Stretford and Urmston
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 19939 (51.1%)
Conservative: 11757 (30.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 5521 (14.1%)
Other: 1814 (4.6%)
Majority: 8181 (21%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 11566 (30.4%)
Labour: 19417 (51%)
Liberal Democrat: 5323 (14%)
UKIP: 845 (2.2%)
Other: 950 (2.5%)
Majority: 7851 (20.6%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 10565 (27.1%)
Labour: 23804 (61.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 3891 (10%)
Other: 713 (1.8%)
Majority: 13239 (34%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 14840 (30.5%)
Labour: 28480 (58.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 3978 (8.2%)
Referendum: 1397 (2.9%)
Majority: 13640 (28%)
Boundary changes
Current MP: Beverley Hughes (Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: 
Mark Versallion (Conservative)
Steven Cooke (Liberal Democrat)
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 92722
Male: 48.6%
Female: 51.4%
Under 18: 23.7%
Over 60: 20.3%
Born outside UK: 9.9%
White: 87%
Black: 3.7%
Asian: 6.5%
Mixed: 2%
Other: 0.8%
Christian: 74.2%
Muslim: 5.5%
Sikh: 0.9%
Full time students: 3.5%
Graduates 16-74: 17.1%
No Qualifications 16-74: 30.3%
Owner-Occupied: 67.1%
Social Housing: 22.1% (Council: 13.3%, Housing Ass.: 8.7%)
Privately Rented: 8.1%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 9.2%
28 Responses
Pages:« 1 [2] Show All
Twickenham (& Richmond Park,Windsor)
I’m pretty sure Beverley Hughes and David Blunkett used to holiday together. I’m sure this was mentioned when David Davis got rid of both of them, with a little help from Harold Shipman and Kimberley Q.
October 25th, 2007 at 11:38 pmKensington
I believe we can get this seat at the next election. We could of had it back last time but the Conservative candidate (Damien Hinds) wouldn’t allow attacks on Beverley Hughes’s integrety. Over the fact she was forced to resign for lying on the BBC’s “newsnight” and more importantly lying to the House of Commons. Typically with this government she is back as a minister
February 7th, 2008 at 4:44 pmBradford South
Obviously I’m not as local as you, Iain, but it looks like a tall order to me. There’s no way we would have won here in 2005 whoever was the candidate - the swing would have had to be a whopping 17%.
It looks slightly more promising now, but we would be looking at a three-figure overall majority in the Commons if we can pull this off.
February 7th, 2008 at 5:45 pmTwickenham (& Richmond Park,Windsor)
Good luck!
February 7th, 2008 at 6:02 pmKensington
On a personal vote it would of been possible. there was a huge swing in Romford in 2001 against the national trend. However i can nolonger see this as a win as a safe Labour ward has been dumped in the constituency from the neighbouring seat of Altricham & Sale West.
February 21st, 2008 at 1:16 pmLewisham Deptford
The Romford swing in 2001 would convert this seat into a Labour ultra-marginal, and would have simply made a big dent in Labour’s majority in 2005. It’s possible, but, in practice, I agree with votedave: this seat is unlikely to fall unless the Conservatives were heading for a landslide victory or something close to it. Possibly, if the Conservatives were to really intensively target the seat, then a larger-than-average swing could result - but it’d still be a tall order.
February 21st, 2008 at 1:28 pmRuislip Northwood
The boundary changes dont seem to have that large an effect in the scheme of things. The required swing for a Tory gain has gone from 10.3% to 10.5% so the boundary change harldy puts the seat out of range if it wasnt already.
February 21st, 2008 at 2:04 pmShipley
Local election results:
Con: 42% (41% in 2004)
Lab: 40% (41% in 2004)
LD: 12% (13%)
Gn: 6% (5%)
Not a stunning performance by comparison with some other places. The Conservatives will need to up their game a little more to win here.
May 8th, 2008 at 3:39 pmBradford South
I think Labour will hold on but their majority could be slashed to 2000. The local election results aren’t particularly encouraging but the 7% swing in 2005 was.
I would be amazed if the Conservatives gain this seat without David Cameron becoming Prime Minister as well.
May 8th, 2008 at 5:10 pmTwickenham (& Richmond Park,Windsor)
I think we have to say a 40% share in 2008 indicates this is a Labour seat.
May 8th, 2008 at 6:20 pmBut contests may be closer in the future, and things may eventually change, particularly if Trafford Council can carve out a distinctive record, like Wandsworth.
Very disappointing for the Tories here on May 1st when you consider places like Bury South, Worsley and Eccles South, Stalybridge and Hyde went Conservative, here should have shown a bigger Tory lead.
More work needed.
May 8th, 2008 at 9:00 pmStretford has always been disappointing for the Tories since the 1970s. In 1983 Tony Lloyd increased his majority from 3,000 to 4,000.
May 8th, 2008 at 10:03 pmTwickenham (& Richmond Park,Windsor)
I’m not sure it is disappointing in 2008 - Trafford Council unforunately doesn’t really contain any marginal seats, so whatever success the Tories have, it would require something incredible for them to win here.
May 9th, 2008 at 10:26 amI wonder whether Sretford and Urmston is one of these seats with two solid blocks of support and the potential for swings much above 10% - even in local elections - is just not realistic.
Pages: « 1 [2] Show All