Newcastle upon Tyne North
2010 Results:
Conservative: 7966 (18.13%)
Labour: 17950 (40.85%)
Liberal Democrat: 14536 (33.08%)
BNP: 1890 (4.3%)
UKIP: 1285 (2.92%)
Green: 319 (0.73%)
Majority: 3414 (7.77%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 20012 (49.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 13238 (33%)
Conservative: 5771 (14.4%)
Other: 1092 (2.7%)
Majority: 6774 (16.9%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 6022 (15.7%)
Labour: 19224 (50%)
Liberal Democrat: 12201 (31.7%)
Other: 997 (2.6%)
Majority: 7023 (18.3%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 7424 (20.4%)
Labour: 21874 (60.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 7070 (19.4%)
Majority: 14450 (39.7%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 8793 (19.4%)
Labour: 28125 (62.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 6578 (14.5%)
Referendum: 1733 (3.8%)
Majority: 19332 (42.7%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Catherine McKinnell (Labour) Born Denton. Educated at Sacred Heart Comprehensive and Edinburgh University. Employment solicitor.
Stephen Parkinson (Conservative) Born 1983, North Shields. Educated at Cambridge University. Author and think tank director.Catherine McKinnell (Labour) Born Denton. Educated at Sacred Heart Comprehensive and Edinburgh University. Employment solicitor.
Ron Beadle (Liberal Democrat) born 1966. Educated at Westminster City London and the LSE. Reader in Business Ethics at Northumbria University. Gateshead councillor since 1996. Contested Newcastle North in 2005, Gateshead East & Washington West 2001, Sedgefield 1997, Gateshead East 1992. 
Anna Heyman (Green) Ian Proud (UKIP)Terry Gibson (BNP) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 86933
Male: 48.2%
Female: 51.8%
Under 18: 20.8%
Over 60: 22.5%
Born outside UK: 3.4%
White: 97.6%
Black: 0.3%
Asian: 1%
Mixed: 0.6%
Other: 0.6%
Christian: 77.5%
Muslim: 0.7%
Full time students: 7.7%
Graduates 16-74: 15.8%
No Qualifications 16-74: 33.9%
Owner-Occupied: 70.4%
Social Housing: 21.7% (Council: 11.5%, Housing Ass.: 10.2%)
Privately Rented: 4.8%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 7.4%
Newcastle North is to be an all-women shortlist.
Local councillor Sharon Pattison has already declared an interest in running.
The 5th AWS in Tyne & Wear!!
I imagine the Newcastle LibDems are very pleased at the news.
These AWS’s must be getting a bit stale.
Time to give them a break surely + select on merit.
I’d expect Labour to retain the seat though, in spite of the local elections.
It’s a big majority anyway.
17% is not that large bearing in mind the current state of Labour, and that there will be no incumbancy factor next time. Add to that a seemingly inactive Conservative party (still no candidate in place), I think this seat could go Lib Dem.
I’m interested to see Shadsy’s odds for this seat. I think this is one of the better chances of a LD gain and better than several Labour seats with much smaller majorities.
Comparing the 2008 Newcastle results shows that the LibDems will have an interesting tactical problem:
North
LD 15336
Lab 7618
Con 4079
East
LD 9656
Lab 6963
Con 2640
Central
LD 8702
Lab 7486
Con 2947
Do they concentrate on North or do they make an effort in East as well.
As there will probably be local elections on the same day then matters will be complicated further.
Given the polls, Labour will have a battle on their hands to hold not only Newcastle North but also Ncle East. Together with a strong Tory challenge in Tynemouth, Labour are going to be the ones suffering from over-stretch…
The Conservatives have selected Stephen Parkinson here – he is local as well!
Here is a link to his website;
http://www.stephenparkinson.co.uk/
Stephen Parkinson selected here for the Conservatives.
Before I moved to Bristol I was involved with the Lib Dems in this area and got to know quite a few of them. However, I came quite disillusioned (mainly over Newbiggin Hall where I thought Labour had the better ideas). Since moving to Bristol I’ve realised the party here is useless in control and I now support Labour (I’ve never been a Tory). Senior Lib Dems still blamed Newbiggin Hall for John Shipley’s failures in 1983 and 1987 and they said they’d have won if the area hadn’t been in the constituency. I would have been happy to see Kevin Graham as the candidate but Sharon Pattison as candidate will bring in much needed votes in Newbiggin Hall next year. There may be some snobs who won’t vote for her but I think a lot of them will vote Tory instead of Lib Dem in the constituency next year.
Has Sharon Pattison been selected as candidate?
No, she hasn’t. My third last line should have said ‘would’ not ‘will’. I’ve been told the selection will be in quite a few weeks.
OK thanks
Dear Bob,
Please enlighten, us with your forensic insight into the political situation in Newbiggin Hall, where Labour has got it so right and the Lib Dems have got it so wrong??