Liverpool Walton
2010 Results:
Conservative: 2241 (6.53%)
Labour: 24709 (71.96%)
Liberal Democrat: 4891 (14.24%)
BNP: 1104 (3.22%)
UKIP: 898 (2.62%)
TUSC: 195 (0.57%)
Others: 297 (0.87%)
Majority: 19818 (57.72%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 25398 (72.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 5137 (14.6%)
Conservative: 2237 (6.4%)
Other: 2361 (6.7%)
Majority: 20261 (57.7%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 1655 (5.9%)
Labour: 20322 (72.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 4365 (15.6%)
UKIP: 1108 (4%)
Other: 480 (1.7%)
Majority: 15957 (57.1%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 1726 (6.1%)
Labour: 22143 (77.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 4147 (14.6%)
UKIP: 442 (1.6%)
Majority: 17996 (63.2%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 2551 (6.3%)
Labour: 31516 (78.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 4478 (11.1%)
Referendum: 620 (1.5%)
Other: 1042 (2.6%)
Majority: 27038 (67.2%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Steve Rotheram (Labour)
Adam Marsden (Conservative) Works for Tower Enterprise funding.Steve Rotheram (Labour)Patrick Moloney (Liberal Democrat) Joe Nugent (UKIP)Peter Stafford (BNP) Daren Ireland (TUSC) 
John Manwell (CPA) Contested North West region 2009 European elections.2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 92593
Male: 48%
Female: 52%
Under 18: 24.6%
Over 60: 20.1%
Born outside UK: 2.3%
White: 97.8%
Black: 0.3%
Asian: 0.4%
Mixed: 0.8%
Other: 0.7%
Christian: 83.9%
Full time students: 3.4%
Graduates 16-74: 8.3%
No Qualifications 16-74: 45%
Owner-Occupied: 50.6%
Social Housing: 33.9% (Council: 19%, Housing Ass.: 14.8%)
Privately Rented: 12.8%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 32.2%
Isn’t Paul Rimmer standing for the English Democrats?
Prediction for 2015-
Rotherham (Labour)- 27, 839 (80.2%, +8.24%)
Lib Dem- 2, 935 (8.4%, -5.8%)
Tory- 1, 544 (4.4%, -2.1%)
UKIP- 1, 256 (3.6%, +1.0%)
Others- 1, 133 (3.2%, -1.5%)
Turnout- 34, 707.
Majority- 24, 904 (71.7%)
Swing- +7.02% From Lib Dem to Lab.
I think the LDs will do worse than that and possibly worse than the tories.
I wonder what the record percentage majority is in a contested parliamentary constituency? The result in West Ham Silvertown in 1945 must be close.
Speaking as a local there is no way the Tories will finish second here- They’ve got next to nothing support in this constituency in particular in the city, which really is saying a lot considering this is Liverpool we’re talking about.
As for the Lib Dems, there is a certain amount of support for them here (Albeit minimal) that will perhaps remain constant- How much lower could they possibly get than they are now? Anything less than 5% would be a disaster for them here, even though this is a safe Labour seat.
It pales compared to the Conservative majority over Sinn Fein in Antrim in 1924
Derek Hatton did a fine job of driving Tory supporters out of seats like this in the 1980s.
The record majority in a contested parliamentary election was 98.0% in East Kerry in 1885, with the Nationalist beating a Conservative.
More recently, the Unionist majority over Sinn Fein in North Down in 1959 was slightly higher even than the 1924 Antrim result: 96.1%.
The mainland general election record was Plaistow in 1918, where Will Thorne got a 94.9% majority over an independent, while the Middleton and Prestwich by-election held in 1940 saw the Conservative win with a 97.4% majority over a Fascist.
”Derek Hatton did a fine job of driving Tory supporters out of seats like this in the 1980s.”
It was the only thing he did a fine job of as well for that matter.
In fact, if one looks at the 1991 by-election result here, the Lib Dems did extremely well, Labour disappointingly and the Tories appallingly- Indeed all because of one thing and one thing only- Militant.
I posted a link to the 1991 by-election declaration on the previous page. It was quite amusing in parts.
I found the declaration fascinating- It looked as though it was made at the University of Liverpool Guild Of Students building?
I think normally the election counts in Liverpool take place at St. George’s Hall or Liverpool Town Hall?
It may well be that the Lib Dem vote does melt to a very low level (although above deposit) here
so your figures might be right.
Labour has actually lost 11,000 voters here since 1997 but their share of the vote is enormous.
I know a lovely girl who lives in Fazakerley who isbound to vote Labour, unlike me
There are many lovely people in your area who are likely to vote Labour
LOL guaranteed that all the lovely girls I know in Liverpool would probably vote Labour!
I incidentally Barnaby should in theory be a nailedon Labour man but being on the far-left as I am means that I am unable to support a party too far into the political centre.
So what’s your answer then? Surely some progress is better than none?
Impossible for me to say really. If there was any justice, the Labour Party would be far more leftwing now.
Did you support Blair’s government from 1997-2007?
Are you a TUSC or SWP voter The Results? Or an out and out communist?
No I am not any of those things.I’m probably a socialist, democratic socialist, republican and Eurosceptic- so pretty similar to Barnaby Marder actually.