Wrexham
2010 Results:
Conservative: 8375 (25.4%)
Labour: 12161 (36.88%)
Liberal Democrat: 8503 (25.79%)
Plaid Cymru: 2029 (6.15%)
BNP: 1134 (3.44%)
UKIP: 774 (2.35%)
Majority: 3658 (11.09%)
2005 Results:
Labour: 13993 (46.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 7174 (23.6%)
Conservative: 6079 (20%)
Plaid Cymru: 1744 (5.7%)
Other: 1395 (4.6%)
Majority: 6819 (22.4%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 6746 (22.5%)
Labour: 15934 (53%)
Liberal Democrat: 5153 (17.1%)
Plaid Cymru: 1783 (5.9%)
UKIP: 432 (1.4%)
Majority: 9188 (30.6%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 8688 (23.9%)
Labour: 20450 (56.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 4833 (13.3%)
Plaid Cymru: 1170 (3.2%)
Referendum: 1195 (3.3%)
Other: 86 (0.2%)
Majority: 11762 (32.3%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Ian Lucas(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Gareth Hughes (Conservative) Ian Lucas(Labour) (more information at They work for you)Tom Rippeth (Liberal Democrat) Arfon Jones (Plaid Cymru) John Humberstone (UKIP)Melvin Roberts (BNP)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 66604
Male: 48.7%
Female: 51.3%
Under 18: 22.1%
Over 60: 21.3%
Born outside UK: 2.8%
White: 98.8%
Asian: 0.4%
Mixed: 0.4%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 77.5%
Full time students: 4.4%
Graduates 16-74: 16.8%
No Qualifications 16-74: 32.4%
Owner-Occupied: 67.2%
Social Housing: 25.4% (Council: 22.9%, Housing Ass.: 2.5%)
Privately Rented: 5.5%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 11.8%
The above about John Marek may seem plausible at first sight, but the choice of party he joined will surely militate against him in this seat. Conservatism only rears its head in Wrexham at times of extreme Labour unpopularity and sometimes not even then. I will eat my hat & several other articles of clothing besides if he wins.
I can’t see it either, like Caerphilly I think labour will win by an absolute minimum of 10%.
I believe local factors in this constituency may suggest that there could be a big upset here this time. The turnout in welsh assembly elections is significantly less than for Westminster elections.
How much work have the Four main parties been putting in locally?
At last years election the BNP and UKIP had candidates but this year there are only the four main Welsh parties standing. How will those BNP and UKIP votes be re-distributed?
Wrexham has undergone “interesting political times” over the last 12 years. I am tempted to say that it is a three horse race, based on recent election results, but I am reluctant to write off the chances of the Plaid candidate this time.
Those of you not living in Wales may not yet have heard about the problem that two Liberal Democrat candidates for the Welsh assembly have been having this week. Aled Roberts was a member of a public body which they say disqualifies him from being a candidate for election to the welsh assembly, but this only came to light this week.
Look at BBC Wales web site for further detail.
Can anyone point me where I can find which wards made up the Wrexham constituency from 1983-1997. I’m trying to work out the boundary back then between Wrexham and Clwyd SW to see how the new Glyndwr might vote these days. I can’t find the relevant info anywhere.
Cheers!!
Save the islands seats, were any seats won with fewer votes than here?
Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross was won by the LDs with 11,907 votes:
htttp://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/election2010/results/constituency/809.stm
In 2010, nine seats were won with fewer votes than here, three of which were the island seats:
Londonderry East 12,097
Orkney and Shetland 11,989
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross 11,907
Antrim South 11,536
Ynys Mon 11,490
Great Grimsby 10,777
Aberconwy 10,734
Arfon 9,383
Na h-Eileanan an Iar 6,723
Matt – I think this will not be much help, but when the 1983 boundaries were drawn up, this seat included wards 1-12, 23-25 and 28-36 of Wrexham Maelor