Nuneaton
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 18219 (46%)
Conservative: 14376 (36.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 5260 (13.3%)
Other: 1757 (4.4%)
Majority: 3843 (9.7%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 17665 (39%)
Labour: 19945 (44%)
Liberal Democrat: 5884 (13%)
UKIP: 1786 (3.9%)
Majority: 2280 (5%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 15042 (34.7%)
Labour: 22577 (52.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 4820 (11.1%)
UKIP: 873 (2%)
Majority: 7535 (17.4%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 16540 (30.9%)
Labour: 30080 (56.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 4732 (8.8%)
Referendum: 1533 (2.9%)
Other: 628 (1.2%)
Majority: 13540 (25.3%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Outgoing MP: Bill Olner(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: 
Marcus Jones (Conservative) Educated at St Thomas More School. Conveyancing manager. Nuneaton and Bedworth councillor since 2005, leader of Nuneaton and Bedworth council 2008-2009.
Jayne Innes (Labour) born 1970. Educated at the University of Warwick. Former Aide to Geoffrey Robinson MP. Now a consultant working mainly with charities. Director of an inward investment and job creation body. Contested Birmingham Yardley 2005Keith Tyson (UKIP)
Martyn Findley (BNP) Nuneaton and Bedworth councillor. 
David Ford Lane (English Democrat) Born Bedworth. Account manager, Contested West Midlands 2009 European election.
Steve Diffin (Independent)
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 87593
Male: 49.1%
Female: 50.9%
Under 18: 24.4%
Over 60: 18.4%
Born outside UK: 4%
White: 95.3%
Black: 0.3%
Asian: 3.5%
Mixed: 0.6%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 77%
Hindu: 0.6%
Muslim: 2.1%
Sikh: 0.8%
Full time students: 2%
Graduates 16-74: 13.6%
No Qualifications 16-74: 34.3%
Owner-Occupied: 76.3%
Social Housing: 15.6% (Council: 13.1%, Housing Ass.: 2.4%)
Privately Rented: 5.6%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 6.7%
Labour held the Camp Hill seat, which has identical boundaries, in the Warwickshire county council elections in June. I expect they would most likely gain this seat, though the Conservatives cannot be entirely ruled out especially if they can pick up some of the soft BNP vote themselves as they have managed to do in several areas in the Midlands.
2009:
Lab 505 33.2%
BNP 470 30.9%
Con 401 26.3%
Grn 147 9.7%
Pete has proved to be right. The result :
Labour 670 BNP 478 C 275
The BNP vote remains far too high for my liking but it is quite a good result for Labour, a clear improvement on the election earlier this year and not all that great for the Tories. The Tories though still at this stage remain favourites to take the Parliamentary seat though it was one of 3 good Labour results in key marginals on Thursday; other results also tended to see swings to Labour, in some cases substantial.
sorry make that 4 – I forgot Weymouth (South Dorset). The other 3 were Queens Park (Westminster North), St Helens (Hastings & Rye) and this one.
I note that the boundary changes make this a little less marginal for Labour.
I would assume BNP would stand here and should save its deposit.
This looks close to me but I would at this stage take the Tories with a three figure majority.
I see that the Tory who lost the seat in 2009 and at the by-election is a 21 year old student with a blog, Kris D Wilson. He looks interesting, that’s all I’ll say.
Martyn Findley standing here for the BNP