Stretford and Urmston
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 19939 (51.1%)
Conservative: 11757 (30.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 5521 (14.1%)
Other: 1814 (4.6%)
Majority: 8181 (21%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 11566 (30.4%)
Labour: 19417 (51%)
Liberal Democrat: 5323 (14%)
UKIP: 845 (2.2%)
Other: 950 (2.5%)
Majority: 7851 (20.6%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 10565 (27.1%)
Labour: 23804 (61.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 3891 (10%)
Other: 713 (1.8%)
Majority: 13239 (34%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 14840 (30.5%)
Labour: 28480 (58.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 3978 (8.2%)
Referendum: 1397 (2.9%)
Majority: 13640 (28%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Outgoing MP: Beverley Hughes(Labour) will stand down at the next election (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: 
Alex Williams (Conservative) Chartered accountant. Trafford councillor. Contested Bury South 2005, North West region 2009 European elections.
Kate Green (Labour) Formerly chief executive of the Child Poverty Action Group. Recieved an OBE in 2005.
Stephen Cook (Liberal Democrat) Web developer and student at Manchester University. Salford councillor. Contested North West region 2009 European elections.
Margaret Westbrook (Green) Contested North West region in 2009 European elections.
Michael McManus (UKIP) researcher.
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 92722
Male: 48.6%
Female: 51.4%
Under 18: 23.7%
Over 60: 20.3%
Born outside UK: 9.9%
White: 87%
Black: 3.7%
Asian: 6.5%
Mixed: 2%
Other: 0.8%
Christian: 74.2%
Muslim: 5.5%
Sikh: 0.9%
Full time students: 3.5%
Graduates 16-74: 17.1%
No Qualifications 16-74: 30.3%
Owner-Occupied: 67.1%
Social Housing: 22.1% (Council: 13.3%, Housing Ass.: 8.7%)
Privately Rented: 8.1%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 9.2%
I have a feeling Labour will hold on here – their vote in Stretford itself is still pretty strong. I think who Labour select will be important however – a local councillor like Jane Baugh, and Id expect a Labour hold. However, a London-based special advisor to a Minister could go down rather badly here.
Manchester councillor Rosa Battle is putting her name forward for Labour;
http://www.labourhome.org/forum/?p=7323
This is an AWS btw!
Conservative home gold list reporting that Mark Versallion has stood down as Con PPC. ” … needs to spend more time on business … ” Dated 21/10/09.
I think Mr Versallion needs to update his website;
http://www.markversallion.com/
Just had a look on Rosa Battle’s website – as well as having her own blog (http://rosabattle.wordpress.com/)where she has done such things as take a bus trip and go to a library in the last month, she also says;
“If selected Rosa intends to build upon what Labour have already achieved in Stretford and Urmston both locally and nationally and work to make sure our area is a ‘Tory Free Zone’”
Someone should tell her there are 12 Conservative councillors in Stretford & Urmston!
Which constituencies have included Davyhulme and Trafford Park since 1885? (Davyhulme obviously had its own seat from 1983 to 1997.)
I still think it’s unlikely (although not out of the question) that the Tories would win here.
Rather a divided seat, still some potential for a large swing but also a very definite ceiling on it I think which is still in Labour’s favour.
Labour have selected Kate Green here, Chief Executive of Child Poverty Action Group
The Conservatives have selected Trafford councillor Alex Williams – he stood in Bury South in 2005 and Norrth West England in 2009 Euros )husband of Susan Williams). The other finalist was Karen Buckley, a Fylde councillor.
Winston Churchill, MP for Stretford ‘70-’83, and Davyhulme ‘83-’97, has died aged 69.
His obituary in the Telegraph is quite a sad read… he never really managed to escape his grandfather’s shadow.
Michael McManus has withdrawn as UKIP candidate, apparently (heard that from him directly, and in writing.)
No news on a replacement. If there isn’t one, that would presumably be good news for the Tories.
Since 1885 which constituencies have included Davyhulme and Trafford Park? (Davyhulme obviously had its own seat from 1983 to 1997.)