Plymouth Moor View
2010 Results:
Conservative: 13845 (33.34%)
Labour: 15433 (37.16%)
Liberal Democrat: 7016 (16.9%)
BNP: 1438 (3.46%)
UKIP: 3188 (7.68%)
Green: 398 (0.96%)
Socialist Labour: 208 (0.5%)
Majority: 1588 (3.82%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 17895 (44.7%)
Conservative: 9988 (25%)
Liberal Democrat: 7656 (19.1%)
Other: 4483 (11.2%)
Majority: 7907 (19.8%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 10509 (25%)
Labour: 18612 (44.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 8000 (19%)
UKIP: 3324 (7.9%)
Other: 1568 (3.7%)
Majority: 8103 (19.3%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 11289 (27.1%)
Labour: 24322 (58.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 4513 (10.8%)
UKIP: 958 (2.3%)
Other: 637 (1.5%)
Majority: 13033 (31.2%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 12562 (24.2%)
Labour: 31629 (60.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 5570 (10.7%)
Referendum: 1486 (2.9%)
Other: 716 (1.4%)
Majority: 19067 (36.7%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Alison Seabeck(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Matthew Groves (Conservative) Educated at St Bedes Secondary School. Lawyer. Tandridge councillor.Alison Seabeck(Labour) (more information at They work for you)Stuart Bonar (Liberal Democrat)Wendy Miller (Green)Bill Wakeham (UKIP) Roy Cook (BNP)David Marchesi (Socialist Labour) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 89752
Male: 47.9%
Female: 52.1%
Under 18: 24.3%
Over 60: 21.5%
Born outside UK: 3.2%
White: 99%
Asian: 0.2%
Mixed: 0.5%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 75.7%
Full time students: 2.7%
Graduates 16-74: 9%
No Qualifications 16-74: 36.1%
Owner-Occupied: 61.6%
Social Housing: 30.2% (Council: 24.7%, Housing Ass.: 5.5%)
Privately Rented: 3.9%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 11.8%
The Lib Dems have selected Stuart Bonar
Ladbrokes
Labour 4/9
Conservatives 13/8
Liberal Democrats 50/1
UKIP 50/1
Looks like broadly what I think – Labour holding on with a reduced majority – probably slightly more than halved.
On the 1979 election program, when Plymouth Devonport was declared, with David Owen doing well to hold on as I said,
the declaration was without a platform, the candidates just standing in this fairly enclosed room IIRC, and the declaration interrupted by a phone ringing, and I think it was Dr Owen who picked it up and put it down again to cut them off.
BNP have selected Roy Cook here
Wendy Miller is the Green Party candidate here.
http://www.thisisplymouth.co.uk/politics/Plymouth-Green-Party-activist-Tony-Brown/article-1898099-detail/article.html
i think labour will not have a majority a vote for labour is a vote against christians as labour are behind not allowing chritians to wear there cross at work if you want to vote for any of the big 3 its a vote for mass immigration which leaves the others davey
A difficult seat for the Tories to capture but this is just the sort of white working class seat that could swing much more than average. Given the large majority Labour have to be favourites but it will certainly be one to watch.
Lab Hold= 2,500 maj
Lab Hold
Maj 3900
Lab maj 2,000
At last a seat (as I work my way up from Lands End) where can’t predict a win for my party.
Lab 15.5K
Con 13.5K
LD 8.5K
Ukip 2.5K
Maj 2K
You predicted if for Labour.
Are you chrisinthenorth, a labour supporter who spounts libdem colours?
No I’m a LD activist trying to make sensible predictions based on national swng and last times notional figures
LAB HOLD