Tynemouth
2010 Results:
Conservative: 18121 (34.41%)
Labour: 23860 (45.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 7845 (14.9%)
BNP: 1404 (2.67%)
UKIP: 900 (1.71%)
Green: 538 (1.02%)
Majority: 5739 (10.89%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 22675 (48.1%)
Conservative: 17143 (36.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 7328 (15.5%)
Other: 0 (0%)
Majority: 5532 (11.7%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 16000 (37.3%)
Labour: 20143 (47%)
Liberal Democrat: 6716 (15.7%)
Majority: 4143 (9.7%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 14686 (33.5%)
Labour: 23364 (53.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 5108 (11.6%)
UKIP: 745 (1.7%)
Majority: 8678 (19.8%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 17045 (33.3%)
Labour: 28318 (55.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 4509 (8.8%)
Referendum: 819 (1.6%)
Other: 462 (0.9%)
Majority: 11273 (22%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Alan Campbell(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Wendy Morton (Conservative) Former Richmondshire councillor. Contested Newcastle Central in 2005.Alan Campbell(Labour) (more information at They work for you)John Appleby (Liberal Democrat) Julia Erskine (Green)Natasha Payne (UKIP)Dorothy Brooke (BNP) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 94421
Male: 47.6%
Female: 52.4%
Under 18: 21.5%
Over 60: 24.2%
Born outside UK: 2.8%
White: 98%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 0.9%
Mixed: 0.5%
Other: 0.4%
Christian: 78%
Muslim: 0.6%
Full time students: 2.9%
Graduates 16-74: 20.8%
No Qualifications 16-74: 28%
Owner-Occupied: 72.7%
Social Housing: 18.7% (Council: 15.5%, Housing Ass.: 3.2%)
Privately Rented: 6.4%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 5.6%
The Tories in Tynemouth would appear to have had their confidence badly knocked by the circumstances in the run up to 2010 and the very poor result then,
but if the national circumstances are good for them next time, and they can sort themselves out here, why would there not be a closer result in 2015?
I don’t think this is likely to be a Sefton Central situation.
I do think the massive amount of split voting that has been revealed suggest it is unlikely to be enough to win though.
But I am about 290 miles away.
”I don’t think this is likely to be a Sefton Central situation.”
But JJB the majority for Labour here is 1, 877 votes more than in Sefton Central.
But there seems to be no long-term hope for the Tories at all in Sefton Central. At least here the Tories do still have some local strength, especially in Cullercoats & Tynemouth itself.
Yes I agree Barnaby. The Tories will probably lose even more councillors in Harington, Ravenmeols and Blundellsands come the 2014 Locals….
The Results – you just go around predicting what you want to believe
despite insisting you are independent.
Your hatred of the Lib Dems is more because of the coalition with the Tories I think.
I’m arguing the Tory result here was artificially bad here last time and that the long term trends are different to Sefton Central.
Interesting result of Wallsend by-election today – Liberal “Focus” team gain from Labour
Ron Bales, Labour – 693
Barbara Bake, Conservatives – 72
Martin Collins, Green – 66
Michael Huscroft , Focus Team -1,158 (elected)
Liberal veteran Michael Huscroft regained council seat from Labour today, Wallsend ward, by around 2 to 1
Tories should get their act together and put their candidate problems behind them.
There’s 2 and a half years to have another go at this seat.
There was a relatively good result in 2005
but it was thrown away.
What price Norma Redfearn as the next mayor?
The Tories have suffered several years of poor local election results. However, they’ve always tended to get a good core vote for mayoral elections. They must be praying for a low turnout which always works to their advantage.
May will be interesting!
How labour ever manged to lose the mayoral election really is quite unbelievable. Most of the area is pretty deprived grotty and metropolitan.
Two words explain why they lost the last election. John Harrison.