The UKPollingReport election guide for 2010 has now been archived and all comments will shortly be closed. The new Election Guide for the 2015 election is now online at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide. The old site is archived at the UK Web Archive.
.

Tatton

2010 Results:
Conservative: 24687 (54.58%)
Labour: 7803 (17.25%)
Liberal Democrat: 10200 (22.55%)
Independent: 2243 (4.96%)
Others: 298 (0.66%)
Majority: 14487 (32.03%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 21522 (51.5%)
Labour: 9927 (23.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 9083 (21.7%)
Other: 1246 (3%)
Majority: 11595 (27.8%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 21447 (51.8%)
Labour: 9716 (23.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 9016 (21.8%)
UKIP: 996 (2.4%)
Other: 239 (0.6%)
Majority: 11731 (28.3%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 19860 (48.1%)
Labour: 11249 (27.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 7685 (18.6%)
UKIP: 769 (1.9%)
Other: 1715 (4.2%)
Majority: 8611 (20.9%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 18277 (37.5%)
Other: 30515 (62.5%)

Boundary changes:

Profile: A semi-rural seat in Cheshire, covering the western part of the Borough of Macclesfield and part of Vale Royal. The name Tatton is drawn from Tatton Park, a stately home within the constituency. Tatton lies to the immediate south-west of Greater Manchester, and largely consists of prosperous and affluent villages inhabited by Manchester`s affluent middle class. The main towns are Knutsford, Wilmslow and Alderley Edge, which has become well known as the home of the Manchester super-rich, most notably several Manchester United football players.

Under normal circumstances the seat is solidly Conservative. In 1997 however it was famously lost to the television news reporter Martin Bell, who stood as an independent candidate against the then Conservative MP Neil Hamilton who had become embroiled in the cash-for-questions scandal. Labour and the Liberal Democrats stood aside for Bell and he successfully won the seat. Having pledged to serve only for one term, Bell stood down in 2001 and the seat once again became a safe Conservative berth.

portraitCurrent MP: George Osborne(Conservative) born 1971, London, heir to the Osborne baronetcy and wallpaper company Osborne and Little. Educated at St Paul`s and Oxford University. Prior to his election worked as a special advisor to Douglas Hogg and then as Political Secretary to William Hague. First elected as MP for Tatton in 2001. Shadow Chief Secretary 2004-2005, Shadow Chancellor since 2005. Chancellor of the Exchequer since 2010 (more information at They work for you)

2010 election candidates:
portraitGeorge Osborne(Conservative) born 1971, London, heir to the Osborne baronetcy and wallpaper company Osborne and Little. Educated at St Paul`s and Oxford University. Prior to his election worked as a special advisor to Douglas Hogg and then as Political Secretary to William Hague. First elected as MP for Tatton in 2001. Shadow Chief Secretary 2004-2005, Shadow Chancellor since 2005 (more information at They work for you)
portraitRichard Jackson (Labour) Educated at Bristol University. Veterinary surgeon.
portraitDavid Lomax (Liberal Democrat) High Peak councillor.
portraitMichael Gibson (True English Poetry)
portraitSarah Flannery (Independent)

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 80765
Male: 48.4%
Female: 51.6%
Under 18: 21%
Over 60: 24.7%
Born outside UK: 5%
White: 97.7%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 0.9%
Mixed: 0.7%
Other: 0.6%
Christian: 80.6%
Muslim: 0.7%
Full time students: 2.2%
Graduates 16-74: 28.5%
No Qualifications 16-74: 21.8%
Owner-Occupied: 78.1%
Social Housing: 12.7% (Council: 9%, Housing Ass.: 3.7%)
Privately Rented: 6.2%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 7.4%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide

220 Responses to “Tatton”

1 3 4 5
  1. Osborne might swap jobs with Hunt.
    Cable will go to Agriculture.

  2. David Cameron might swap jobs with Nick Clegg.

    Ken Clarke might be made Deputy Prime Minister.

    And I might be brought into the government as Minister for Europe.

    A lot of things might happen-or rather, COULD happen. But they won’t.

    The fact is that Cameron has less scope to reshuffle his cabinet than almost any other Prime Minister in recent history. Don’t expect any big bang changes. The main changes will be tinkering around the margins with jobs such as the Welsh Secretary.

    Oh, and expect the size of the cabinet to grow by another 2 seats as Cameron tries to bring David Laws in without having to sack any Lib Dem that is already there (thereby also having to appoint an extra Tory to keep the overall balance the same and not upsetting the right wing).
    I suspect he’ll make the post of Leader of the House a cabinet post again (as it should always have been anyway).

    But anyone expecting a reshuffle to in any way make anythnig any better is going to be sorely dissapointed.

  3. I would really like to see David Davis in the cabinet and even John Redwood, I can’t see any of them them making it though.

  4. I think if DC et al can patch up their relationship with DD he could be worth a gamble if things get sticky. JR is a great thinker and we should put him in a policy making position but he does not come across well enough for cabinet.

  5. I thought the reason DD did not replace Liam Fox last year was because he didn’t actually want to join the cabinet though?

  6. I think Richard was being a bit ‘cranky’ when he just tried to describe Tatton as less middle class than other northern tory constituencies.

    I know Knutsford etc very well and sure there will be self employed builders etc there but Tatton is very middle class!

  7. My impression is it is very middle class,
    despite the cod “footy” influence.

    Very nice area for the most part.

  8. Indie rock band Doves come from the Tatton constituency, specifically the rock solid Tory town of Wilmslow.

  9. Yes and the charlatons from nearby northwich

  10. Spelling I know wrong.

  11. Some more North West bands with origins and constituencies in brackets-

    1. James (Whalley Range, Manchester Gorton)
    2. The Chameleons (Middleton, Heywood and Middleton)
    3. Starsailor (Chorley, Chorley)
    4. The Verve (Wigan, Wigan)
    5. Puressence (Failsworth, Ashton-under-Lyne)

  12. I didn’t know The Verve were from Wigan – I guessed it was more likely to be some politically correct part of London.
    They did some good music though.

    Also,
    The Mock Turtles ( Middleton.)

    I like the Charlatans.
    Haven’t heard of the other 3 you mention above.

  13. ”I didn’t know The Verve were from Wigan – I guessed it was more likely to be some politically correct part of London.
    They did some good music though.”

    I know what you mean. That sort of post-Britpop anthemic guitar-driven rock that was prevalent everywhere in the UK well into the early 2000’s from various bands.

    But of course this has nothing to do with politics!

  14. I’ve been in 2 bands myself – but neither was “from” anywhere in particular. The first band I was in, however, was based in Ampthill, Beds. Musical hotbed lol

  15. I remember there was a music award program – must have been late 1990s, or perhaps just into the 2000s,
    which the Verve won,
    but they were not present on the program,
    – it would appear making a point – of playing in some
    s***hole basement in Brixton.

  16. ”- it would appear making a point – of playing in some
    s***hole basement in Brixton.”

    They were certainly a band that never stopped touring, particularly in the wake of their massive success with Urban Hymns.

  17. Prediction for 2015-
    Osborne (Tory)- 24, 987 (55.1%, +0.5%)
    Labour- 9, 559 (21.1%, +3.8%)
    Lib Dem- 7, 753 (17.1%, -5.5^)
    Others- 2, 989 (6.5%, +0.9%)

    Con hold.
    Turnout- 45, 288.
    Majority- 15, 428 (34.0%)

    Swing- +3.0% From Lib Dem To Con.

  18. Which seats have Wilmslow and Alderley Edge been in? I believe the latter has only been in Tatton since 1997

  19. Wilmslow was in Knutsford between 1885 and 1974, Cheadle between 1974 and 1983 and Tatton thereafter.

    Alderley Edge was also in Knutsford until 1974, then Macclesfield from 1974 to 1997 whereupon it joined Tatton. Indeed, I suspect it was the addition of Alderley Edge which made the re-drawn Tatton one of the safest Tory seats in the country going into the 1997 election.

  20. Thanks to Tory for his detailed answer – only confirmed what I suspected 🙂

    ‘I suspect it was the addition of Alderley Edge which made the re-drawn Tatton one of the safest Tory seats in the country going into the 1997 election’ Tatton has always been affluent Tory-leaning territory for its 30-year existence so the redrawn 1997 boundaries probably made it even safter – at least on paper…cos we all know who won it then! Neil Hamilton held the biggest majority in the constituency’s history – 17,094 over the SDP in 1987, while Osborne had the lowest – 8,611 over Labour in 2001 (of course it was somewhat more comfortable in 2010)

1 3 4 5