The UKPollingReport election guide for 2010 has now been archived and all comments closed. The new Election Guide for the 2015 election is now online at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide. The old site is archived at the UK Web Archive.
.

Lagan Valley

Notional 2005 Results:
DUP: 22337 (58.6%)
UUP: 8607 (22.6%)
Alliance: 3876 (10.2%)
SDLP: 1738 (4.6%)
SF: 1547 (4.1%)
Majority: 13730 (36%)

2005 Result:
DUP: 23289 (54.7%)
UU: 9172 (21.5%)
Alliance: 4316 (10.1%)
SF: 3197 (7.5%)
SDLP: 2598 (6.1%)
Majority: 14117 (33.2%)

Boundary Changes: Loses Glenavy to South Antrim and Dunmurry and part of Derryaghy ward to West Belfast. The spliting of a council ward is unique in boundary reviews and came after the residents of the protestant southern part of Derryaghy expressed fears for their safety if they fell under the Sinn Fein stronghold of West Belfast.

Profile: The booming suburbs south-west of Belfast. This seat is mostly affluent and middle-class, particularly around Lisburn – the largest town – though even there there remain a few old estates where there is higher deprivation. The seat is four-fifths protestest, and the minority catholic population are evenly spread. With the removal of Glenavy and Lagmore there are no more Catholic heartlands here. The seat returns 3 DUP, 1 UUP, 1 SF and 1 Alliance to the Northern Ireland Assembly.

portraitCurrent MP: Jeffrey Donaldson (DUP) born 1962, Kilkeel. Former agent for Enoch Powell. First elected as Ulster Unionist MP for Lagan Valley in 1997, defected to the DUP in 2004

Candidates:
portraitDaphne Trimble (UCUNF) Formerly a solicitor, before working in the office of her husband David Trimble.
portraitBrian Heading (SDLP) Lisburn councillor.

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. It will be replaced by a new guide in 2013, once the fate of the boundary review is finally settled.