The UKPollingReport election guide for 2010 has now been archived and all comments closed. The new Election Guide for the 2015 election is now online at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide. The old site is archived at the UK Web Archive.
.

Sevenoaks

2010 Results:
Conservative: 28076 (56.82%)
Labour: 6541 (13.24%)
Liberal Democrat: 10561 (21.38%)
BNP: 1384 (2.8%)
UKIP: 1782 (3.61%)
English Democrat: 806 (1.63%)
Independent: 258 (0.52%)
Majority: 17515 (35.44%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 22915 (51.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 9880 (22%)
Labour: 9701 (21.6%)
Other: 2383 (5.3%)
Majority: 13035 (29%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 22437 (51.8%)
Labour: 9101 (21%)
Liberal Democrat: 9467 (21.9%)
UKIP: 1309 (3%)
Other: 984 (2.3%)
Majority: 12970 (30%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 21052 (49.4%)
Labour: 10898 (25.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 9214 (21.6%)
UKIP: 1155 (2.7%)
Other: 295 (0.7%)
Majority: 10154 (23.8%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 22776 (45.4%)
Labour: 12315 (24.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 12086 (24.1%)
Referendum: 2138 (4.3%)
Other: 834 (1.7%)
Majority: 10461 (20.9%)

Boundary changes: Minor – gains Horton Kirby, South Darenth and Fawkham from Dartford, while losing Hodsall Street.

Profile: A large rural seat covering the westernmost part of Kent alongside London, with the M25 motorway running through it. The main towns are Sevenoaks itself, Swanley at the far north of the constituency and Westerham, but this is mostly highly affluent and desirable villages in the Kent Downs and the Darent Valley, including Farningham, Eynsford, Otford. Notable landmarks within the seat include Chevening, the grace-and-favour country home of the foreign secretary, Chartwell, once the home of Sir Winston Churchill and Brands Hatch motorsport track.

This is a solidly Conservative seat, other than 1 year under the Liberals in the 1920s it has been Tory since its creation in 1885. Swanley, which has more in common with the towns of North-West Kent than mainly rural Sevenoaks, remains a strong Labour area, but elsewhere this is a battle between the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats.

portraitCurrent MP: Michael Fallon(Conservative) born 1952, Perth. Educated at Epsom college and St Andrews University. Contested Darlington by-election in 1983. FIrst elected as MP for Darlington in 1983 general election shortly afterwards. PPS to Cecil Parkinson 1987-1988. Government whip 1988-1990. Parliamentary under secretary for education 1990-1992. Following his defeat in Darlington in 1992 he was elected as MP for Sevenoaks in 1997. Treasury spokesman 1997-1998 (more information at They work for you)

2010 election candidates:
portraitMichael Fallon(Conservative) born 1952, Perth. Educated at Epsom college and St Andrews University. Contested Darlington by-election in 1983. FIrst elected as MP for Darlington in 1983 general election shortly afterwards. PPS to Cecil Parkinson 1987-1988. Government whip 1988-1990. Parliamentary under secretary for education 1990-1992. Following his defeat in Darlington in 1992 he was elected as MP for Sevenoaks in 1997. Treasury spokesman 1997-1998 (more information at They work for you)
portraitGareth Siddorn (Labour) Public affairs officer.
portraitAlan Bullion (Liberal Democrat) Educated at Tunbridge Wells Grammar School, the Open University and the University of Southampton. Former university lecturer, presently employed a an as agricultural editor and journalist. Published expert on the civil war in Sri Lanka. Contested Hammersmith & Fulham in 2005.
portraitChristopher Heath (UKIP)
portraitPaul Golding (BNP) Sevenoaks councillor.
portraitLouise Uncles (English Democrat)
portraitMark Ellis (Independent)

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 89430
Male: 48.5%
Female: 51.5%
Under 18: 23%
Over 60: 22.2%
Born outside UK: 6.5%
White: 97.9%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 0.6%
Mixed: 0.8%
Other: 0.5%
Christian: 77%
Full time students: 2.1%
Graduates 16-74: 22.5%
No Qualifications 16-74: 23.8%
Owner-Occupied: 77.3%
Social Housing: 13.8% (Council: 1.1%, Housing Ass.: 12.7%)
Privately Rented: 5.7%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 4.2%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. It will be replaced by a new guide in 2013, once the fate of the boundary review is finally settled.