The UKPollingReport election guide for 2010 has now been archived and all comments will shortly be closed. The new Election Guide for the 2015 election is now online at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide. The old site is archived at the UK Web Archive.
.

Lancaster and Fleetwood

2010 Results:
Conservative: 15404 (36.07%)
Labour: 15071 (35.29%)
Liberal Democrat: 8167 (19.13%)
BNP: 938 (2.2%)
UKIP: 1020 (2.39%)
Green: 1888 (4.42%)
Independent: 213 (0.5%)
Majority: 333 (0.78%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 14791 (44.6%)
Conservative: 10735 (32.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 5421 (16.4%)
Other: 2199 (6.6%)
Majority: 4056 (12.2%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 22266 (42.8%)
Labour: 18095 (34.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 8453 (16.2%)
Green: 2278 (4.4%)
UKIP: 969 (1.9%)
Majority: 4171 (8%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 22075 (42.2%)
Labour: 22556 (43.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 5383 (10.3%)
UKIP: 741 (1.4%)
Green: 1595 (3%)
Majority: 481 (0.9%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 23878 (40.6%)
Labour: 25173 (42.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 6802 (11.6%)
Referendum: 1516 (2.6%)
Other: 1493 (2.5%)
Majority: 1295 (2.2%)

Boundary changes:

Profile:

portraitCurrent MP: Eric Ollerenshaw (Conservative) Former teacher. London Assembly list member from 2000-2004 and former leader of the Conservative group. Hackney councillor 1990-2007.

2010 election candidates:
portraitEric Ollerenshaw (Conservative) Former teacher. London Assembly list member from 2000-2004 and former leader of the Conservative group. Hackney councillor 1990-2007.
portraitClive Grunshaw (Labour) born Fleetwood. Educated at Baines Grammar School and, as a mature student, Lancaster University. Former dockworker and milkman, subsequently Parliamentary assistant to Joan Humble. Wyre Borough councillor since 1994, leader of Labour group on Wyre council. Lancashire county councillor since 1999.
portraitStuart Langhorn (Liberal Democrat) born Bingley. Educated at Lancaster University. RE teacher. Lancaster councillor since 2003.
portraitGina Dowding (Green) Born London. Educated at Trent Polytechnic. Former NHS health promotion specialist. Lancaster councillor 1999-2007.
portraitFred McGlade (UKIP) Born 1953, Belfast. Educated at Open University and Lancaster University. Historian and former soldier.
portraitDebra Kent (BNP)
portraitKeith Riley (Independent) Born 1938, Blackburn. Educated at St Marys College. Wyre councillor sine 1979. Lancashire county councillor 2001-2009.

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 82445
Male: 48.2%
Female: 51.8%
Under 18: 20.4%
Over 60: 21.5%
Born outside UK: 5.1%
White: 97.1%
Black: 0.3%
Asian: 1.1%
Mixed: 0.6%
Other: 0.9%
Christian: 76%
Muslim: 0.8%
Full time students: 15.2%
Graduates 16-74: 19.9%
No Qualifications 16-74: 27.2%
Owner-Occupied: 71.7%
Social Housing: 11.9% (Council: 5%, Housing Ass.: 6.8%)
Privately Rented: 12.7%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 14%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide