West Lancashire
2010 Results:
Conservative: 17540 (36.19%)
Labour: 21883 (45.14%)
Liberal Democrat: 6573 (13.56%)
UKIP: 1775 (3.66%)
Green: 485 (1%)
Others: 217 (0.45%)
Majority: 4343 (8.95%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 20746 (48.1%)
Conservative: 14662 (34%)
Liberal Democrat: 6059 (14%)
Other: 1688 (3.9%)
Majority: 6084 (14.1%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 14662 (34%)
Labour: 20746 (48.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 6059 (14%)
UKIP: 871 (2%)
Other: 817 (1.9%)
Majority: 6084 (14.1%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 13761 (32%)
Labour: 23404 (54.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 4966 (11.6%)
Other: 840 (2%)
Majority: 9643 (22.4%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 15903 (29.1%)
Labour: 33022 (60.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 3938 (7.2%)
Referendum: 1025 (1.9%)
Other: 841 (1.5%)
Majority: 17119 (31.3%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Rosie Cooper(Labour) born 1950, Liverpool. Educated at Bellerive Convent Grammar School and the University of Liverpool. Foremr corporate manager for Littlewoods. Liverpool councillor for the Liberal party from 1973-2000. Contested Liverpool Garston for the Liberals in 1983, Knowlsey North by-election for the Liberals in 1986, Knowsley North for the Liberals in 1987 and Liverpool Broad Green in 1992 as a Liberal Democrat. She defected to the Labour party prior to contested the European Parliament North West Region in 2004 and was elected as Labour MP for West Lancashire in 2005 (more information at They work for you)
Adrian Owens (Conservative) born Wirral. Educated at Cambridge University. Business consultant. West Lancashire District Councillor since 1999. Contested South Ribble 2001. Rosie Cooper(Labour) born 1950, Liverpool. Educated at Bellerive Convent Grammar School and the University of Liverpool. Foremr corporate manager for Littlewoods. Liverpool councillor for the Liberal party from 1973-2000. Contested Liverpool Garston for the Liberals in 1983, Knowlsey North by-election for the Liberals in 1986, Knowsley North for the Liberals in 1987 and Liverpool Broad Green in 1992 as a Liberal Democrat. She defected to the Labour party prior to contested the European Parliament North West Region in 2004 and was elected as Labour MP for West Lancashire in 2005 (more information at They work for you)
John Gibson (Liberal Democrat) Sefton councillor.
Peter Cranie (Green) Works for a parenting support charity. Contested Liverpool Riverside 2005, North West region 2009 European elections.
Damon Noone (UKIP) David Braid (Clause 28 Childrens Protection Christian Democrat)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 93315
Male: 48%
Female: 52%
Under 18: 23.2%
Over 60: 21.3%
Born outside UK: 2.6%
White: 98.5%
Asian: 0.5%
Mixed: 0.6%
Other: 0.4%
Christian: 83.5%
Full time students: 5%
Graduates 16-74: 18.2%
No Qualifications 16-74: 29.9%
Owner-Occupied: 72.3%
Social Housing: 19.5% (Council: 17.5%, Housing Ass.: 2%)
Privately Rented: 5%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 4.9%
LAB HOLD
Final update.
OK News from West Lancs. I’ve now had all the leaflets I assume I’m going to get and here are the totals.
Last and certainly least, I’ve now got the election communication from the Rev Braid. A twin to last time.
Nothing at all from UKIP in any way, not even an A5 election comm.
Greens, still just the door delivery saying vote local. Understandable really and it might pay off, if not in this ward.
Lib Dems, election Comm + a delivery.
Labour… Total of 2 leaflets only. One election comm the other posted. Nothing else delivered in a key must win marginal. No phone calls, no canvassers, nothing hand delivered and no posters at all.
Cons by contrast have sent me One election comm,. 2 hand delivered leaflets, 2 postal leaflets, oh and 2 letters with reply envelopes (kindly returned with recommendations for Direct line insurance and to shop at Iceland.)
That said, there have been no callers, either phone or canvassers for them either. Also the only posters I’ve seen for the Tories have been in farmers fields (spotted a young kid widdling on one) and fields, as has been pointed out elsewhere, do not get to vote.
Conclusions.
I have never known Labour not deliver a single leaflet, even in a local election campaign, let alone a GE campaign plus with no other sign of activity they are not going to get their vote out here much at all.
The Tories, not much better but they seem to be spending Lord Ashcroft’s money well with enough paper to be noticed from the door to the recycling box.
So it looks like a Con gain by just over 1000 votes.
Oh and the Rev Braid very very last. Again.
Just been out to vote. Pretty brisk at the polling station and turnout looks like it will be up on last time.
I finally received a delivered Labour leaflet late yesterday. Only devoted to the Borough Council election though, no mention at all of the GE or the Labour candidate.
So just 1 Lab leaflet in the whole campaign with Rosie Cooper’s name on. And that was the election comm.
Either they are very overconfident or they really don’t have the resources to fight seriously.
Labour have held on with a majority of 4,343 (9.0%).
I’m a bit surprised by Labour holding on so easily here. Maybe the increase in turnout by 6% meant more Skelmersdale voters came out to support them.
Andy JS, I’m also surpised Labour held here (not that I’m complaining). I’ve visted this seat before I was suprised it was held by Labour. The picturesque market town of Ormskirk there are also very pretty villages in this seat too. Amybe Rosie Cooper managed to get the Labour vote out in Skermersdale which is the least affulent part of this seat.