Comments on: Norwich North

By: Mark S

Mark S — Sun, 07 Mar 2010 17:04:51 +0000

With current polling nationally, and the changes in the seat since the by-election, (and her seeming non-existence since being elected), I can’t see Chloe Smith holding this in May

By: Matt

Matt — Sun, 24 Jan 2010 21:06:44 +0000

Well its obvious it wont have changed your mind, based on the sort of posts you make on this site

By: wolf

wolf — Sun, 24 Jan 2010 21:02:45 +0000

I saw one of the Cameron posters in this constituency. I wouldn’t have thought it would change many minds.
The former MP Ian Gibson probably is working twice as hard as Chloe Smith ( MIss Invisible after her eco-village blunder ) and the Labour Party PPC together. The high cost of petrol won’t be helping the feelgood factor here.

By: political trainspotter

political trainspotter — Thu, 21 Jan 2010 13:30:44 +0000

Jess Goldfinch selected for Green Party

http://www.eveningnews24.co.uk/content/eveningnews24/norwich-news/story.aspx?brand=ENOnline&category=News&tBrand=ENOnline&tCategory=xNews&itemid=NOED21%20Jan%202010%2008:45:55:783

By: Peter Election Follower

Peter Election Follower — Wed, 20 Jan 2010 22:42:05 +0000

Purely by coincidence the swing necessary for the Tories to hold this seat at the GE is virtually the same as that necessary at their other gain at Crewe & Nantwich. In other words this is target 163 whereas C&N is target 165

I feel the way here. Having achieved just under twice the swing necessary in the byelection, I think they will certainly secure the 8.3% swing needed in the GE.

I predict a 10% swing meaning Con hold by 1000 votes.

By: Mark S

Mark S — Sun, 10 Jan 2010 23:42:04 +0000

Chloe Smith won this under 2005 boundaries, I wouldn’t rule out Labour taking it back with the new 2010 boundaries – 2 very ‘blue’ wards have moved out of the seat and in to Mid-Norfolk.

By: Champagne Capitalist

Champagne Capitalist — Sun, 10 Jan 2010 19:56:03 +0000

But look at the tory meltdown in the ’90s. The Lib Dems won by-elections in Christchuch and Newbury by around 20,000 majorities then lost the former in 1997 (Absolute Tory Meltdown) and Newbury eventually fell in 2005.

I wouldn’t rule out labour winning either seat. Although at the moment I’m inclined against it.

By: EppingForester

EppingForester — Sun, 10 Jan 2010 19:54:25 +0000

On by-election winners who gain a seat from another party we need to remember that for every Simon Hughes, Alan Beith, Cyril Smith, Sandra Gidley & Sarah Teather there is a Bill Pitt, Elizabeth Shields, Mike Carr, Diana Maddock and Parmjit Gill!

By: Harry Porter

Harry Porter — Sun, 10 Jan 2010 18:51:49 +0000

‘Since the two byelections here and in Crewe & Nantwich what are the chances of Chloe Smith and Edward Timpson both holding on here. Would there be a Labour recovery in these seats?’

On present evidence, no methinks.

On by-election winners holding on in general elections, Simon Hughes won Southwark at a by-election, held the seat at the general election four months later and has held it since, and that was over 20 years ago

By: Joseph Brayson

Joseph Brayson — Fri, 04 Dec 2009 11:05:33 +0000

Since the two byelections here and in Crewe & Nantwich what are the chances of Chloe Smith and Edward Timpson both holding on here. Would there be a Labour recovery in these seats?