Leyton and Wanstead
2010 Results:
Conservative: 8928 (22.23%)
Labour: 17511 (43.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 11095 (27.63%)
BNP: 561 (1.4%)
UKIP: 1080 (2.69%)
Green: 562 (1.4%)
Christian: 342 (0.85%)
Others: 80 (0.2%)
Majority: 6416 (15.97%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 15660 (45.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 8538 (24.9%)
Conservative: 7795 (22.7%)
Other: 2294 (6.7%)
Majority: 7121 (20.8%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 7393 (22.2%)
Labour: 15234 (45.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 8377 (25.2%)
Green: 1523 (4.6%)
UKIP: 591 (1.8%)
Other: 155 (0.5%)
Majority: 6857 (20.6%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 6654 (19.7%)
Labour: 19558 (58%)
Liberal Democrat: 5389 (16%)
Green: 1030 (3.1%)
Other: 1087 (3.2%)
Majority: 12904 (38.3%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 8736 (22.2%)
Labour: 23922 (60.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 5920 (15.1%)
Other: 744 (1.9%)
Majority: 15186 (38.6%)
Boundary changes: Minor changes to bring into line with ward boundaries. Gains parts of Snaresbrook and Wanstead wards from Ilford North.
Profile: This was created as a cross-borough seat in 1997, shoving together somewhat ill-matched wards from Waltham Forest and Redbridge. It covers Leyton, Leytonstone, Snaresbrook, Aldersbrook and Wanstead and includes Whipps Cross hospital and New Spitalfields Market.
Leyton – the Waltham Forest part of the seat – is an inner-city, multicultural working class area. Recent redevelopement has seen the demolition of the old tower blocks in estates like Oliver Close and their replacement with modern low rise developments, but this remains an area with problems of crime and deprivation. In contrast Wanstead is more suburban and middle-class, with attractive Edwardian housing set amongst open green spaces like Wanstead Flats. The two normally safe Conservative wards though are easily outvoted by safely Labour Leyton rendering this a safe Labour seat, though Harry Cohen saw his share of the vote drop by 12% at the last election, mostly to the benefit of the Liberal Democrats who took second place. No doubt the fall was partly due to oppositon to the war in Iraq from the 16% of the population who identified themselves as Muslim in the last census, despite the fact that Cohen himself was a staunch opponent of the war.
Current MP: John Cryer (Labour)
Edwin Northover (Conservative) Born Liverpool. Lawyer specialising in corporate law, mergers and aquisitions. Waltham Forest councillor.John Cryer (Labour)
Farooq Qureshi (Liberal Democrat) born Tahlian-Wala, Pakistan. Businessman, radio presenter and poet. Waltham Forest councillor since 2003, Mayor of Waltham Forest 2006-7. Ashley Gunstock (Green)Graham Wood (UKIP)Jim Clift (BNP)Sonika Bhatti (Christian Party) Martin Levin (Independents Federation UK)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 89340
Male: 48.9%
Female: 51.1%
Under 18: 23.2%
Over 60: 14.9%
Born outside UK: 29.7%
White: 59.1%
Black: 17.3%
Asian: 17.9%
Mixed: 3.8%
Other: 2%
Christian: 52.7%
Hindu: 2.5%
Jewish: 1.6%
Muslim: 16.6%
Sikh: 1.2%
Full time students: 7.3%
Graduates 16-74: 30%
No Qualifications 16-74: 25.1%
Owner-Occupied: 56.7%
Social Housing: 22.4% (Council: 14%, Housing Ass.: 8.4%)
Privately Rented: 18.1%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 11.5%
Barnaby John Cryer is from East Sussex not Hornchurch…however when a friend met him in Leytonstone a few weeks ago and challenged his local crudentials he stated that he was from South London, however his registered address in East Sussex. He may have been a good MP in Hornchurch but i’m afraid many people in the constituency want local candidates not ‘career’ politicians being distributed into the seat as it is seen as ’safe’. I also wonder why someone from East Sussex would want to stand in Leyton and Wanstead if it wasnt to further their own career as East Sussex is hardly East London is it?!
As with the Liberal Democrats….they have helped the Labour group in Waltham Forest Council make some disasterous choices yet seek to blame them at the same time.
Lab 14000
LD 11000
Con 8500
Green 2500
BNP 1500
Others 1500
I agree with Matt – Lab by 3000
Yes – looking at the polls now Labour to win this with the LDs in second.
The only thing that might swing it is the fact that the Lib Dem candidate is a Muslim as is 35% of the electorate. While that might be a plus in Leyton however it may have the opposite effect in Wanstead.