Ochil and South Perthshire
2010 Results:
Conservative: 10342 (20.49%)
Labour: 19131 (37.91%)
Liberal Democrat: 5754 (11.4%)
SNP: 13944 (27.63%)
UKIP: 689 (1.37%)
Green: 609 (1.21%)
Majority: 5187 (10.28%)
2005 Results:
Labour: 14645 (31.4%)
SNP: 13957 (29.9%)
Conservative: 10021 (21.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 6218 (13.3%)
Other: 1856 (4%)
Majority: 688 (1.5%)
Boundary changes prior to 2005 election: Name of seat changed from Ochil.
2001 Result
Conservative: 4235 (12%)
Labour: 16004 (45.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 3253 (9.2%)
SNP: 10655 (30.2%)
Other: 1156 (3.3%)
Majority: 5349 (15.2%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 6383 (14.6%)
Labour: 19707 (45%)
Liberal Democrat: 2262 (5.2%)
SNP: 15055 (34.4%)
Referendum: 210 (0.5%)
Other: 169 (0.4%)
Majority: 4652 (10.6%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Gordon Banks(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Gerald Michaluk (Conservative) Educated at Lendrick Muir School. Managing director of a marketing management company. Contested Glasgow Pollok in 2007 Scottish elections.Gordon Banks(Labour) (more information at They work for you)Graeme Littlejohn (Liberal Democrat)Annabelle Ewing (SNP) born 1960, the daughter of SNP matriarch Winnie Ewing. Educated at Craigholme School for Girls and Glasgow University. Lawyer. MP for Perth 2001-2005. Contested Ochil and South Perthshire 2005 and Falkirk East in the 2007 Scottish Parliament elections.Hilary Charles (Green) David Bushby (UKIP) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 93212
Male: 48.6%
Female: 51.4%
Under 18: 24.6%
Over 60: 21.4%
Born outside UK: 3.3%
White: 99.2%
Asian: 0.3%
Mixed: 0.2%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 63.9%
Graduates 16-74: 21.1%
No Qualifications 16-74: 31.3%
Owner-Occupied: 64.8%
Social Housing: 24.4% (Council: 20.2%, Housing Ass.: 4.2%)
Privately Rented: 6.6%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 3.8%
SNP maj 3,000
I find some of the ignorance regarding this seat rather unfortuneate. firstly, this seat is neither like the old Clackmannan and East Stirling or like Perth and Kinross.
both of these old former deats were completely ripped apart and this new seat looks nothing like any of the previous one, The constuency can be looked at in many parts. Ckackmannanshire represnts two thirds of the new seat. Clackmannanshire is sewn up politically with Labour and SNP polling identically for many years, the SNP having it two won it at the past 2 Scottish Elections and Euros last year. The SNP poll approx 60 per cent in the hilfoots villages and about 40 in the other parts of Clackmannanshire, but overall quite even and very tight each time. The tories and lib bems poll well in dollar but are otherwise non starters on about 5% in Clackmannanshire. Kinross used to be Tory but swung hugely to the SNP and now th the Lib Dems, so they are only stronh in a coule of rural highland wards. when i first looked at the boundary commission proposals for this seat i immediately added all the most previouc coumcil election results; SNP 19000, labour 10000 others about 2000. It should have been SNP five years ago, and if it isnt on thurdsay every SNP CA and Branch Office bearer should resign
Tory vote very much on the up and likely to be a gain with a 2,000 majority
Finally! someone with a nice, positive attitude to the scottish tory vote!
Or a troll-like attitude?
SNP GAIN
Well done folks – some excellent political insight here.
Let’s take a look back at some gems from the past year….
“SNP GAIN”
“Tory vote very much on the up and likely to be a gain with a 2,000 majority”
“This seat is a clear battle between the SNP and the tories”
“but the SNP is the most likely winner.”
“I do not expect a big swing to the SNP in this seat but they will certainly win it.”
“Yes, again an SNP victory seems more likely”
“Any easy victory for the SNP”
“SNP maj 3,000″
“Gordon Banks’s jacket is on a very shoogly peg”
….Need I go on?? A clear case of cyber-nats taking over this blog. Why don’t you guys stick to the day jobs (assuming you have one) cause there is certainly no future in political punditory for you!
Well done Gordon Banks and the Labour team. An excellent local campaign and a fantastic hard working MP.
Well possibly the most shocking result of the entire election.
Alex Salmond must have just DIED of embarrassment when this was announced.
The most shocking, and embarrassing, result of the election was Labour holding Birmingham Edgbaston.
That Scottish marginals voted Labour, who are least likely to turn off the subsidy tap from London, should surprise nobody.
Looks like first-time incumbency struck again. Gordon Banks will take some shifting now. Another result where I was uncharacteristically over-pessimistic!
East Renfrewshire, Stirling, Ochil and Dumfries.
Strong Labour performance in seats that the Conservatives had at least and outside chance, similar to Eastwood in 2001.
I don’t think this was incumbancy because Edinburgh South also fell into this batch of seats, more a regional trend.
SNP suffered from being excluded from the Leaders debate.