Shipley
Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 17922 (38.5%)
Labour: 17763 (38.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 7024 (15.1%)
Other: 3788 (8.1%)
Majority: 159 (0.3%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 18608 (39%)
Labour: 18186 (38.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 7018 (14.7%)
BNP: 2000 (4.2%)
Green: 1665 (3.5%)
Other: 189 (0.4%)
Majority: 422 (0.9%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 18815 (40.9%)
Labour: 20243 (44%)
Liberal Democrat: 4996 (10.9%)
UKIP: 580 (1.3%)
Green: 1386 (3%)
Majority: 1428 (3.1%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 19966 (37.8%)
Labour: 22962 (43.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 7984 (15.1%)
Referendum: 1960 (3.7%)
Majority: 2996 (5.7%)
Boundary changes
Current MP: Philip Davies (Con) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates:
Susan Hinchcliffe (Labour) born Shipley. Educated at Salt Grammar. Regeneration manager.
John Harris (Liberal Democrat) born 1942. Retired teacher. Richmondshire councillor. Married to Baroness Harris of Richmond, a Liberal Democrat whip in the House of Lords.
Kevin Warnes (Green) Bradford councillor.
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 87550
Male: 48.2%
Female: 51.8%
Under 18: 21.8%
Over 60: 22.5%
Born outside UK: 3.8%
White: 96.7%
Black: 0.3%
Asian: 1.8%
Mixed: 0.9%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 75.1%
Muslim: 1.3%
Full time students: 2.5%
Graduates 16-74: 22.6%
No Qualifications 16-74: 25.1%
Owner-Occupied: 79%
Social Housing: 12.4% (Council: 10.7%, Housing Ass.: 1.8%)
Privately Rented: 5.6%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 16.5%
93 Responses
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So now you’re being complacent, Ryburn36
I think Philip Davies will get a majority of around 5,000… maybe up to 7,000 (the upper limit) if the economy gets a lot worse - which is perfectly possible.
June 16th, 2008 at 11:59 pmShipley
Again the facts help clear the air - and we’re not complacent at all about this - we lost once when we shouldn’t have done.
2008 Local Elections
Con: 14285 (48.6)
LD: 6802 (23.1)
Lab: 4273 (14.5)
Grn: 3446 (11.7)
oth: 610 (2.1)
As with Calder Valley Labour are in a very poor third. Here they retain one councillor. They should come second as the labour vote in Bingley Rural & Wharfedale will turn out come the GE but not by much.
June 17th, 2008 at 2:48 pmKeighley
Just to underline ASC’s point here is the average votes (2006 to 2008)
Con = 44.81%
LD = 20.78%
Lab = 16.58%
Green = 11.48%
BNP = 5.66%
I’m certainly not being complacent either as despite these figures Labour would do much better as they will eat into the Green vote and overtake the LibDems in places such as Wharfedale. This is why it is very important to stress that local election results such as these are treated as a pinch of salt - as a protest vote towards Labour and are very different to the general election result. This is a type of seat where the changing demographics tend to help Labour in the long term.
June 17th, 2008 at 4:25 pmPages: « 1 … 3 4 5 6 [7] Show All