Ynys Mon
2005 Results:
Labour: 12278 (34.6%)
Plaid Cymru: 11036 (31.1%)
Independent: 5216 (14.7%)
Conservative: 3915 (11%)
Liberal Democrat: 2418 (6.8%)
Other: 599 (1.7%)
Majority: 1242 (3.5%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 7653 (22.5%)
Labour: 11906 (35%)
Liberal Democrat: 2772 (8.1%)
Plaid Cymru: 11106 (32.6%)
UKIP: 359 (1.1%)
Other: 222 (0.7%)
Majority: 800 (2.4%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 8569 (21.5%)
Labour: 13275 (33.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 1537 (3.8%)
Plaid Cymru: 15756 (39.5%)
Referendum: 793 (2%)
Majority: 2481 (6.2%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Outgoing MP: Albert Owen(Labour) Born 1959, Anglesey. Educated at Holyhead County Comprehensive and York University. Former CAB advisor and merchant navy seaman. MP for Ynys Mon since 2001 (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: 
Anthony Ridge-Newman (Conservative) Educated at Arrow Vale High School and Plymouth University. Runnymede councillor. Albert Owen(Labour) Born 1959, Anglesey. Educated at Holyhead County Comprehensive and York University. Former CAB advisor and merchant navy seaman. MP for Ynys Mon since 2001 (more information at They work for you)
Matt Wood (Liberal Democrat) Born St Asaph. Educated at Denbigh High School and University of Glamorgan. Independent Financial Advisor.
Dylan Rees (Plaid Cymru) Educated at Aberystwyth University. Former Police inspector, now senior homelessness officer for Ynys Mon council. 
Nathan Gill (UKIP) Contested North Wales region in 2007 Welsh elections.
Peter Rogers (Independent) Born 1940, Wrexham. Educated at Prenton Secondary amd Cheshire School of agriculture. Farmer. Conservative Assembly member for North Wales 1999-2003, he resigned from the party after being placed 7th on the party list in 2003. Isle of Anglesey councillor since 2004. Contested Ynys Mon 2005, 2007 Welsh election.
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 66829
Male: 48.4%
Female: 51.6%
Under 18: 22%
Over 60: 24.9%
Born outside UK: 2.6%
White: 99.3%
Mixed: 0.3%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 79.4%
Full time students: 2.6%
Graduates 16-74: 18%
No Qualifications 16-74: 31.9%
Owner-Occupied: 68%
Social Housing: 17% (Council: 15.5%, Housing Ass.: 1.5%)
Privately Rented: 9.5%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 19.4%
Just read Druids link and its laughable. Plaid are up across Wales compared to the January poll the “drop” of ten points is almost certainly down to sampling given only 250 people polled.
The pensions comments i s just silly. Our pledge costs just £2.5billion and there is unpaid tax creits of £5 billion every year….
Cymrumark – I think I made the point myself that with only 250 people polled in North Wales the results should be treated with caution.
Regarding pensions – just because you think they are plausible doesn’t mean that everyone else does. Also as Plaid Cymru have themselves rowed back from the original proposal by saying they would only increase pensions for over 80s suggests that Plaid too realised they had made a boo-boo. Anyway, I have explained the reasons why I think the pensions pledge was foolish politics here: http://druidsrevenge.blogspot.com/2010/01/ieuan-wyn-jones-promises-free-unicorn.html
Ynys Mon is a very difficult seat to predict this time – by all rights Labour shouldn’t retain it, but Plaid Cymru have *again* selected a candidate that simply doesn’t suit the seat. This is the third time in a row PC has selected a weak candidate – I don’t know what that says about the strength of the party on the island.
If it weren’t for Peter Rogers the Tories might to well here although I doubt they would win this time with or without him. Needless to say, PR’s candidacy has completely spoiled their chances, although PR doesn’t have a chance of becoming MP himself.
It has been said that the problem with Ynys Mon is that it’s easier to say who will lose that who will win – on balance Labour are more likely to lose, but an increased Labour majority isn’t out of the question either!
There’s no smart money here – although you’d have to place Plaid Cymru as favourites.
‘Ynys Mon is a very difficult seat to predict this time’
Were Peter Rogers not running it would be even tighter – as the Tories would be in with a ’shout’ – they did afterall hold the seat in the 1980s being represented by Keith Best, who I don’t think is even a Tory nowadays
You would have expected Plaid to have selected a local candidate but you’d still fancy them to take the seat