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South West Euros

The South West European region covers Bristol, Cornwall, Devon, Dorset, Gloucestershire, Somerset, Wiltshire and the British Overseas territory of Gibraltar. It currently returns 7 members of the European Parliament, but this will reduce to 6 at the next election, meaning the Conservatives notionally lose a seat.

In 2004 the region returned 3 Conservative MEPs, 2 UKIP MEPs, 1 Lib Dem MEP and 1 Labour MEP.

Sitting MEPs and 2004 Results

1. portrait Neil Parish (Conservative) 457,371 (31.6%) (Will stand down at next election)
2. portrait Trevor Colman (UKIP) 326,684 (22.6%) (Replaced Graham Booth 2008)
3. portrait Graham Watson (Liberal Democrat) 265,619 (18.3%)
4. portrait Caroline Jackson (Conservative) (228,686) (Will stand down at next election)
5. portrait Glyn Ford (Labour) 209,908 (14.5%)
6. portrait Roger Knapman (UKIP) (163,342) (Will stand down at next election)
7. portrait Giles Chichester (Conservative) (152,457)
-. Green 103,821 (7.2%)
-. BNP 43,653 (3.0%)
-. Countryside 30,824 (2.1%)
-. Respect 10,437 (0.7%)

2009 Candidates

Labour

1. portraitGlyn Ford. Sitting MEP. Born 1950, Gloucester. Educated at Reading University. Former research fellow at Manchester University. Former Tameside councillor. First elected as MEP for Greater Manchester East 1984. MEP for South West England since 1999.
2. portraitIsabel Owen. Educated at Egglscliffe Comprehensive and Bristol University. Former political consultant. Has worked as head of Glyn Ford’s office. Contested Tiverton and Honiton 2001, Forest of Dean 2005.
3. portraitKeir Dhillon. Contested Tewkesbury 2001. Contested 2004 European elections.
4. portraitDorothea Hodge. Former special advisor now working for the Social Market Foundation and Westminster Foundation for Democracy.
5. portraitDafydd Emlyn Williams.
6. portraitElizabeth Liago.

Conservative

1. portraitGiles Chichester. Sitting MEP. Born 1946, London. Formerly worked for his family business, publishing maps and guides. First elected as MEP for Devon and East Plymouth 1994. MEP for the South West since 1999. Former leader of the Conservative group in the European parliament, he stood down in 2008 after it was revealed he had claimed Parliamentary expenses for a family business. He was later cleared of a conflict of interest by the European Parliament.
2. portraitJulie Girling. Cotswold District councillor. Gloucestershire County councillor. Contested South West in 2004 European elections.
3. portraitAshley Fox. Born 1969. Educated at the Kings School, Worcester and Bristol Polytechnic. Solicitor. Contested Bath 2001. Bristol councillor since 2002.
4. portraitMike Dolley. Campaign director for the Conservative party.
5. portraitDon Collier. Former commodities dealer and owner of a diving school, now working as an IT consultant. Poole councillor since 1999.
6. portraitZehra Zaidi. Educated at Warwick University. Solicitor.

Liberal Democrat

1. portraitGraham Watson. Sitting MEP. Born 1956, Rothesay. Educated at City of Bath Boys School and Heriot-Watt University. Prior to his elected worked as a university administrator, head of David Steel’s office and for HSBC. First elected as MEP for Somerset and North Devon 1994. Leader of the Liberal group in the European Parliament since 2002.
2. portraitKay Barnard. Farmer and director of a publishing company. Former Somerset County Councillor. Contested Bristol South 2005.
3. portraitJustine McGuinness. Educated at London University. PR Consultant who represented the parents of Madeleine McCann. Contested Holborn and St Pancras 1997, West Dorset 2005.
4. portraitHumphrey Temperley. Torridge councillor, South Somerset councillor 1981-1999. Devon County councillor since 2005, former Somerset county councillor.
5. portraitPaul Massey. Cheltenham councillor.
6. portraitJonathan Stagnetto. Educated at King College. Director of a family business. Member of the Liberal Party of Gibraltar.

UKIP

1. portraitTrevor Colman. Sitting MEP. Born 1941, St Breward. Former police officer and television script advisor. MEP for the South West since 2008, suceeding Graham Booth upon his retirement. Contested Teignbridge 2005.
2. portraitWilliam Legge, the Earl of Dartmouth. Born 1949. Conservative member of the House of Lords until the exclusion of hereditary peers. Defected to UKIP in 2007.
3. portraitGawain Towler. Educated at Clayesmore School and University of York. Former journalist, now working for the Ind/Dem group in the European Parliament. Contested Glasgow Maryhill for the Conservatives in 2001.
4. portraitJulia Reid. Will contest Chippenham at the next general election.
5. portraitAlan Wood.
6. portraitStephanie McWilliam. Former radiographer, now runs a private air travel company.

Green

1. portraitRicky Knight. Modern languages teacher. Contested North Devon 2005, will contest North Devon at the next general election..
2. portraitRoger Creagh-Osborne. Electronic engineer.
3. portraitDavid Taylor.Contested South West region in 1999, 2004 European Elections.
4. portraitMolly Scott Cato.Born 1963, Wales. Educated at Oxford University. Reader in Green Economics at Cardiff University. Contested Preseli Pembrokeshire 1997, 2005.
5. portraitChloe Somers.Educated at University of East Anglia.
6. portraitRichard Lawson.Semi retired GP.

BNP

1. portraitJeremy Wotherspoon. Retired estate agent and sales negotiator. Contested Watford F1974, O1974, Cambridge by-election 1976, all for the National Front.
2. portraitBarry Bennett. Born Bournemouth. IT tutor. Contested South West region in 2004 European elections.
3. portraitAdrian Romilly. Born Kent. Educated at University College London.
4. portraitSean Twitchin. Born Aldershot 1965. Educated at East London University. Surveyor.
5. portraitLawrence West. Unemployed construction site manager.
6. portraitPeryn Parsons. Born London.

Mebyon Kernow

1. portraitDick Cole. Archaelogist. Restormel borough councillor since 1999. Leader of Mebyon Kernow.
2. portraitConan Jenkin. born Cornwall. College lecturer. Contested Truro and St Austell 2001, 2005. Deputy leader of Mebyon Kernow.
3. portraitLoveday Jenkin. Lecturer. Kerrier councillor since 1996.
4. portraitSimon Reed. Former Penwith councillor for the Liberal Democrats.
5. portraitGlenn Renshaw. Caradon District councillor. Defected from the Liberal Democrats in 2008.
6. portraitJoannie Willet.

Libertas

1. portraitRobin Matthews Former lieutenant colonel in the Light Dragoons. Leader of Libertas in the UK.
2. Peter Morgan-Barnes 3. Chloe Gwynne
4. Christopher Charnock 5. Nicholas Carlton
6. Nicholas Charles

No2EU

1. portraitAlex Gordon Member of the RMT executive.
2. portraitRoger Davey Health worker. Member of the Socialist Party.
3. portraitRachel Lynch Special needs teacher.
4. portraitNick Quirk Member of the RMT executive.
5. portraitJohn Chambers Retired union official
6. portraitPaul Dyer

Jury Team

1. portraitSally Smith PR agent and former journalist.
2. portraitMartin Paley Citizens Advice Bureau manager and former retail manager. Former Liberal Democrat.
3. portraitMichael Clayton Project manager
4. portraitBrian Underwood Educated at Clifton College. Semi-retired court reporter, formerly ran a structural steel company.
5. portraitRoger Whitfield IT technician and consultant.
6. portraitWilliam Barnett Business development manager.

Christian Party

1. portraitWilliam Capstick.
2. Katherine Mills 3. Diana Ofori
4. Larna Martin 5. Peter Vickers
6. Adenike Williams

Socialist Labour

1. portraitRobert Hawkins. Contested Plymouth Devonport 2005.
2. Brian Corbett 3. Alison Entwhistle
4. David Marchesi 5. Rob Hawkins
6. James Bannister

English Democrat

1. portraitMichael Turner.
2. Sara Box 3. Keith Riley
4. Stephen Wright 5. Raymond Carr
6. Lee Pickering

Your Decision

1. portraitNicola Guagliardo.
2. portraitJoy Skey.

Pensioners Party

1. portraitJonathan Cockburn. Born 1956. Educated at Emanuel School and London University. Managing director of a facilities management company. Contested Sedgefield 2005 as a “Blair Must Go” candidate.
2. Barry Hodgson 3. Derek Wharton
4. Roger Edwards 5. Stuart Baker
6. Berry Egerton

Fair Pay Fair Trade

1. portraitDavid Michael. Cohousing property developer.
2. portraitJudy Foster.

There is also one independent candidate standing:

portraitKatie Hopkins (Independent) Born 1975, Barnstaple. Educated at Exeter University. Former contestant on The Apprentice and I’m a Celebrity Get Me Out of Here.

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide

150 Responses to “South West European Elections”

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  1. Labour’s 6th placed candidate is Elizabeth (Libby) Lisgo, not Liago.

  2. John,

    Well, Exeter was one of only two LA districts in SW region in which Lab topped the 2004 poll, while UKIP came 3rd, so perhaps it was just not a representative meeting ?

  3. Labour were lucky to come top in Bristol last time, polling 24,000 votes to the Tories and LDs 20,000 each. There must be a good chance they’ll come third this time.

  4. Andy, agreed, and if they do not win in Bristol, they most certainly will not top the poll in Exeter either.

    Lab managed over 20% in only 7 out of 46 districts in SW last time – and that could fall to just one or two this year. At the other end, they were in single figures in 15 districts – with another 16 districts over ten but under 13%, leaving just 8 districts in the teens.

    If they end up in single figures in more than half the region, and above 13% in no more than a quarter, it is likely they will lose their MEP.

  5. Leaflet Update:

    In addition to the above I have mentioned the BNP have delivered through my door and the Labour Party have woken up as well.

    So all major bases covered for my part of the world.

  6. 2 con 1 UKIP 1 Lib Dem 1Lab 1 Green!

  7. I am getting the impression that UKIP are in for scooping the top spot.

  8. Terry do you think UKIP might win some seats on the new Cornwall UA ?

  9. Yes Pete, but your party has not put up enough candidates and only through the protest vote. I feel voting patterns will be all over the place with the Independents making big strides. Cornish Independents have a good record in the County.
    In the EU vote I would not be surprised to see UKIP get 3 seats, the extra seat because of this protest vote.

  10. It has been revealed today that Graham Watson MEP is employing his wife-at taxpayeres expense. A look at his website reveals that she is the office premises manager-yet he also employs an office manager. She also seems to spend most of her time on governing bodies or town counsil so what does she actually do?Can somebody please tell me why this is less corrupt than Julie Kirkbride ( who i do not support) employing her brother? Given that most people have no idea what Graham Watson does other than like other MEP’s swan from one pointless meeting to another is his employment of his wife not a disgrace? I gather that a Conservative MEP in the south west has done the same. Why can these people get away with it when British MP’s have rightly been pilloried for thier disgraceful practices?

  11. I cannot see UKIP getting 3 seats in the South West, I think 2 is more realistic – how badly would Labour have to do to lose their 1 seat?

  12. And what is wrong with employing members of your family in sensitive jobs. As long as the employment is transparent? My brother and I are employed at the taxpayers expense, I haven’t seen the pitchforks outside yet.

  13. If Labour are beaten by the Greens I think that would pretty much guarantee that Labour wouldn’t win any seats. The only needs to be a 3.7% movement between those parties for that to happen.

  14. That may sound like a small movement, but in the context of Labour having only 14.5% to start with (which was more than double the Green share) that represents a pretty huge movement actually , with the Greens increasing their share by 50% and Labour losing around a quarter of their share (the second part of ther equation is not all that implausible but the first is IMO)

  15. It may be an obvious point but I wrote someone else that it’s difficult to think why anyone would want to vote Labour in these elections: obviously floating voters and anti-Labour voters won’t be voting for them but there’s also not much reason for staunch Labour supporters to do so because they clearly need to be sent a message to change their whole approach (and maybe leadership) otherwise they’ll go down to a spectacular defeat at the next general election. Voting for them now would be to say that everything’s fine and nothing needs to change.

  16. Am I reading this wrong, it has been a long campaign and the sun might have got to me, but if we looked at the last votes but based on six seats would we be looking at a threshold of 241,394 for a seat – on that basis the Conservatives would have got one on the first tranche with a left over of 215,977 votes. On that basis UKIP would have taken the second seat with a left over of 85,290 and the Lib Dems the third with a left over of 24,225. If the way the seats are allocated is right, then the fourth seat would be a Conservative, the fifth for Labour and the sixth for the Greens as their 103,821 is more than UKIP’s left over of 85,000. Could someone explain if that is how it works, as this seems to be how it worked last time?

  17. Following on from my previous post I can see that we are using the really simple “d’Hont” system – why is something that could be so simple be sooooo complicated!! I am going mad!!

  18. The way I understand it is that you keep a running score of each party’s number of votes. Each time a party wins a seat their total is divided by 2. So you start off with the party winning the most votes winning the first seat which in the SW region in 2004 would be the Tories with 457,371 but then their new score becomes 228,685.5 votes. UKIP and the LDs win the next two seats but the fourth seat goes to the Tories again not Labour because their new running score of 228,685.5 is still higher than Labour’s initial total of 209,908. There’s no set total or threshold or percentage needed to win a seat because it depends on how many people vote and what the totals are for each party.

  19. both Andrews have it wrong. It is a simple system. Each party’s vote is divided by 1+ number of seats already won. Therefore after the Tories won their first seat their total is indeed divided by two to give them 228,685.5 but when they win their second seat, their orginal total is divided by 3 to give the 152457 which elected Giles Chichester. If there had been more seats to allocate the Tory vote would have been divided by four and so on

  20. Thanks for clearing that up, I thought I hadn’t quite got it right. I could have looked it up easily but was too lazy.

  21. There may be a chance of the Greens taking Labour’s seat if there is a mass defection in that direction. The reason I keep saying that is that I think once you get down to Labour’s normally core voters the only party that they might defect to in any large numbers is probably the Green Party. In the 1989 Euro election we saw this happen albeit with Liberal/SDP Alliance voters going over to the Greens but I think the same thing could happen with Labour if their vote really did implode.

  22. Thanks for that to both of you, now I understand a little better 🙂

  23. I was the Green Party candidate in 1989 and well remember the shock at the count as the Green’s vote piled up. My experience at the time was that I drew votes from right across the spectrum – Tories, Labour, Lib-Dems and even the SDP. It was clear that people didn’t feel the need to vote along party lines and for those who seriously cared about the future of our planet and this country the Greens were their natural choice – a choice I suspect will be reinforced by the sleaze associated with all 3 major parties and UKIP – don’t forget they are the only party to have had an MEP actually gaoled for embezzling his expenses!

  24. Andy Stidwell,

    Lab defections to Greens are more likely to deliver the Lab seat to Con, UKIP or LD before the Greens can claim the final seat.

    Originally I predicted C3; UKIP 1; LD 1; Lab 1in this region. On current polls I think that Con 3; UKIP 2; LD 1 may well be the outcome.

    I am still confident Con score here will be in mid/high 30s with UKIP at +/- 20 and LD in high teens. Lab will probably fall below teens, and may even drop into single figures. Greens may rise to 8-9% but are unlikely to overtake Lab. Even if they do, they will not reach the 12% or more likely needed to take the final seat.

  25. Watch out for the Greens and The Pensioners’ Party in the South West. Due to the current expenses scandals alot of elderly people I have spoken to recently are going to vote differently and The Pensioners’ Party will do far better than predicted.

  26. I’m not local to this area, but the late swing to the Greens could be enough to get them a seat as their national standing now appears to reach the quota here. Their problem is the lack of large towns in the South West, given that the Greens get much of their support from smaller cities such as Brighton, Oxford and Norwich.

    There is often a scramble for the last couple of seats in these list elections, and Labour are doing so badly that they could miss out. The Labour Party increasingly relies on older voters who habitually vote for them, and a Pensioners protest vote could hurt Labour in a region with more than its share of older electors.

    As the last polls stand, the LIbDems are unlikely to gain a second seat in this region, which they would probably have hoped to do in advance of the election period.

    To stick one’s neck out, it looks as though Labour and the Greens may be fighting out the last seat, with the rest staying unchanged. But I wouldn’t bet on it even if I did bet on elections.

  27. I think we could be in for a shock result in at least one region and the South West is a good candidate. What I mean by a shock result is a region where UKIP and the Greens win a seat but Labour don’t win any. I can see a lot of Labour voters in places like Devon, Somerset and Dorset going over in large numbers to the Greens.

  28. Final Prediction:

    Conservatives – 3
    UKIP – 2
    Libdems – 1

    Labour’s chances of coming nowhere here are excellent – their best region for it. I still think they will edge out the Greens for 4th place though.

  29. Looking at the Bristol Council results, their share of the vote was only 19%, down from 24% in 2004 Euros. Allow at least another 1% off in the Euros due to “others” and it is clear that Glyn Ford will be looking for a new job on Monday.

    Result in this region will now almsot certainly be
    Con 3
    UKIP 2
    LD 1

    Wonder if Lab will get edged out altogether in any other regions ? Next most likely are East and SE.

  30. Paul H-J: maybe the Greens are in with a chance in the SW as well.

  31. Andy,

    Possibly, but they would need to be well over 10% to be sure of a seat. Given that Cons have taken Devon and Somerset off LDs and emerged as largest party in Cornwall I would expect the Con vote in this region to be at least mid 30s.

  32. There will almost certainly be a significant number of people who voted Tory in the local elections but UKIP in the Euro election.

  33. The Labour party will not have a single seat on the new Cornwall UA.

    Quite astonishing.

  34. In Bristol lots of Lib Dem and Labour Local Voters voted Green in the Euros – we also picked up a rural seat in Devon and Missed one in Cornwall by 20 odd votes.

    Greens got 14% in Locals in Bristol – but probably 18% voted Green for the Euros.

    I predict Glynn Ford will be out for Labour and Greens just may sneak the last seat.

  35. I would be surprised if the Tories picled up three seats this time. Two certainly; with a possibility of two LD and two UKIP or one of those two losing out to the region’s first Green MEP.

  36. “The Labour party will not have a single seat on the new Cornwall UA. ”

    They also won no seats on Dorset CC. They won 4 each in Devon and Gloucestershire and 2 each in Bristol, Wiltshire and Somerset.
    A total of 14 seats won in this region out of 472

    To be fair there were not local elections in Plymouth, Swindon or Bristol south of the Avon. If there ahd been Labour would have won a handful of seats in each of those areas.

  37. There were a lot of counties in which Labour were down to one or two seats. It will be cold comfort to Labour, but the other parties should be disappointed too. One councillor means that there is somebody to get the agenda papers etc and to report back to a County Labour Party. Two councilors means that they can propose and second resolutions. It is far harder for a party to come back from a total wipe-out.

  38. Interesting that in my local county Staffordshire Labour have fewer county councillors than in Devon and Gloucestershire.

  39. They also have fewer county counillors in Staffordshire than UKIP 🙂

  40. Labour polled below Greens in Devon and Cornwall!

  41. ConservativeHome are saying they think early indications show that Glyn Ford, Labour’s only MEP in the South West, has lost his seat. Don’t know how reliable that statement is.

  42. BBC are reporting that Mebyon Kernow may have beaten Labour here.

  43. Pete will be pleased to learn that UKIP have stayed on top in Plymouth – by 18 votes over the Tories!

  44. All 2004’s top four parties lost vote share, but Labour did by far the worst, dropping behind the Greens and losing their seat. The Greens came around 12,000 votes from taking the third Conservative seat, the only party to do significantly better than in 2004 here.

  45. Note on Labour and Mebyon Kernow – the BBC have now corrected themselves and say that MK were ahead in Cornwall – bad for Labour, but much less surprising! Across the region, MK took only 1%, behind not only the seat winners, Greens and Labour, but also the BNP, Pensioners Party, English Democrats and Christian Party.

  46. I assumed thats what you meant originally – there was no way MK could have outpolled Labour in the entire region.

  47. I’m looking forward to seeing the detailed results for the SE and SW because Labour must have gone below 5% in a fair number of districts given they only polled about 8% across the two regions.

  48. Where did you see the results from Plymouth Andy?
    Leeds council had a very good site which listed all the results for the Yorkshire region

  49. It was on one of the Labour party live blogs but I’ve closed the window now and can’t remember what the name of it was since I got to it from another site – I think a link from the Guardian blog maybe or Guido. I don’t think it was from Iain Dale. Just did a quick search but couldn’t find it. I’m not sure how reliable it was but I suppose it’s not the sort of thing someone would invent.

  50. Labour polled below Greens in Devon and Cornwall!

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