Are those results on the LondonElect website somewhere?

Yes Andy if you click on results from the front page then download results it is the list at the bottom of that page. No point posting the link cos it wont show up for ages

Prediction, General Election 2009/10:

Lab 15,644 36.8% (-9.6%)
Con 11,897 28.0% (+4.1%)
LD 10,218 24.1% (+0.4%)
Oth 4,721 11.1% (+5.2%)

Lab maj 3,747 8.8%

LAB HOLD

6.9% swing Lab to Con

Yes I think it would, but far from the first time that Penge has voted for a Labour MP

London 2008 results - Lewisham West & Penge (new boundaries):
{Excluding postal votes}

Mayor:
Lab - 11,010 (40.89%), C - 9,792 (36.36%), LD - 3,241 (12.04%), Green - 1,170 (4.35%)

Constituency Vote, (Greenwich&Lewisham / Bexley&Bromley):
Lab - 8,477 (31.59%), C - 7,379 (27.50%), LD - 4,720 (17.59%), Green - 2,878 (5.78%)

List:
Lab - 8,224 (30.57%), C - 7,085 (26.34%), LD - 3,727 (13.86%), Green - 3,312 (12.31%)

POSTAL VOTES for whole of Lewisham:

Mayor: Lab - 5,833 (43.04%), C - 4,302 (31.74%), LD - 1,622 (11.97%), Green - 688 (5.08%)

Constituency: Lab - 4,870 (36.12%), C - 3,366 (24.96%), LD - 1,993 (14.78%), Green - 1,555 (11.53%)

List: Lab - 4,673 (34.63%), C - 3,272 (24.25%), LD -1,747 (12.95%), Green - 1,526 (11.31%)

Lewisham West & Penge represented 22.85% / 22.88% / 22.85% of non-postal Lewisham votes for the 3 sections respectively.

POSTAL VOTES for whole of Bromley:

Mayor: C - 11,361 (59.84%), Lab - 3,835 (20.20%), LD - 1,966 (10.35%), Green - 436 (2.30%)

Constituency: C - 10,656 (56.33%), Lab - 2,437 (12.88%), LD - 2,359 (12.47%), Green - 936 (4.95%)

List: C - 10,144 (53.69%), Lab - 2,590 (13.71%), LD - 2,167 (11.47%), Green - 1,044 (5.53%)

Lewisham West & Penge represented 12.59% / 12.61% / 12.63 % of non-postal Bromley votes for the 3 sections respectively.

Odd that there’s no Tory candidate here yet, given that it might just be within reach of the Tories under landslide conditions.

Personally I’m sticking to my prediction upthread of a Labour hold by around 3,000 over a divided opposition (the Tories will beat the Lib Dems and retain second place though, I’m pretty sure of that).

Alex Feakes was Lib Dem candidate in Beckenham in 2001 and he certainly did not come across then as very strong candidate.

I feel at times like volunteering my services in this seat (although that feeling fades pretty quickly). Although it has all the hallmarks of becoming a place like Streatham and Croydon North that gradually gets beyond the Conservatives I think that this time we have a chance but only if someone takes it seriously.

For many years Beckenham Conservatives wrote off Penge & Anerley as no go areas - places wot voted for the other side (this is not true of Clock House and Lawrie Park which returned Conservative Cocunillors through most of my time in the area). Yet there must be a fair chunk of good Tory votes to be had there as well as in Forest Hill & Sydenham.

I think this seat is pretty well beyond the Tories range actually. I agree with HH the majority probably wouldnt go below about 3000. It differs from some other seats which on paper may look just as hard (and Luton North is an example) in that I dont believe it has the large number of potential swictehrs and as ASC says it is demographically moving the way of Streatham etc

I agree with Pete: I’d say the Conservative cealing here is probably arounf 30%, given the demographics. Probably, if there;d been a stronger Conservative fight at local level during the 1990s, there’d be just enough of a presence to win here. Having said that, I now think it could be done in a two-stage process if Conservatives make further gains after the next GE - probably, a few months ago, I would have thought it impossible. I could even see the Conservatives winning Lewisham West as it currently stands if there were a bye in the near future, although it’d be very narrow.