Vale of Clwyd
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 15005 (46.1%)
Conservative: 10279 (31.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 3846 (11.8%)
Plaid Cymru: 2328 (7.1%)
Other: 1116 (3.4%)
Majority: 4726 (14.5%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 10206 (31.6%)
Labour: 14875 (46%)
Liberal Democrat: 3820 (11.8%)
Plaid Cymru: 2309 (7.1%)
UKIP: 375 (1.2%)
Other: 728 (2.3%)
Majority: 4669 (14.4%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 10418 (32.2%)
Labour: 16179 (50%)
Liberal Democrat: 3058 (9.5%)
Plaid Cymru: 2300 (7.1%)
UKIP: 391 (1.2%)
Majority: 5761 (17.8%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 11662 (29.8%)
Labour: 20617 (52.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 3425 (8.8%)
Plaid Cymru: 2301 (5.9%)
Referendum: 834 (2.1%)
Other: 293 (0.7%)
Majority: 8955 (22.9%)
Boundary changes
Current MP: Chris Ruane (Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates:
Matt Wright (Conservative) Contested Vale of Clwyd in 2007 Welsh Assembly elections.
Mark Young (Liberal Democrat) Contested Vale of Clwyd in 2007 Welsh Assembly elections.
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 70884
Male: 47.5%
Female: 52.5%
Under 18: 22.6%
Over 60: 26%
Born outside UK: 2.8%
White: 98.8%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 0.4%
Mixed: 0.5%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 77.6%
Full time students: 2.5%
Graduates 16-74: 15.5%
No Qualifications 16-74: 33%
Owner-Occupied: 72.4%
Social Housing: 13.3% (Council: 9.4%, Housing Ass.: 3.9%)
Privately Rented: 11.1%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 12.7%
Neil - a bit generous here I feel
I know that Labour is unpopular but Chris has big local support and has had a good image
Personally - my bet is he will lose it by 500-1000 but beware of BNP - they are active in Kinmel Bay etc and their love of rubbing out Conservative votes may happen - so if they actually do a strong stand (or otherwise either Alyn and D or Wrexham being my stronger guess for their appearance in North Wales) then Chris will scrape it by 1000
My neckof the woods in Prestatyn is sewn up for Matt Wright by the looks of it.
Kinmel Bay is in Clwyd West not VoC though.
Hi Richard - I’d like to question the theory about BNP voters upsetting the Conservative vote…….is Burnley a strong Conservative seat?? I don’t believe that it is. Why is it that it is always the Labour party stating that ‘if you don’t vote Labour then this could open the door for BNP’. Why is Labour now stating that only ‘foreign workers need ID cards’ and that ‘council house allocation priority will be given to ‘local people’ - I think that the real situation is that the BNP is a bigger threat to the Labour party.
I think the Lib Dem candidate has resigned in VoC.