Uxbridge and South Ruislip
Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 16519 (42.9%)
Labour: 11318 (29.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 8033 (20.9%)
BNP: 548 (1.4%)
Other: 2061 (5.4%)
Majority: 5201 (13.5%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 16840 (49%)
Labour: 10669 (31%)
Liberal Democrat: 4544 (13.2%)
BNP: 763 (2.2%)
Green: 725 (2.1%)
UKIP: 553 (1.6%)
Other: 284 (0.8%)
Majority: 6171 (18%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 15751 (47.1%)
Labour: 13653 (40.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 3426 (10.3%)
UKIP: 588 (1.8%)
Majority: 2098 (6.3%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 18095 (43.6%)
Labour: 17371 (41.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 4528 (10.9%)
Referendum: 1153 (2.8%)
Other: 398 (1%)
Majority: 724 (1.7%)
Boundary changes: loses Ickenham and part of West Ruislip to Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner. In exchange it gains Cavendish, South Ruislip and Manor wards.The name of the seat is changed to Uxbridge and South Ruislip.
Profile: A suburban seat on the fringe of west London, this covers Uxbridge, Hillingdon, Cowley and Yiewsley and then, north of Northolt Aerodrome which runs down the middle of the seat, South Ruislip.
This is middle-of-the-road suburbia, hidden away at the end at the far end of the Metropolitan line. A relatively safe Conservative seat, it has seen held by the Conservatives since 1970 but not always by large majorities. The new boundaries take away the strongly Conservative Ickenham, but bring in the Conservative/Lib Dem marginal area of South Ruislip - thus the Conservative majority falls only slightly, but their share of the vote falls more significantly - it’s just that their opposition is now more evenly split. In 1997 this became the first by-election hold for the Conservatives since 1997 when John Randall was returned following the death of Michael Shersby, the first time the Tories had held a seat at a by-election since William Hague held Richmond in 1989.
Current MP: John Randall (Con) born 1955, Uxbridge. Educated at Rutland House school, Merchant Taylor’s School and the University of London. Managed the family department store, Randalls of Uxbridge. First elected as MP for Uxbridge in the 1997 by-election. Opposition whip since 1999, despite a brief break in 2003 after resigning over the Iraq war (more information at They work for you)
Candidates:
Mike Cox (Liberal Democrat) educated at Salesian Missionary College and Brunel University. Chartered accountant. Hillingdon Councillor. Contested Ruislip Northwood 2001, 2005.
Sidharath Garg (Labour) Hillingdon councillor.
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 89638
Male: 48.5%
Female: 51.5%
Under 18: 22.8%
Over 60: 17.8%
Born outside UK: 14.1%
White: 85.4%
Black: 2.5%
Asian: 8.2%
Mixed: 2.2%
Other: 1.7%
Christian: 68.2%
Hindu: 2.9%
Muslim: 3.6%
Sikh: 1.8%
Full time students: 6.7%
Graduates 16-74: 19.5%
No Qualifications 16-74: 24%
Owner-Occupied: 73.1%
Social Housing: 15.4% (Council: 11.7%, Housing Ass.: 3.8%)
Privately Rented: 8.2%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 5.2%
















39 Responses
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Ruislip Northwood
This is down to methodolgy again, similar to ocured in Croydon Central. South Ruislip was a three member ward and the NF fielded only one candidate. If you go to the Hillingdon website it will give you the figure you have repeated because it counts all the candidates of the major parties seperately. On that basis the Tories got 14.9% of the vote in South Ruislip (but won).
November 19th, 2007 at 10:03 pmAs people had three votes you are effectively counting the Conservative, Labour and Lib Dem vote three times.
You should probably prefer to be a bit more sure of your own facts/methodolgy if you are going to challenge people in quite such an aggresive manner.
I don’t have the figures available for South Ruislip ward or Harefield ward, but the only meaningful basis for calculating a percentage is the number of votes for the candidate divided by the number of ballot papers.
November 20th, 2007 at 2:26 amI’ve just checked the Hillingdon website, and it confirms that the figures for the National Front in 2006 were
South Ruislip: 561 out of 3549 = 15.8%
November 20th, 2007 at 2:31 amHarefield: 581 out of 2264 = 25.7%
Who is this merseymike to slag off Uxbridge? I was in Birkenhead earlier in the year;what a dump! Pete Whitehead is wrong if he thinks all of West Drayton qualifies for the description “shabby”.Certainly not the area round the Green(although no longer in this constituency).Harmondsworth is also very pretty and does not deserve to be under the third runway(which is not quite the done deal Joe Broughton seems to think in view of the growing opposition to Heathrow expansion).Labour might well have won this seat in the 1997 by-election if they hadn’t have kept David Williams(the candidate in the General Election) off the shortlist and parachuted in Andrew Slaughter.The Tories by contrast cleverly selected a well known local figure in John Randall who has held the seat ever since and certainly won’t lose it next time either.Although he doesn’t have a huge majority he has a reputation for being an excellent constituency MP and his oposition to the Iraq war has earned him a lot of respect.
May 7th, 2008 at 1:23 pmTwickenham (& Richmond Park,Windsor)
For the record, I know nothing definite about these compulsory purchase rumours, if that’s all they are.
I would expect John Randall to increase his majority quite a bit actually - but have little local knowledge.
May 7th, 2008 at 5:02 pmBradford South
My prediction 2009/2010
C 50% 21000 +7%
May 7th, 2008 at 7:00 pmLab 23% 10000 -6%
LD 18% 8000 -3%
Any possible compulsory purchases are a long way off.The “consultation” on Heathrow expansion ended some time ago and we are waiting for the Government to announce its decision.We all assume that they wish to proceed to the planning application stage.That this is likely to be highly controversial would be the understatement of the year.If Brown does push ahead it should do wonders for Randall’s majority if nothing else.
May 13th, 2008 at 6:04 pmLondon 2008 results - Uxbridge & South Ruislip (new boundaries):
{Excluding postal votes}
Mayor:
C - 14,347 (55.84%), Lab - 5,829 (22.69%), LD - 2,503 (9.74%), BNP - 1,498 (5.83%)
Constituency Vote, (Ealing & Hillingdon):
C - 13,163 (51.21%), Lab - 4,088 (15.90%), LD - 2,619 (10.19%), National Front - 2,072 (8.06%)
List:
C - 11,514 (44.73%), Lab - 4,434 (17.23%), BNP - 2,738 (10.64%), LD - 2,578 (10.64%)
POSTAL VOTES for whole of Hillingdon:
Mayor: C - 6,511 (51.06%), Lab - 3,595 (28.19%), LD - 1,203 (9.43%), BNP - 503 (3.94%)
Constituency: C - 6,481 (50.72%), Lab - 2,754 (21.55%), LD - 1,072 (8.39%), NF - 681 (5.33%)
List: C - 5,734 (44.88%), Lab - 2,897 (22.68%), LD - 1,092 (8.55%), BNP - 848 (6.64%)
Uxbridge & South Ruislip represented 38.20% / 38.20% / 38.19 % of non-postal Hillingdon votes for the 3 sections respectively.
May 15th, 2008 at 5:53 pmThanks for the figures,Andy.John Randall can obviously sleep very easily in his bed.This looks set to be a very safe Conservative seat again compared with their 2000 majority in 2001.
May 16th, 2008 at 9:58 amPages: « 1 2 [3] Show All