Norfolk South West
2010 Results:
Conservative: 23753 (48.33%)
Labour: 9119 (18.55%)
Liberal Democrat: 10613 (21.59%)
BNP: 1774 (3.61%)
UKIP: 3061 (6.23%)
Green: 830 (1.69%)
Majority: 13140 (26.74%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 21942 (45.8%)
Labour: 15086 (31.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 8319 (17.4%)
Other: 2575 (5.4%)
Majority: 6856 (14.3%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 25881 (46.9%)
Labour: 15795 (28.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 10207 (18.5%)
UKIP: 2738 (5%)
Other: 506 (0.9%)
Majority: 10086 (18.3%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 27633 (52.2%)
Labour: 18267 (34.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 5681 (10.7%)
UKIP: 1368 (2.6%)
Majority: 9366 (17.7%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 24694 (42%)
Labour: 22230 (37.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 8178 (13.9%)
Referendum: 3694 (6.3%)
Majority: 2464 (4.2%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Elizabeth Truss (Conservative)
Elizabeth Truss (Conservative)Peter Smith (Labour) Stephen Gordon (Liberal Democrat)Lori Allen (Green) Kay Hipsey (UKIP) Dennis Pearce (BNP)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 93707
Male: 49.4%
Female: 50.6%
Under 18: 21.8%
Over 60: 24.7%
Born outside UK: 6.5%
White: 98.3%
Black: 0.4%
Asian: 0.3%
Mixed: 0.8%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 76.3%
Full time students: 1.6%
Graduates 16-74: 12%
No Qualifications 16-74: 35.9%
Owner-Occupied: 71.2%
Social Housing: 14.9% (Council: 5.9%, Housing Ass.: 9%)
Privately Rented: 8.2%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 6.1%
Sir Norfolk…
Fair point re: the safeness of a good number of the ‘A-list seats’, but around 20 of those 38 A-listers who were elected fought seats which had marginal majorities. Admittedly some of these were Tory-held and likely to return a Tory MP in 2010, but some where Labour / Lib Dem-held, and had to be gained.
Tim…
“I think you can count on one hand Labour candidates who increased their vote in England & Wales”
There were a few.
Seeing as turnout overall increased, I shall only count those seats where Labour’s numerical vote AND vote share both increased (in numerous other seats the numerical vote increased but the actual vote share fell).
London:
Barking
Bethnal Green and Bow
Croydon North
Dulwich and West Norwood
East Ham
Hackney North and Stoke Newington
Hackney South and Shoreditch
Holborn and St Pancras
Ilford South
Islington North
Islington South and Finsbury
Poplar and Limehouse
Tooting
Tottenham
Walthamstow
West Ham
Westminster North
Merseyside:
Garston and Halewood
Liverpool, Riverside
Liverpool, Wavertree
Liverpool, West Derby
Midlands:
Birmingham, Hodge Hill
Birmingham, Ladywood
Birmingham, Perry Barr
Leicester South
And then of course goodness knows how many in Scotland.
None in Wales I don’t think.
“And then of course goodness knows how many in Scotland.”
That was certainly the case in Central Scotland and specific rural seats like Dumfries & Galloway and Ochil & South Perthshire.
I’m sure it was not the case in Moray shire or Argyllshire & Buteshire.
I’m surprised there were so many seats where Labour did increase their vote and with a few exceptions – places like Tooting & Westminster North – they were mostly safe Labour seats
It was similar in 1987 and 92 where Labour were in no position to challenge the Tories nationally but racked up huge majorities in places like Merseyside and East London
In Scotland of course there was an overall swing to Labour – but Scotland is so different vfrom the UK nationally now that it’s hard to read much into that