Swansea West
2010 Results:
Conservative: 7407 (20.81%)
Labour: 12335 (34.66%)
Liberal Democrat: 11831 (33.24%)
Plaid Cymru: 1437 (4.04%)
BNP: 910 (2.56%)
UKIP: 716 (2.01%)
Green: 404 (1.14%)
TUSC: 179 (0.5%)
Independent: 374 (1.05%)
Majority: 504 (1.42%)
2005 Results:
Labour: 13833 (41.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 9564 (28.9%)
Conservative: 5285 (16%)
Plaid Cymru: 2150 (6.5%)
Other: 2254 (6.8%)
Majority: 4269 (12.9%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 6094 (19%)
Labour: 15644 (48.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 5313 (16.6%)
Plaid Cymru: 3404 (10.6%)
UKIP: 653 (2%)
Green: 626 (2%)
Other: 366 (1.1%)
Majority: 9550 (29.8%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 8289 (20.5%)
Labour: 22748 (56.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 5872 (14.5%)
Plaid Cymru: 2675 (6.6%)
Other: 885 (2.2%)
Majority: 14459 (35.7%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Geraint Davies (Labour) born 1960, Chester. Educated at Llanishen Comprehensive, Cardiff and Oxford University. Former marketing manager. Croydon councillor 1986-1997 and former leader of Croydon council. Contested Croydon South 1987, Croydon Central 1992, 2005. Served as MP for Croydon Central betwen 1997 and 2005.
Ren? Kinzett (Conservative) Geraint Davies (Labour) born 1960, Chester. Educated at Llanishen Comprehensive, Cardiff and Oxford University. Former marketing manager. Croydon councillor 1986-1997 and former leader of Croydon council. Contested Croydon South 1987, Croydon Central 1992, 2005. Served as MP for Croydon Central betwen 1997 and 2005. 
Peter May (Liberal Democrat) Maths and science tutor. Swansea councillor since 2004. Contested Swansea West in 2007 Welsh assembly elections.Harri Roberts (Plaid Cymru) Keith Ross (Green)Timothy Jenkins (UKIP) 
Rob Williams (TUSC) Trade union convenor at Linamar Swansea. Contested Wales in 2009 European elections for No2EU
Ian McCloy (Independent) Born Newport. Headteacher.Alan Bateman (Support our Troops Bring them Home)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 65936
Male: 49%
Female: 51%
Under 18: 19.5%
Over 60: 22.9%
Born outside UK: 5.5%
White: 96.3%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 1.8%
Mixed: 0.7%
Other: 0.9%
Christian: 66.7%
Muslim: 1.9%
Full time students: 13.7%
Graduates 16-74: 19.3%
No Qualifications 16-74: 30.5%
Owner-Occupied: 61.4%
Social Housing: 22.2% (Council: 14.5%, Housing Ass.: 7.8%)
Privately Rented: 11.9%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 5.5%
The labour candidate is not helped by his expenses record either…. Swansea has a lot of public sector workers and we need someone who will stand up for us.
LIB DEM Gain by 650
LD GAIN
LD majority 250
Ladbrokes think this will be a LD gain.
Labour majority – 250.
sneaky lib gain
LD GAIN
Good luck everybody…
… except the BNP.. … you suck!
big sigh of relief for Geraint Davies. He’s survived & now will enjoy first-time incumbency next time around, if he does a good job. He got the benefit of it in 2001 in Croydon Central, too.
The Tory vote rose slightly more than the LD vote which could have cost the LDs the seat.
With the reduction of 10 of 40 seats, would it be correct to assume that the area covered by 4 seats (Gower, Swansea East, Swansea West and Neath) become three seats?
Gower & Swansea West
Neath & Gowerton
Swansea East
‘Gower & Swansea West’ would be interesting because it would not cover more Labour West Central Swansea or the more urban part of the Gower constituency.
I can’t claim to know this area that well, but those seats look dead weird to me.
The CACI report on possible new boundaires suggested a Swansea & Pontlliw (76179), Gorseinon & Bishopston (76541) and
Pontardawe/Clydach & Pontardulais (76220). The first would clearly have a Labour lead, any thoughts on the other 2?
so would the others, surely.