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Rochdale

2010 Results:
Conservative: 8305 (18.09%)
Labour: 16699 (36.38%)
Liberal Democrat: 15810 (34.44%)
UKIP: 1999 (4.35%)
Independent: 313 (0.68%)
Others: 2781 (6.06%)
Majority: 889 (1.94%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Liberal Democrat: 17748 (40.9%)
Labour: 17413 (40.2%)
Conservative: 4640 (10.7%)
Other: 3562 (8.2%)
Majority: 336 (0.8%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 4270 (10.5%)
Labour: 16345 (40%)
Liberal Democrat: 16787 (41.1%)
BNP: 1773 (4.3%)
Green: 448 (1.1%)
UKIP: 499 (1.2%)
Other: 714 (1.7%)
Majority: 442 (1.1%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 5274 (13.4%)
Labour: 19406 (49.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 13751 (34.9%)
Green: 728 (1.8%)
Other: 253 (0.6%)
Majority: 5655 (14.3%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 4237 (8.8%)
Labour: 23758 (49.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 19213 (40%)
Other: 874 (1.8%)
Majority: 4545 (9.5%)

Boundary changes:

Profile: Note that Rallings & Thrasher`s notional figures have Rochdale as a Labour seat, so the mainstream media will treat this as a Labour held seat at the next election.

portraitCurrent MP: Simon Danczuk (Labour) born 1966. Left school at 16 to work as a labourer for Main Gas and ICI before returning to University. Co-founder and Managing Director of Vision Twentyone, a social research company. Former Blackburn with Darwen councillor.

2010 election candidates:
portraitMudasir Dean (Conservative) Born Bolton. Educated at Bolton University. Runds a community cohesion project.
portraitSimon Danczuk (Labour) born 1966. Left school at 16 to work as a labourer for Main Gas and ICI before returning to University. Co-founder and Managing Director of Vision Twentyone, a social research company. Former Blackburn with Darwen councillor.
portraitPaul Rowen (Liberal Democrat) born 1955, Rochdale. Educated at Bishop Henshaw Memorial High School and Nottingham University. Former teacher. Former Rochdale councillor. Leader of Rochdale council 1992-1996. Contested Rochdale 2001. First elected as MP for Rochdale 2005. Transport spokesman 2005-2007, Work and pensions spokesman since 2007
portraitColin Denby (UKIP)
portraitChristian Jackson (National Front) Unsuccessfully challenged Nick Griffin for the leadership of the BNP in 2007, before defecting to the National Front in 2009. Contested Calder Valley 1997, North West region 1999 European elections, Preston by-election 2000, Hyndburn 2005 all for the BNP.
portraitMohammed Salim (Islam Zinda Baad Platform)
portraitJohn Whitehead (Independent)

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 102101
Male: 48.8%
Female: 51.2%
Under 18: 27.1%
Over 60: 17.7%
Born outside UK: 11.6%
White: 81%
Black: 0.4%
Asian: 17.3%
Mixed: 1%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 63.8%
Muslim: 16.8%
Full time students: 3.4%
Graduates 16-74: 13.7%
No Qualifications 16-74: 37.4%
Owner-Occupied: 63%
Social Housing: 26.9% (Council: 21.5%, Housing Ass.: 5.4%)
Privately Rented: 6.8%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 8.6%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide