Wolverhampton North East
2010 Results:
Conservative: 11964 (34.29%)
Labour: 14448 (41.41%)
Liberal Democrat: 4711 (13.5%)
BNP: 2296 (6.58%)
UKIP: 1138 (3.26%)
Socialist Labour: 337 (0.97%)
Majority: 2484 (7.12%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 18562 (54.6%)
Conservative: 10048 (29.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 3965 (11.7%)
Other: 1443 (4.2%)
Majority: 8514 (25%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 9792 (29.7%)
Labour: 17948 (54.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 3845 (11.7%)
UKIP: 1371 (4.2%)
Majority: 8156 (24.7%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 9019 (28.6%)
Labour: 18984 (60.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 2494 (7.9%)
UKIP: 997 (3.2%)
Majority: 9965 (31.6%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 11547 (27.9%)
Labour: 24534 (59.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 2214 (5.3%)
Referendum: 1192 (2.9%)
Other: 1916 (4.6%)
Majority: 12987 (31.4%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Emma Reynolds (Labour) Former special advisor to Geoff Hoon.
Julie Rook (Conservative) Emma Reynolds (Labour) Former special advisor to Geoff Hoon.Colin Ross (Liberal Democrat)Paul Valdmanis (UKIP)Simon Patten (BNP)Shangara Singh (Socialist Labour) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 84063
Male: 48.7%
Female: 51.3%
Under 18: 25.5%
Over 60: 20.8%
Born outside UK: 7.6%
White: 85.1%
Black: 4.7%
Asian: 6.9%
Mixed: 3.1%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 72.6%
Hindu: 1.4%
Muslim: 0.6%
Sikh: 4.4%
Full time students: 3%
Graduates 16-74: 9.1%
No Qualifications 16-74: 45%
Owner-Occupied: 57.5%
Social Housing: 34.3% (Council: 31%, Housing Ass.: 3.3%)
Privately Rented: 4.5%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 15.3%
disappointing region
I meant to say (electorally for the Cons.)
disappointing region
I meant to say (electorally for the Cons.)
Are you joking?
The TYoriers di9d extremely well in Staffordshire at the last election
They won back Stafford, Tamworth & Staffordshire Moorlands with ease – and even won CVanbnock – which has to go down as one of their most unlikeliest gain of the election
Also, they got Surrey-sized majorities in Stone, Litchfield and woprking class Brownhills
They did less well in the industrial parts – missing out in the Walsall seats in particular and but still took seats in the Black Country (Dudley, Rowley Regis, Stourbridge)
I think the Tories had a disappointing night in the West Midlands urban area for the same reasons they had a relatively bad night in Greater London: the proportion of ethnic minorities and public sector workers in both areas is increasing whereas people not in either of those categories have been moving out to more rural or suburban areas where the Tories did well. Some people might criticise that analysis as over-simplified but sometimes the simple explanation is the right one.
“For some reason, good local election results for the Tories don’t come off in much of the West Midlands old Met county.”
Wolverhampton was another example of the Conservatives doing better in WWC areas than in those more middle class and ethnic.
Note also the high BNP and UKIP vote here.
The West Midlands would likely respond better to Powellite Conservatism than the Cameron variety.
I wouldn’t accuse the tories in Wolverhampton SW of being white working class.
Exactly the point I think. The Conservatives underperformed in SW (despite gaining the seat) relative to this one – clearly there was a bigger swing in Wolverhampton amongst WWC voters
Comparison with 1992:
SW is 7.7% more Labour
NE is 1.0% more Conservative
SE is 6.0% more Conservative
Swing since 1997:
SW 6.1%
NE 12.1%
SE 12.2%
The possibility of Birmingham Northfield becoming more Conservative than Birmingham Edgbaston has been discussed before.
I wonder is it possible that Wolverhampton NE might become more Conservative than Wolverhampton SW?
It’s seems almost inconceivable.