Llanelli
2010 Results:
Conservative: 5381 (14.36%)
Labour: 15916 (42.49%)
Liberal Democrat: 3902 (10.42%)
Plaid Cymru: 11215 (29.94%)
UKIP: 1047 (2.79%)
Majority: 4701 (12.55%)
2005 Results:
Labour: 16592 (46.9%)
Plaid Cymru: 9358 (26.5%)
Conservative: 4844 (13.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 4550 (12.9%)
Other: 0 (0%)
Majority: 7234 (20.5%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 3442 (9.5%)
Labour: 17586 (48.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 3065 (8.5%)
Plaid Cymru: 11183 (30.9%)
Green: 515 (1.4%)
Other: 407 (1.1%)
Majority: 6403 (17.7%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 5003 (12.1%)
Labour: 23851 (57.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 3788 (9.2%)
Plaid Cymru: 7812 (19%)
Other: 757 (1.8%)
Majority: 16039 (38.9%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Nia Griffith(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Christopher Salmon (Conservative)Nia Griffith(Labour) (more information at They work for you)Myrddin Edwards (Liberal Democrat)Myfanwy Davies (Plaid Cymru) Andrew Marshall (UKIP)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 75777
Male: 48%
Female: 52%
Under 18: 22.6%
Over 60: 24.8%
Born outside UK: 2.1%
White: 99%
Asian: 0.3%
Mixed: 0.3%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 73.4%
Full time students: 2.6%
Graduates 16-74: 14.8%
No Qualifications 16-74: 36.1%
Owner-Occupied: 71.4%
Social Housing: 19.4% (Council: 16.4%, Housing Ass.: 3%)
Privately Rented: 5.1%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 6%
Based on polls Hywel! Like the one just published for example.
The hype from Plaid supporters is out of all proportion to the Wales-wide polls which have appeared. And Griffith has the additional advantage of first-time incumbency. No Plaid supporter has given a convincing explanation of why they will take quite so many votes from Labour this time in particular. Why not 2005? It will take quite a big swing (bigger still with the first-time incumbency effect) for Plaid to win here and I would be surprised to see it.
Plaid are confident in Llanelli because of:
1) winning result in WA election in 2007
2) winning results in 2008 council election
3) ‘wiining’ seat in 2009 Euro election
4) Strong targetted election campain with very good canvass results.
Plaid may be being squeezed nationally but they will do much better in ceratin targetted seats such as this one.
One to watch, but and I apologise to all Welsh nationalists on here, LAB hold. Albeit very tight.
The hype from Plaid supporters is out of all proportion to the Wales-wide polls which have appeared.
Polls are usless for assessing differetn seats barnaby
Wales has a tiny sub set sample its laughable
first sentence is quoting Barnaby btw
Plaid think they have a good chance from what I hear on twitter locally…….lab hold is indeed very plausible but not nailed on
A Plaid win with a majority of 12…
Labour = squeaky bum time
Myfanwy been a passionate candidate….and I am not a plaid member
God labour voters got off their at the last minute and you know it
Pretty much what I expected. A swing to Plaid, but nothing like enough. First-time incumbency again key, but also working-class Welsh voters’ bitter opposition to the Tories has led many who voted for Helen Mary Jones to stick with Labour for Westminster, as the clear alternative government.