Stirling
2005 Results:
Labour: 15729 (36%)
Conservative: 10962 (25.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 9052 (20.7%)
SNP: 5503 (12.6%)
Other: 2445 (5.6%)
Majority: 4767 (10.9%)
Boundary changes prior to 2005 election.
2001 Result
Conservative: 8901 (24.8%)
Labour: 15175 (42.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 4208 (11.7%)
SNP: 5877 (16.4%)
Green: 757 (2.1%)
Other: 1012 (2.8%)
Majority: 6274 (17.5%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 13971 (32.5%)
Labour: 20382 (47.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 2675 (6.2%)
SNP: 5752 (13.4%)
Other: 178 (0.4%)
Majority: 6411 (14.9%)
No Boundary Changes
Current MP: Anne McGuire (Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates:
Bob Dalrymple (Conservative) born 1975, Dumfries. Educated at Edinburgh university. Whisky marketeer. Contested Stirling and Mid Scotland & Fife region in 2007 Scottish Parliament elections.
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 86212
Male: 47.8%
Female: 52.2%
Under 18: 23.1%
Over 60: 20.9%
Born outside UK: 4.3%
White: 98.5%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 0.5%
Mixed: 0.3%
Other: 0.5%
Christian: 65.7%
Graduates 16-74: 26.6%
No Qualifications 16-74: 26.7%
Owner-Occupied: 66.6%
Social Housing: 22.6% (Council: 20%, Housing Ass.: 2.6%)
Privately Rented: 7.4%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 3.4%
Perhaps Kinross-shire is less SNP than East Perth, which is being transferred to Perthshire North (currently Tayside North).
Good point, though I didn’t infer it from the original post. And you’re right. The territory moved from Perth into Perthshire North had the following voted-in-person figures: SNP 2889, Con 1834, LD 1222, Lab 990, Oth 119. The changes benefit the Tories vis-a-vis the SNP by about 500 votes. In percentage terms, the area that is removed from PS&K has an SNP lead over the Tories that is 2% greater than their lead in the area that comes in.
I’d be interested to know whether there’s a generational difference in this area with older voters being more likely to vote Tory and younger voters more likely to vote SNP.
Euro vote breakdown for Stirling Council area;
SNP - 27.9%
Conservative - 22.2%
Labour - 18.2%
Liberal Democrat - 10.7%
Turnout: 32.4%
SNP and Tories both clear of Labour, this seat will change hands next time the only issue is to who?
My question is that is the SNP the Scottish equivalent of UKIP in these EU elections? Has the SNP peaked or can they match these results in a GE? If they can then things will look extremely favourable for them after the next GE.
I think the SNP vote will be down for Westminster elections. If they don’t want to be part of Westminster why send them there when they are running the Scottish Parliament already ? I could see the point before that but not now.
The Conservatives and Labour need to persude SNP voters that they are the only two relevant parties for Westminster and fight it out. If that happens I think the Conservatives could just sneak this one if their vote gets out in the smaller towns and villages.