Swansea West
2005 Results:
Labour: 13833 (41.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 9564 (28.9%)
Conservative: 5285 (16%)
Plaid Cymru: 2150 (6.5%)
Other: 2254 (6.8%)
Majority: 4269 (12.9%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 6094 (19%)
Labour: 15644 (48.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 5313 (16.6%)
Plaid Cymru: 3404 (10.6%)
UKIP: 653 (2%)
Green: 626 (2%)
Other: 366 (1.1%)
Majority: 9550 (29.8%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 8289 (20.5%)
Labour: 22748 (56.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 5872 (14.5%)
Plaid Cymru: 2675 (6.6%)
Other: 885 (2.2%)
Majority: 14459 (35.7%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Alan Williams(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: 
Rene Kinzett (Conservative) born Ashford. Public affairs consultant.Swansea councillor. Contested Swansea West in 2005 for the Liberal Democrats.
Geraint Davies (Labour) born 1960, Chester. Educated at Llanishen Comprehensive, Cardiff and Oxford University. Former marketing manager. Croydon councillor 1986-1997 and former leader of Croydon council. Contested Croydon South 1987, Croydon Central 1992, 2005. Served as MP for Croydon Central betwen 1997 and 2005. 
Peter May (Liberal Democrat) Maths and science tutor. Swansea councillor since 2004. Contested Swansea West in 2007 Welsh assembly elections.Richard Lewis (UKIP) Harri Roberts (Plaid Cymru)
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 65936
Male: 49%
Female: 51%
Under 18: 19.5%
Over 60: 22.9%
Born outside UK: 5.5%
White: 96.3%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 1.8%
Mixed: 0.7%
Other: 0.9%
Christian: 66.7%
Muslim: 1.9%
Full time students: 13.7%
Graduates 16-74: 19.3%
No Qualifications 16-74: 30.5%
Owner-Occupied: 61.4%
Social Housing: 22.2% (Council: 14.5%, Housing Ass.: 7.8%)
Privately Rented: 11.9%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 5.5%
This certainly looks possible as a LibDem gain. It is one of the Labour seats where the Tories are well behind and where the LibDems need to convince anti-Labour voters, who look like moving to the Tories in large numbers nationwide, to vote LibDem tactically.
Aberconwy is in theory the LibDems best target in Wales, but it is a three way marginal.
See my recent posts on the Liverpool Wavertree and Derby North threads for more of my views on LibDem prospects.
If the LibDems were to gain this seat, I think they would be making more than two gains nationwide.
But don’t get carried away. Given recent UK opinon polls (bar one today), a 6.5% swing is quite a big ask for the LibDems in an area with deep Labour roots.
Interesting piece of trivia: in the 1992 election, this seat had the lowest turnout of any of the 38 Welsh seats: 73.3%, which is surprisingly high. In England the lowest turnout in 1992 was in Peckham (53.8%) and in Scotland it was Glasgow Central (63.0%).
I’ve just double-checked the figures because one might expect the turnout in Swansea East to have been lower but in fact it was 75.6% in 1992. The Swansea East turnout in 2005 was 52.4% – that’s a drop since 1992 of 23.2 percentage points.
Well Father of the House Alan Williams won this seat in 1964 it was actually a gain from the Conservaties; he turned a Tory majority of 403 into a Labour one of 2,637.