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Middlesbrough South & East Cleveland

2010 Results:
Conservative: 16461 (35.62%)
Labour: 18138 (39.25%)
Liberal Democrat: 7340 (15.88%)
BNP: 1576 (3.41%)
UKIP: 1881 (4.07%)
Independent: 818 (1.77%)
Majority: 1677 (3.63%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 22010 (50.2%)
Conservative: 13949 (31.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 6090 (13.9%)
Other: 1766 (4%)
Majority: 8061 (18.4%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 13945 (31.9%)
Labour: 21945 (50.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 6049 (13.8%)
BNP: 1099 (2.5%)
UKIP: 658 (1.5%)
Majority: 8000 (18.3%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 14970 (34%)
Labour: 24321 (55.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 4700 (10.7%)
Majority: 9351 (21.3%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 18712 (34.9%)
Labour: 29319 (54.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 4004 (7.5%)
Referendum: 1552 (2.9%)
Majority: 10607 (19.8%)

Boundary changes: Mostly unchanged, the only alterations are to reflect – mostly minor – changes in the ward boundaries in Middleborough.

Profile: A north-eastern seat with a varied demographic make up. It covers the southern fringes of Middlesborough, including both Labour voting council estates like Easterside and Park End and more affluent suburbs such as Marton (birthplace of Captain Cook) and Nunthorpe. The majority of the seat though is drawn from the more rural Cleveland Hills to the east, though this too is a mixture of Conservative leaning areas like the market town of Guisborough and the Victorian seaside resort of Saltburn-by-the-sea and Labour voting iron mining villages like Brotton and Loftus. The make up of the seat suggests it should be a marginal, though with the Conservative party at a low ebb the late Ashok Kumar had a healthy majority at the last three elections.

portraitCurrent MP: Tom Blenkinsop (Labour)

2010 election candidates:
portraitPaul Bristow (Conservative) born York. Hammersmith and Fulham councillor.
portraitTom Blenkinsop (Labour)
portraitNicholas Emmerson (Liberal Democrat) born 1970, Guisborough. Educated at Newcastle University. Corporate lawyer.
portraitStewart Lightwing (UKIP)
portraitShaun Gatley (BNP)
portraitMike Allen (Independent) Born 1959. Air ambulance pilot.

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 94104
Male: 48.1%
Female: 51.9%
Under 18: 23.9%
Over 60: 20.7%
Born outside UK: 2.1%
White: 98.6%
Asian: 0.6%
Mixed: 0.4%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 81.6%
Full time students: 2.7%
Graduates 16-74: 14.7%
No Qualifications 16-74: 34.1%
Owner-Occupied: 67.2%
Social Housing: 24.6% (Council: 19.3%, Housing Ass.: 5.3%)
Privately Rented: 5.5%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 5.4%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide