Comments on: Wallasey

By: Louis

Louis — Mon, 30 May 2011 17:32:59 +0000

2011 local election results (rounded to the nearest % point)

Leasowe and Moreton East

2010 L 52 C 30 LD 13 UKIP 3
2011 L 55 C 35 UKIP 3 GREEN 3

Liscard

2010 L 47 C 36 LD 10 UKIP 3 GREEN 3
2011 L 54 C 36 UKIP 4 GREEN 3

Moreton West and Saughall Massie
2010 C 41 L 37 LD 14 UKIP 3 BNP 3
2011 C 50 L 40 UKIP 4 LD 3

New Brighton
2010 L 44 C 31 LD 17 GREEN 5 UKIP 3
2011 L 50 C 35 GREEN 6 UKIP 6 LD 4

Seacombe
2010 L 63 C 17 LD 14 UKIP 4
2011 L 64 C 21 UKIP 9 GREEN 3 LD 3

Wallasey
2010 C 43 L 36 LD 15 UKIP 3
2011 C 49 L 37 LD 5 UKIP 4 GREEN 4

By: Jackie South

Jackie South — Fri, 15 Apr 2011 10:24:51 +0000

I’ve had a go at trying to work out what will happen to this seat through the boundary review. It looks as if Labour are likely to retain any successor to ths seat, and the Chalker years really were an aberation:

http://www.allthatsleft.co.uk/2011/04/labour-lose-seat-on-the-wirral/

By: Votedave

Votedave — Mon, 05 Jul 2010 10:10:12 +0000

I typed in the share of the votes from the 1931 general election into Electoral Caculus last night, and Wallasey was still a Labour hold.
It’s a shame Lynda Chalker didn’t return to the Commons in 1997 – but she had already been given a peerage and had continued to serve as a minister until then.

By: Joe James B

Joe James B — Sun, 04 Jul 2010 22:41:16 +0000

The LD vote halved in 1992 and went to Labour,
as Linda Chalker re-iterated at the count.

In 2008, there was a discussion on this thread, at a tangent, about seats with the fewest posts on them.

” JOE JAMES B
I’m trying to get a bit of interest in Redcar.
7 comments so far.
August 20th, 2008 at 7:43 pm ”

Well, I didn’t know what was to come.

By: Andy JS

Andy JS — Sun, 04 Jul 2010 22:27:37 +0000

Looking back 1992 was a pretty amazing result for the Tories polling 22,722 votes compared to 22,791 in 1987.

By: Joe James B

Joe James B — Sun, 04 Jul 2010 22:15:55 +0000

The Con vote has actually increased 7.5% since 1997 (having dropped around 18% then).

Nevertheless,
it is clearly too small to compete with Labour on a General Election turnout.

Even so, the amount of difference between local and national was a bit of a shock, as it sounds like the Tories had worked hard and deserved a better result, in my view.

Labour’s absolute vote increased quite significantly..

By: Wirral Herald

Wirral Herald — Mon, 24 May 2010 19:58:09 +0000

Quite agree on the fact that the Tories did not do well in Merseyside. The one seat they won had a majority of far less than most people thought. Now Lancashire, I’m not so sure of. To win Rossendale and Pendle (seats they lost in 1992) was quite an achievement as well as Blackpool North and Morecambe must be satisfactory though there must be disappinrment in Blackpool South, Chorley and West Lancashire. In many ways the Tories’ Merseyside performance is on a par with theirs’ in Scotland

By: Joe James B

Joe James B — Sat, 08 May 2010 18:31:48 +0000

Another example of a largely urban seat
where the contest is Lab-Con
where strong local election performances by the latter hasn’t come off.
Tynemouth is another, and several in London.

Perhaps people have a view that Labour councils are likely to be badly run, but not the government.

In my opinion, a disappointing Tory result – they deserved to do better,
although there was a swing.

By: Votedave

Votedave — Sat, 08 May 2010 09:23:08 +0000

We’ve not done well in Lancashire or Merseyside – Wirral South was particularly disappointing.

By: Keith G

Keith G — Sat, 08 May 2010 06:11:42 +0000

I haven’t commented on this site for a good while but I felt I had to comment on the result here.

It seems clear that the Wallasey Tories have been victims of a massive surge in Labour support in the urban constituencies.

That appears to be trend accross England as many of the city areas fell to labour with reasonable to moderate swings.

In Wallasey the Tory Parliamentary candidate not only failed to take the seat but lost her council seat in the process. Indeed their Moreton West canndidate won with only a 340 majority. A significant shift on previous results.

A LIB CON coalition in Westminster will almost certainly force the Conservatives to adopt a more social democratic agenda.