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Wigan

2010 Results:
Conservative: 10917 (24.73%)
Labour: 21404 (48.49%)
Liberal Democrat: 6797 (15.4%)
BNP: 2506 (5.68%)
UKIP: 2516 (5.7%)
Majority: 10487 (23.76%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 22861 (56.4%)
Conservative: 7840 (19.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 6752 (16.6%)
Other: 3108 (7.7%)
Majority: 15021 (37%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 7134 (20.8%)
Labour: 18901 (55.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 6051 (17.7%)
UKIP: 1166 (3.4%)
Other: 1026 (3%)
Majority: 11767 (34.3%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 6996 (20.8%)
Labour: 20739 (61.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 4970 (14.8%)
Other: 886 (2.6%)
Majority: 13743 (40.9%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 7400 (16.9%)
Labour: 30043 (68.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 4390 (10%)
Referendum: 1450 (3.3%)
Other: 536 (1.2%)
Majority: 22643 (51.7%)

Boundary changes:

Profile:

portraitCurrent MP: Lisa Nandy (Labour) Policy advisor for the Children`s Society. Hammersmith councillor.

2010 election candidates:
portraitMichael Winstanley (Conservative) Wigan councillor. Contested Bolton North East 2001, Blackpool South 2005.
portraitLisa Nandy (Labour) Policy advisor for the Children`s Society. Hammersmith councillor.
portraitMark Clayton (Liberal Democrat) Manchester councillor 1996-2004 and since 2006. Contested North West region 2009 European elections.
portraitAlan Freeman (UKIP)
portraitCharles Mather (BNP)

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 96599
Male: 48.9%
Female: 51.1%
Under 18: 22.9%
Over 60: 21.4%
Born outside UK: 1.9%
White: 98.7%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 0.5%
Mixed: 0.5%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 87.1%
Full time students: 2.1%
Graduates 16-74: 13.9%
No Qualifications 16-74: 37.1%
Owner-Occupied: 67.7%
Social Housing: 23.2% (Council: 20.7%, Housing Ass.: 2.4%)
Privately Rented: 5.1%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 6.4%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide

149 Responses to “Wigan”

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  1. There is a full slate of BNP candidates in the Wigan borough elections.

  2. Lab Hold= 9,000 maj

  3. Lab Hold

    Maj 13700

  4. Lab maj 10,500

  5. LAB HOLD

  6. 10,487 Maj

    You were all of 13 votes out Pete. Pretty impressive.

  7. Where exactly is Wigan Pier. Its not a coastal town.

  8. About 10 minutes drunken stagger from the railway station, if my youthful memories are any guide ;)

  9. Wigan Pier is a jetty where coal barges used to load and unload. You could walk past it without noticing it.

  10. On going attempt to make headway with the 10% MP reduction electoral map takes me to the borough of Wigan….

    Wigan (81,845) – Shevington, Aspull, Wigan Central, Wigan West, Pemberton, Douglas, Ince, and the West Lancashire wards of Wrightington and Parbold.

    Makerfield (83,850) – Worsley Mesnes, Abram, Hindley, Hindley Green, Orrell, Winstanley, Bryn, Ashton, Leigh West

    Leigh (75,545) – Golbourne, Lowton, Atherton, Leigh East, South, Astley, Tyldesley.

  11. Sorry, but Leigh is still too small.

  12. I thought that, Shaun, but not sure how to resolve that. Leigh West has a 2010 electorate of 10,403, so moving it out of Makerfield results in c73k/c85k.

  13. I’m working my way back up Lancs from the Gtr border (hence the Wigan/Lancs cross-border seat). West Lancashire is 78,318 if you take the existing borough but remove Wrightington and Parbold.

  14. I think we’re going to have to move to a system of much smaller wards generally-and particularly in the metropolitan areas where you are quite right 10,000 or more electors is just far too much.

  15. I’ve hit an easy patch here – West Lancs 78,318 (borough minus Wrightonington, Parbold); Chorley 79,444 (entire borough), South Ribble 79,660 (entire borough minus Coupe Green, Salmesbury).

    On ward electorates, you’re right, 10,000+ is perhaps far too much. Let us not forget that, there will be a mush of confusion if a review into ward sizes AND constituency reduction AND voting systems all happened at once…

  16. Thats very true Doktorb. But as I say, I don’t expect the boundary commissioners to get off their behind’s until 2015-2020!

    Actually, here in stoke we are in the middle of an emergency local boundary review ahead of the all out elections next year. Almost all of our wards are single member and down to just a few thousand electorate in the provisional recommendations. There are a couple of multi-member wards dissapointingly retained, but if the sinlge member option is accepted through to the final recommendations, then it could have a profound effect on our longer term constituenc boundaries. It will be much easier to hive off wards and move them between neighbouring seats.

  17. Hmm. Seem to be quite stumped now.

    Ribble Valley at 81,596 by combining the district with two South Ribble wards and the northern bits of Preston…but that leaves Preston at 67,118 with nowhere else to go….

    Methinks the drive to reduce the size of the HoC will be as slow and steady as I am proving with just two counties…..so expect the Commission to sort it out by 2018 or 2020…..

  18. Doktob

    Just think of the difficulties you’re going to have with Birmingham.

    Either constituencies the same size as now or 25% bigger.

  19. Unless the boundary commission is obliged by the new rules to divide wards between constituencies if it’s necessary to meet the equality criteria…

  20. You’d have fun calculating notionals in that case ;-)

  21. That would be a nightmare if they did that for precisely for that reason and also because it would no longer be possible to work out aggregate votes by constituency from local elections. If they do that I think we’ll all be spending more time with our girlfriends :|

  22. I think, all things considered, with my little local difficulty recently, spending more time with girlfriends is the last thing I want to do…… =!

  23. That is quite intriguing……

  24. I assume polling districts could be used as units rather than wards.

    I know that for county council elections (in my area at least) wards are split between the divisions used for those elections, with polling districts from the same ward being included in different county council divisions.

  25. Doktorb – I might be missing something, but with the 10% reduction in MPs, the average electorate would be around 77500, with a 5% variance either side. Therefore, why would Leigh, Makerfield or Wigan have to be changed at all?

  26. I think we should start by agreeing on the total notional UK electorate in, say, 2012.

    Then, assuming we all agree to divide that figure into four units: England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, will county boundaries be sacrosant? And which county boundaries? For example, I was born in Sale when it was in Cheshire. Now it is in Greater Manchester. I don’t mind Sale being linked with Altrincham but resent any connection with Wythenshawe – although it was in Cheshire until 1929.

    No point in starting until we gets rules sorted out.

  27. Brigg & Goole is a cross-county seat. If there’s a straight 10% reduction then Cornwall (currently 6 seats) is due 5.4 – will there be a cross-border seat with West Devon?

    In order to generate “fair votes” (Cameron’s interpretation being equalised electorates) I fail to see how county boundaries can be sacrosanct

  28. Ironically my example of Brigg & Goole will probably be a seat that goes, re-establishing the county boundary, in the review. East Yorkshire (taken as the counties of East Riding and Kingston-upon-Hull) have 6.5 seats – a logical way to reduce it to 6 would be to end the cross-county seat – probably by creating something like Brigg & Howden and expanding a couple of the Hull seats (down from 3 to 2.7 presumably) into the East Riding

  29. Paul D – if Cameron is taken literally even national boundaries (with Wales & Scotland) can’t be sacrosanct!

  30. Another strongly Labour seat where the Tories advanced significantly in 2001 and 2010, but not 2005.

  31. Labour’s share was significantly lower this year than in 1983 (on almost identical boundaries) and is actually their lowest share in Wigan since 1918

  32. I’ve not left western Lancashire yet…. =!

    Preston is at 79,856, taking in some parts of South Ribble around Walton-le-Dale, Brig, and as far south as Coupe Green, essentially the 1997 Preston….

    Ribble Valley is at 80,164, taking in the Roe Lee ward of Blackburn, and swooping around Preston east to west in an arm-around-the-shoulder sort of way, again kind-of-ish the 1997 RV.

    South Ribble is at 81,271, no longer takes anything from West Lancs, keeping Lostock/Eccleston from Chorley.

    All this means Chorley HAS to cross into Bolton.

    I’m glad this process is going to take a long time, it’s taking me ages…..

  33. I am actually from orrell in makerfield and want to pay a tribute michael winstanley, who is now the mayor. He contested the wigan constituency and got a 10% swing, which is incredible in a stubborn area like wigan. If the same happens next election we could win wigan easily. It was a shame about loosing orrell to labour this time.

  34. I see a by-election is happening next month in Central ward because of the resignation of a Conservative councillor. This is bound to be a major target for Labour.

  35. Does Central ward refer to central Wigan? I assumed that area would be strongly Labour although I haven’t researched it.

  36. Yes it’s WIgan Central ward. The Conservatives had all three seats there but suffered some defections to Wigan Independent Conservatives and it was a split in the Tory vote occasioned by one of these standing for re-election in 2010 which allowed Labour in to win a seat then. Its based on the old Swinley ward which was generally Conservative until the 1990s and includes the ‘excellent wooded residential district in the north of the town’ described by Robert Waller in his Almanac

  37. The Labour vote went 3 ways here – Con; BNP & UKIP.

    As Pete noted, Wigan council (which covers this seat and 3 others bizarrely) had some very close contests between Labour and Inds. It seems they’re very strong in these parts, as well as CAP, BNP and 2 Tory parties (Wigan & Wigan Ind Cons).

    It’ll be interesting who prevails on a lower turnout in the by-election.

  38. It was always likely to be Labour, and it was – but a somewhat muted gain with only a modest swing since last year. It seems that most of those who had voted BNP previously voted Conservative this time in the absence of a BNP candidate. Labour’s vote did rise by nearl6 6 & a half per cent though which is hardly disastrous. Here’s the result :
    Lab 1165 (48.6; +6.4)
    Con 652 (27.2; +1.2)
    Wigan Independent Conservatives 393 (16.4; -2.2)
    UKIP 189 (7.9; -0.2)
    [BNP (0.0; -5.2)]
    Majority 513
    Turnout not known
    Lab gain from Con
    Percentage change is since May 2010.

  39. The electorate of Wigan Central was 9,276 in December so the turnout would have been about 25.9%.

  40. Labour selection timetable

    Closing date for expressing an interest (aka sending CVs): next Monday
    Shortlisting: Wednesday
    Selection: Saturday

  41. Ops, sorry. Wrong thread. I thought I was in Leicester South !

  42. You are hereby forgiven. Thanks Andrea for providing us as always with such up-to-date information about candidates.

  43. A bigger yes vote here than I would have expected.

  44. It appeared from BBc Question Time that Andy Burnham was campaigning for a Yes vote which may have had some influence in this borough

  45. I see that the Tory PPC here and Group Leader lost his seat.

  46. Another site refers to this MP as Asian. Is she? Must be only a quarter as I saw her speak in Parliament today and she looked ‘White UK’ to me. Jonathan Sayeed was also listed as both.

  47. Jonathan Sayeed is of mixed Indian & British heritage but prefers for some reason to be thought of as white.
    Nandy is an Indian name I think & it’s always worth noting that many North Indians & Pakistanis have very light skin pigmentation. I would imagine though that she’s of mixed race.

  48. She is mixed race according to reliable information I’ve seen posted on another website.

  49. JJB has gone into administration, with the potential loss of all 4,000 jobs. At it’s height, in 2005, it employed 12,000, including 1,200 in Wigan and shares were £21.

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