The UKPollingReport election guide for 2010 has now been archived and all comments will shortly be closed. The new Election Guide for the 2015 election is now online at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide. The old site is archived at the UK Web Archive.
.

Penrith and the Border

2010 Results:
Conservative: 24071 (53.39%)
Labour: 5834 (12.94%)
Liberal Democrat: 12830 (28.46%)
BNP: 1093 (2.42%)
UKIP: 1259 (2.79%)
Majority: 11241 (24.93%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 20285 (50.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 10979 (27.3%)
Labour: 7344 (18.3%)
Other: 1539 (3.8%)
Majority: 9307 (23.2%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 24046 (51.3%)
Labour: 8958 (19.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 12142 (25.9%)
UKIP: 1187 (2.5%)
Other: 549 (1.2%)
Majority: 11904 (25.4%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 24302 (54.9%)
Labour: 8177 (18.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 9625 (21.8%)
UKIP: 938 (2.1%)
Other: 1207 (2.7%)
Majority: 14677 (33.2%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 23300 (47.6%)
Labour: 10576 (21.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 13067 (26.7%)
Referendum: 2018 (4.1%)
Majority: 10233 (20.9%)

Boundary changes: loses Wetheral to Carlisle and Marsh, Wampool and part of Waver ward to Workington.

Profile: a geographically huge constituency at the extreme north-west of England. The seat comprises the whole of Eden District council, most of the rural parts of Carlisle Council (Carlisle constituency is almost entirely surrounded by Penrith & the Border) and part of Allerdale. The largest population centre is the town of Penrith itself, along with smaller market towns like Brampton, Longtown, Wigtown, Appleby and Kirkby Stephen.

The seat is sparsely populated and largely dependent on agriculture and the tourism industry in the Lake District. The seat was very heavily hit by the Foot and Mouth epidemic in 2001, which had spread from an animal sold at Longtown market, and the economy is still recovering. Politically, like other affected seats this resulted in a large swing the Conservative party, which fell back somewhat in 2005 – though the seat remains a Conservative stronghold.

portraitCurrent MP: Rory Stewart (Conservative) born 1973, Hong Kong. Educated at Eton and Oxford University. Author and professor of Human Rights at Harvard University. Former army officer, diplomat, deputy governor of Maysan province, Iraq and Chief executive of an Afghanistan regeneration NGO. Awarded the OBE 2004 for service in Iraq.

2010 election candidates:
portraitRory Stewart (Conservative) born 1973, Hong Kong. Educated at Eton and Oxford University. Author and professor of Human Rights at Harvard University. Former army officer, diplomat, deputy governor of Maysan province, Iraq and Chief executive of an Afghanistan regeneration NGO. Awarded the OBE 2004 for service in Iraq.
portraitBarbara Cannon (Labour) Allerdale borough councillor and Cumbria county councillor.
portraitPeter Thornton (Liberal Democrat) Born 1951, Kendal. Educated at Kendal Grammar School. Smallholder and former photographer. Cumbria councillor.
portraitJohn Stanyer (UKIP)
portraitChris Davidson (BNP)

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 77311
Male: 49.1%
Female: 50.9%
Under 18: 20.9%
Over 60: 24.5%
Born outside UK: 2%
White: 99.5%
Mixed: 0.2%
Christian: 82%
Full time students: 1.8%
Graduates 16-74: 18.8%
No Qualifications 16-74: 29.2%
Owner-Occupied: 74%
Social Housing: 10.9% (Council: 3.1%, Housing Ass.: 7.8%)
Privately Rented: 10%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 9.7%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide