Maldon
Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 23371 (58.1%)
Labour: 9146 (22.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 5796 (14.4%)
Other: 1923 (4.8%)
Majority: 14225 (35.4%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 23732 (51.5%)
Labour: 11159 (24.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 9270 (20.1%)
UKIP: 1930 (4.2%)
Majority: 12573 (27.3%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 21719 (49.2%)
Labour: 13257 (30.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 7002 (15.9%)
UKIP: 1135 (2.6%)
Green: 987 (2.2%)
Majority: 8462 (19.2%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 24524 (48.7%)
Labour: 14485 (28.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 9758 (19.4%)
Other: 1620 (3.2%)
Majority: 10039 (19.9%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Outgoing MP: John Whittingdale(Conservative) born 1959, Sherborne, Dorset. Educated at Winchester and University College London. Former correspondence secretary to Margaret Thatcher as leader of the oppostion, then CRD researcher, special advisor and finally political secretary to Thatcher from 1989-1992. Awarded the OBE in Mrs Thatcher`s resignation honours. First elected as MP for Colchester South and Maldon 1992. PPS to Eric Forth 1994-1996, opposition whip 1997-1998, treasury spokesman 1998-1999, PPS to William Hague 1999-2001, shadow trade and industry spokesman 2001-2002, shadow culture media and sport 2002-2003, agriculture spokesman 2003-2005 (more information at They work for you)
Candidates:
John Whittingdale(Conservative) born 1959, Sherborne, Dorset. Educated at Winchester and University College London. Former correspondence secretary to Margaret Thatcher as leader of the oppostion, then CRD researcher, special advisor and finally political secretary to Thatcher from 1989-1992. Awarded the OBE in Mrs Thatcher`s resignation honours. First elected as MP for Colchester South and Maldon 1992. PPS to Eric Forth 1994-1996, opposition whip 1997-1998, treasury spokesman 1998-1999, PPS to William Hague 1999-2001, shadow trade and industry spokesman 2001-2002, shadow culture media and sport 2002-2003, agriculture spokesman 2003-2005 (more information at They work for you)
Swatantra Nandanwar (Labour) Lecturer. Basildon councillor. Former Essex county councillor. Contested Saffron Walden 2005.
Jesse Pryke (UKIP)
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 86597
Male: 49.6%
Female: 50.4%
Under 18: 23.4%
Over 60: 19.6%
Born outside UK: 3.6%
White: 98.2%
Black: 0.3%
Asian: 0.5%
Mixed: 0.6%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 75.9%
Full time students: 1.9%
Graduates 16-74: 17%
No Qualifications 16-74: 25.8%
Owner-Occupied: 82.4%
Social Housing: 9.9% (Council: 2.4%, Housing Ass.: 7.6%)
Privately Rented: 5.3%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 4.8%



I think the logical, easiest and realistic way to calculate the true size and population of Manchester would be to do exactly what is considered for London and has been implemented for London which is the Greater London set up so the Greater Manchester set up for Manchester. Greater London is not officially a city but the very small city of London is. The City of Manchester is absolutely not anywhere near a true reflection of the size and population of Manchester. The City of Manchester like the City Of London is just the central administrative/business/financial hub of the larger city although most of Greater London’s political/business areas are based in the City Of Westminster. There is even an inner Manchester and outer Manchester easily identified like London. One could claim that everything within the M60 is inner Manchester and everything outside of it outer Manchester. Inner Manchester could be even larger than the M60 area so it’s hard to define. Central Manchester covers more than just the City Of Manchester. The central zone covers Salford, Trafford, Bury and some of other boroughs but as I’ve said this is just the central zone, so the suburbs of Manchester go well into all of the boroughs of Manchester such as Tameside, Oldham and Rochdale. I do not like the fact that although London and Manchester are set up in the same way, There is one rule for London and another for Manchester. Manchester in every way is England’s and the United Kingdom’s second largest and major city so the same needs to officially happen and be recognised for Manchester as has been recognised and happened with London. The government needs to do more to tart Manchester up and show it off as they do for London. What I will say though is that a lot of things already work in Greater Manchester as one big Manchester city such as transport, entertainment and attractions. Also a vast amount of people consider Greater Manchester as Manchester. Thank you for reading.
60% is a certainty for John Whittingdale and 65% not out of the question.
Assuming the notionals are accurate, I would certainly be surprised if the share didn’t reach 60%.
The majority of 45% may be possible.
I would have thought about 65% if the notionals are correct.
(66-19-10-5 perhaps)
In fact, I think this seat could have given the Tories 70% in 1992.
This seat is a bit like a Tory version of the new Knowsley seat – drawn in a way that makes it as safe as could be.
I do wonder whether the estimate is correct.
Although the boundaries are different, there was a drop of over 15 points in 1997 here, and with only a moderate recovery since they are already saying this is almost a 60% seat.
It could perhaps turn out to be the safest Tory seat perhaps?
That could be right, or maybe Beckenham will turn out as some people are predicting as the safest Tory seat – HH made some comments on that thread about it. Interesting that according to the notional results above it’s the LD vote which has been hit rather than Labour which is the opposite of what I would have assumed, although I don’t know enough about the area – only been to Colchester once and never to this area itself.
John Whittingdale’s political career is quite unusual in some ways.
He was already working for Margaret Thatcher before he was 20, and presumably did so in the intervening period before he was her Political Secretary at the end of her Premiership.
So he was probably there throughout.
But his own Parliamentary career itself has rather gone to waste in opposition, as he didn’t seem to get very far in 1992-97,
I wonder whether he will return to office?
‘It now contains less of Maldon District and more of Chelmsford District’
But surely it contains the town of Maldon itself?? Hence the name!!
‘Labour was able to win a seat called Maldon until losing to Brian Harrison in 1955. Of course, that was a very different seat which included almost all of the Braintree seat won by Labour in 1997 and 2001′
Maldon has been Conservative since 1955 and on current boundaries will probably remain so
‘it was Tom Driberg’s seat then’
Driberg won at the 1942 by-election as an Independent, and was elected at the 1945 general as the Labour candidate, whence he remained until his retirement in 1955
“I wonder whether he will return to office?”
Well of course he was in the shadow cabinet under IDS wasn’t he. I seem to remember stories that Lady Thatcher herself ensured that he remained on the frontbench under Howard I think it was when he was thinking of dropping him. I don’t known how true that is though.
But it seems that Whittingdale has a number of black marks against him under Cameron. For a start, he seems to not only be a conservative, but worse has conservative credentials. Also, he’s not so far as I know trimmed to fit in with Cameron’s bland new party and hes not in the Cameron clique.
I fear Whittingdale shouldn’t expect to rise to great heights in the next government either.