218 Responses to “Twickenham”

Pages:« 1 … 11 12 13 14 [15] Show All

1. Joe James B

   I think it would have been interesting if Cable had been given Chief Secretary to the Treasury,
   as he would have had to report to Osborne,
   and would presumably take the flak for the cuts.

   May 12th, 2010 at 11:23 pm
2. Richard

   An interesting contrast to Richmond.

   May 13th, 2010 at 7:32 am
3. Tim Jones

   ‘An interesting contrast to Richmond.’

   Had Cable stood in Richmond I suspect he would have held the seat for the Lib Dems

   The interesting contrast is that seats like this, along with Kingston & Surbiton etc stayed Lib Dem, whilst much poorer neighbouring seatrs – Brentford & Isleworth, Ealing Central, Wimbledon went blue

   Apart from this seat and Kingston & Surbioton, I thought the Lib Dems would have real trouble in South West London but against expectations they increased their majorities in Sutton & Cheam and Carshalton & Wallington.

   The Tories poor performance in London is one of the most untalked about factors of the last election

   I ca\n’t remember the last time a government was formed which didn’t hold most of the London seats

   Do these constituencies not now warrant the description as Liberal Democrat seats?

   May 13th, 2010 at 8:06 am
4. Barnaby JL Marder

   That’s been increasingly evident for a while Richard. It was also very much seen in the 2006 local elections when the Tories did much better on the South than the North side of the river. I think demographic factors will ensure that this division remains.

   May 13th, 2010 at 8:09 am
5. Tim Jones

   ‘2006 local elections when the Tories did much better on the South than the North side of the river. I think demographic factors will ensure that this division remains.’

   The doesn’t square with the fact that theTories only won two seats south of the river, comopared with the six they won North of the River

   There are plenty of seats in south London which the Tories held onto in 80s yet have failed to take back in the latest election – Eltham, Lewisham East, Lewisham West, the Lib Dem seats in the South West

   The Tories picked up Brenford & Isleworth and Ealing Central, both of which are North of the river, and had some of their best results in North East London – stacking up huge majorities in working class seats like Romford, Hornchurch & Upminster

   The Tories performed just as badly in those seats south of the river as in those north of the river, in contrast to their success elsewhere in southern England

   May 13th, 2010 at 4:21 pm
6. Nick Lait

   I would agree entirely with the last posting in that a division will remain between the Middlesex and the Surrey sides of the Richmond Borough.

   Although Jeremy Hanley won the old Richmond & Barnes seat in 1983 and increased his majority in 1987 and 1992 handsomely, the Liberals/Liberal Democrats had an exceptionally strong local government presence and some very safe Wards in the 1980s and even into the early 1990s.

   However, it is a compIetely different story today in 2010 and one could argue that it will be exceptionally difficult for the Lib Dems to make any gains on the Richmond side of the river in 2014.

   Although Richmond now appears to be an unpredictable Borough – 2002 CON (39 CON, 15 LD) 2006 LD (36 LD, 18 CON) and 2010 CON (30 CON 24 LD), the Richmond side of the river is actually more stable.

   Putting aside 2006, the Conservatives won 16 out of the 21 council seats in 2002 on the Richmond side of the Borough. In 2010, they won 17 out of the 21 council seats.

   I think it is true to say that Barnes, East Sheen, South Richmond and dare I say, Mortlake & Barnes Common, can be considered safe Tory Wards.

   Kew and North Richmond Wards, if further demographic change takes place, will, I suspect move more firmly into the Tory ‘camp’. Coupled with this, is that Ham & Petersham is now a highly marginal Ward, with the Lib Dems holding just one seat by nine votes.

   Any improvement in the Labour vote over the next four years, even a small one – particularly a movement from Lib Dem to Labour, aligned with the continuation of the ‘Zac factor’ and we could see in 2014 very nearly 100% Conservative Wards on the Richmond side.

   The exceptionally high property prices are, and have been, triggering this change and the long term drift will continue to be in the Conservatives favour. This is perhaps most striking in places such as Mortlake where some of the streets now have a feel about them like those in Fulham and Battersea.

   This side of the Borough is very different to parts of the Middlesex side, particularly places like Whitton. Interestingly, in Heathfield Ward the Labour vote more than doubled to just over 15%.

   The Middlesex side could well be the one to watch in four years time.

   May 15th, 2010 at 7:27 am
7. Harry Porter

   Has Eel Pie Island always been in this seat since its creation in 1918, and which seat was it in before then?

   June 19th, 2010 at 9:17 pm
8. Barnaby JL Marder

   Before this seat was created Twickenham was in Brentford so I should imagine the answer to your question is yes, and Brentford, Harry.

   June 19th, 2010 at 10:11 pm

Pages: « 1 … 11 12 13 14 [15] Show All

Leave a Reply

NB: Before commenting please make sure you are familiar with the Comments Policy. UKPollingReport is a site for non-partisan discussion of elections and polls.

You are currently not registered or not logged into UKPolling Report. Registration is voluntary, but STRONGLY encouraged - it means you don't need to type in your details, you don't have the annoying Captcha thing and your comments can appear in party colours if you wish. You can register or login here.

Name (required)

Mail (will not be published) (required)

Website

CAPTCHA Code