Sheffield Central
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 13978 (46.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 9171 (30.6%)
Conservative: 3165 (10.6%)
Other: 3662 (12.2%)
Majority: 4807 (16%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 3094 (10.3%)
Labour: 14950 (49.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 7895 (26.3%)
BNP: 539 (1.8%)
Green: 1808 (6%)
UKIP: 415 (1.4%)
Other: 1284 (4.3%)
Majority: 7055 (23.5%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 3289 (10.9%)
Labour: 18477 (61.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 5933 (19.7%)
UKIP: 257 (0.9%)
Green: 1008 (3.4%)
Other: 1105 (3.7%)
Majority: 12544 (41.7%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 4341 (11.9%)
Labour: 23179 (63.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 6273 (17.2%)
Referendum: 863 (2.4%)
Other: 1763 (4.8%)
Majority: 16906 (46.4%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Outgoing MP: Richard Caborn(Labour) He will stand down at the next election (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: Andrew Lee (Conservative) Paul Blomfield (Labour) Educated at York University. Qualified teacher, manager of University of Sheffield Student Union.Paul Scriven (Liberal Democrat) born 1966, Huddersfield. Educated at Manchester University. Former hospital manager. Sheffield City councillor and Liberal Democrat group leader since 2002.Jillian Creasy (Green) Part time GP. Sheffield councillor since 2004.Wayne Harling (UKIP)
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 90150
Male: 50.3%
Female: 49.7%
Under 18: 17.6%
Over 60: 15.9%
Born outside UK: 12.5%
White: 83.7%
Black: 3.7%
Asian: 7.9%
Mixed: 2.4%
Other: 2.2%
Christian: 55.1%
Hindu: 0.8%
Muslim: 8.4%
Full time students: 25.6%
Graduates 16-74: 26.8%
No Qualifications 16-74: 25.1%
Owner-Occupied: 42.8%
Social Housing: 34.3% (Council: 25.3%, Housing Ass.: 9%)
Privately Rented: 19.6%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 10.1%
The Ladbrokes odds for this seat are close.
I think having a party leader close by can make a difference.
David Steel will have helped Archie Kirkwood defeat the Conservative MP Iain Sproat in the adjacent Roxburgh & Berwickshire.
Paddy Ashdown’s leadership may have also helped the Lib Dems take other Somerset constituencies.
I think a fairly comfortable Labour hold here, particularly with the current narrowing nationally, even if it is not all maintained.
Following up Craig on Feb23rd, The LIb Dems must be paying for their leaflets to be delivered with the volume that is going out. The quality of delivery is clearly patchy. It’s different when you are delivering leaflets for your own party as opposed to for minimum wage !
“The quality of delivery is clearly patchy.”
How on earth can you know that?
This seat is now hotting up getting stuff from both main contenders, I think this will be very close and could deliver an upset and Lib Dem gain. But time will tell but very close I suggest