Comments on: Luton South

By: Dalek

Dalek — Thu, 29 Sep 2011 19:35:46 +0000

Has she really aged 20 years or was this in order that the jury feel sorry for her?

The change in her was as astounding as Gary Glitter.

By: Lancs Observer

Lancs Observer — Tue, 06 Sep 2011 13:14:20 +0000

Margaret Moran has been charged with 21 offences.

By: Harry Porter

Harry Porter — Thu, 04 Aug 2011 21:54:14 +0000

Luton town centre and present day Farley ward were I think in Luton East until 1983 and this seat since.

By: Andy JS

Andy JS — Wed, 24 Nov 2010 18:47:18 +0000

Gavin Shuker bears a slight, though not very strong, resemblance to Ed Miliband.

By: Ben Foley

Ben Foley — Thu, 29 Jul 2010 09:57:57 +0000

Barnaby,
Presumably that would tip the seat decisively in the direction of the Tories. Mind you, the only way I can see of avoiding that is for Luton and Dunstable to be divided up into two constituencies (see …/blog/archives/2753/), and Dunstable is very bad territory for the Labour Party, too.

It looks to me like Labour will only really have a chance of one MP in Luton, unless there is a landslide.

Further North, in Bedford, even on the best case for Labour, changes are likely to make the constituency harder to win for Labour, adding, I think, Turvey where Lab got 9% and Wootton where Lab only got 4% at the last council elections (although the latter was because of LD squeeze, and the LDs got 46%, a reasonable proportion of which Lab would hope to get in a General Election).

By: Barnaby JL Marder

Barnaby JL Marder — Wed, 28 Jul 2010 23:46:36 +0000

Luton South & Harpenden would be a particularly polarised seat! Harpenden is very wealthy.

By: Ben Foley

Ben Foley — Wed, 28 Jul 2010 22:10:02 +0000

LutonTown:

Take a look at ht tp://www.boundarycommissionforengland.org.uk/electoral-figures/electoral-figures.htm

A downside: the figures appear to be from relatively early in the year: it looks like voters who registered in the run-up to the GE are not included (and neither are proposed new boundaries for Central Beds & Bedford Borough)

BTW There is also further discussion of possible alternatives to the Luton South and Harpenden at ht tp://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2753/

By: Ben Foley

Ben Foley — Wed, 28 Jul 2010 22:09:19 +0000

LutonTown:

Take a look at http://www.boundarycommissionforengland.org.uk/electoral-figures/electoral-figures.htm

BTW There is also further discussion of possible alternatives to the Luton South and Harpenden at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/2753/

By: Lutontown

Lutontown — Tue, 27 Jul 2010 21:57:39 +0000

Ben where do you get data on constiuency composition and ward size?

By: Ben Foley

Ben Foley — Mon, 26 Jul 2010 14:05:29 +0000

On the blog part of this site (…/blog/archives/2753?cp=5) I have posted on what I think the impact of the Parliamentary Voting System and Constituencies Bill would be on Bedfordshire.

It looks like Luton isn’t big enough for 2 constituencies, while Bedford Borough and Central Beds together will be allocated 4 (much as at present). Luton will, I think have to take in some voters from Hertfordshire somehow, and the requirement to be within +or- 5% of the UK quota size will, mean boundary changes. I anticipate that Luton North will take Dallow Ward, or Biscot Ward (perhaps with High Town). Luton South would then extend into Hertfordshire to the extent of 25,000 voters or so – most obviously to take in Harpenden: the remainder of Luton South and Harpenden together would be a suitable size constituency, with a certain amount of linking countryside.