Kilmarnock and Loudoun
2010 Results:
Conservative: 6592 (14.13%)
Labour: 24460 (52.54%)
Liberal Democrat: 3419 (7.33%)
SNP: 12082 (25.89%)
Majority: 12378 (26.65%)
2005 Results:
Labour: 20976 (47.3%)
SNP: 12273 (27.7%)
Conservative: 5026 (11.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 4945 (11.1%)
Other: 1163 (2.6%)
Majority: 8703 (19.6%)
Boundary changes prior to 2005 election.
2001 Result
Conservative: 3943 (10.5%)
Labour: 19926 (52.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 3177 (8.4%)
SNP: 9592 (25.5%)
Other: 1027 (2.7%)
Majority: 10334 (27.4%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 5125 (10.8%)
Labour: 23621 (49.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 1891 (4%)
SNP: 16365 (34.5%)
Referendum: 284 (0.6%)
Other: 123 (0.3%)
Majority: 7256 (15.3%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Cathy Jamieson (Labour) Born 1956, Kilmarnock. Educated at James Hamilton Academy abd Glasgow School of Art. Former social worker. MSP for Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley since 1999. Deputy Labour leader in the Scottish Parliament 2007-2008, and briefly acting leader following Wendy Alexander`s resignation.
Janette McAlpine (Conservative) born Glasgow. Educated at Paisley University. Knowledge transfer manager at Glasgow Caledonian University. Contested Glasgow Bailleston & Glasgow list 2003 Scottish elections, Glasgow South 2005 and Kilmarnock and Loudoun & Central Scotland list 2007.Cathy Jamieson (Labour) Born 1956, Kilmarnock. Educated at James Hamilton Academy abd Glasgow School of Art. Former social worker. MSP for Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley since 1999. Deputy Labour leader in the Scottish Parliament 2007-2008, and briefly acting leader following Wendy Alexander`s resignation.
Sebastian Tombs (Liberal Democrat) George Leslie (SNP) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 93777
Male: 48.1%
Female: 51.9%
Under 18: 23.4%
Over 60: 21.4%
Born outside UK: 1.8%
White: 99.3%
Asian: 0.2%
Mixed: 0.2%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 68.1%
Graduates 16-74: 14.2%
No Qualifications 16-74: 39.6%
Owner-Occupied: 60.6%
Social Housing: 31.8% (Council: 29.3%, Housing Ass.: 2.5%)
Privately Rented: 3.4%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 3.2%
My hometown also lies within this constituency and I can assure you that it is not a paper majority and the response from the public has been very positive for Cathy Jamieson.
You seem to forget that Westminster constituency
is larger than the Hollyrood one and contains the ultra safe Ballochmyle ward.
There seems to be a bit of confusion as to twhohe Lib Dem candidate is. You have Ron Aitken as the candidate but on a couple of other sites someone called Sebastian Toombs is quoted.
Needless to say niether have made thier presence felt in K&L.
Sebastian Toombs is listed on the main Lib Dem web site as selected PPC for this seat. (libdemsDOTorgDOTuk )
Just the four candidates here…
Cathy JAMIESON – Scottish Labour Party
George LESLIE – Scottish National Party (SNP)
Janette MCALPINE – Scottish Conservative and Unionist
Sebastian TOMBS – Scottish Liberal Democrats
Lab maj 4,000
We’re playing a new game in K&L;
Where’s Sebastian?
The Lib Dem candidate was a no show at tonights hustings meeting, nobody I know has seen him in the constituency and nobody has received any literature.
Does he really exist or is he just a figment of our imagination?
LAB HOLD
George Leslie was the SNP candidate in Glasgow Pollok in the 1967 by election. The defeated Labour candidate was Dick Douglas, later Labour MP for Clackmannanshire & East Stirlingshire 1970 – Feb 1974, Dumfermline 1979 – 1983 and Dumfermline West 1983 – 1990 and then SNP MP for Dumfermline West from 1990 – 1992.
He stood against Donald Dewar in Glasgow Garscadden in 1992.
Horrific result for the SNP here, almost vanquishing the chance of holding the equivalent Holyrood seat or doing well enough on the list to compensate. Frankly, any Holyrood seat between Falkirk West and Galloway and Upper Nithsdale should be odds-on Labour IMO.
Kilmarnock and Irvine Valley 2011 predictions:
Labour 16000(+9)
SNP 12000 (-7)
Con 4000(-0.5)
LD 1500(-1.5)
Swing of 8% from SNP to Labour.
I too was surprised how well Cathy Jamieson did, I do not like her personally and think she comes across badly. The swing from SNP to Lab was a surprise.
I would put her in that category of really whiny, annoying west of Scotland female MP/MSPs and there are quite a few of them, though obviously there are a lot who aren’t like that!
Kilmarnock and Irvine Valley 2011
Lab 16200 (+6)
SNP 13300 (-6)
Con 5000 (+2)
LD 1500 (-2)
Lab Maj 2900
East Ayrshire Council 2012 Predcition
Lab 16 (+2)
SNP 14 (-)
Con 2 (-1)
Ind 0 (-1)