

By: Neil

Neil — Thu, 04 Jun 2009 20:25:02 +0000

This is one where I think it will be very close, so possibly 2 for the Conservatives instead of 3. If the Tories only manage 2 then I think either UKIP or the BNP will take the final seat, but Labour have an outside chance too. Can’t see the Greens making it, but I would bow to Andy’s local knowledge.