Walsall North
2010 Results:
Conservative: 12395 (34.25%)
Labour: 13385 (36.99%)
Liberal Democrat: 4754 (13.14%)
BNP: 2930 (8.1%)
UKIP: 1737 (4.8%)
Christian: 144 (0.4%)
Others: 842 (2.33%)
Majority: 990 (2.74%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 15608 (47.7%)
Conservative: 8939 (27.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 4136 (12.6%)
Other: 4014 (12.3%)
Majority: 6669 (20.4%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 9350 (28%)
Labour: 15990 (47.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 4144 (12.4%)
BNP: 1992 (6%)
UKIP: 1182 (3.5%)
Other: 770 (2.3%)
Majority: 6640 (19.9%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 9388 (29.1%)
Labour: 18779 (58.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 2923 (9%)
UKIP: 812 (2.5%)
Other: 410 (1.3%)
Majority: 9391 (29.1%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 11929 (27.5%)
Labour: 24517 (56.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 4050 (9.4%)
Referendum: 1430 (3.3%)
Other: 1376 (3.2%)
Majority: 12588 (29.1%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: David Winnick(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Helyn Clack (Conservative) David Winnick(Labour) (more information at They work for you)Nadia Fazal (Liberal Democrat)Liz Hazell (UKIP) Chris Woodall (BNP) Babar Shakir (Christian Party) Peter Smith (Democratic Labour)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 90195
Male: 48.5%
Female: 51.5%
Under 18: 25.6%
Over 60: 19.7%
Born outside UK: 4.3%
White: 91.2%
Black: 1.2%
Asian: 5.9%
Mixed: 1.5%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 74.8%
Hindu: 0.6%
Muslim: 2.2%
Sikh: 2.8%
Full time students: 2%
Graduates 16-74: 7.2%
No Qualifications 16-74: 48.6%
Owner-Occupied: 56.3%
Social Housing: 35.8% (Council: 29.6%, Housing Ass.: 6.2%)
Privately Rented: 3.9%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 17.7%
“Pete, do you have any more information on how well the SDP did in Walsall in 1982? Do you know exactly how many wards they won?”
They (the Alliance that is rather than specifically the SDP) won Short Heath and Willenhall North very easily in straight fights with Labour. They also topped the poll in Bloxwich West and Willenhall South which were both close three ways so I don;t know if they won all the seats (I don;t actually have the 1982 figures but I have the 1986 figures showing the changes since 1982). Bloxwich East and Blakenall were won by Independents with Labour just winning in Birchills Leamore
It’s hard to think of the Lib Dems winning Bloxwich West now.
Thanks for that little insight Pete. Much appreciated
I was Labour agent in my home seat of Richmond Park in 2001. The LDs had some success in squeezing Labour in their better areas that year, but our (admittedly smallish) vote only declined by a small amount in percentage terms in the seat that year – only one other LD seat saw a smaller decline in Labour’s vote.
There were a number of seats such as Hereford and Hazel Grove however saw an increase in Labour’s share – quite substantial in the latter case, so to describe the second lowest decline as being the second best result is a bit disingenuous
I must say that we hadn’t noticed that at the time but I accept that we made a statistical error Pete. Sorry.
There will be a by-election in the Bloxwich West ward on November 15th caused by the resignation of a Labour Councillor. It was a seat Labour gained in 2011 so it’s unlikely to affect the delicate balance of power on the council.
A Labour hold isn’t a given in a Bloxwich ward though it would be surprising if it were lost as things have been in the last year or so.
Wonder which party a low turnout would favour, you would think the tories but who knows?
I think Labour hold all three seats in Bloxwich West now. They gained one in a by-election just after the 2010 election, one in 2011 and the last one this year.
The Bloxwich West ward contains 3 large housing estates, 2 council and 1 private and slightly affluent.
It entirely possible the Conservatives could gain it, but unlikely. If they did it would put Labour and Conservatives neck and neck with 27 seats each on the borough council.
And bear in mind this is a by-election in a marginal ward in a Westminster seat the Tories need to win on current boundaries if they’re to win a majority in 2015.
This could be a key test to see how things are going for the Conservatives in the key black country marginals.