Houghton and Sunderland South
2010 Results:
Conservative: 8147 (21.43%)
Labour: 19137 (50.33%)
Liberal Democrat: 5292 (13.92%)
BNP: 1961 (5.16%)
UKIP: 1022 (2.69%)
Independent: 2462 (6.48%)
Majority: 10990 (28.9%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 23354 (63.6%)
Conservative: 5982 (16.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 5973 (16.3%)
Other: 1439 (3.9%)
Majority: 17372 (47.3%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 6923 (22.5%)
Labour: 17982 (58.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 4492 (14.6%)
BNP: 1166 (3.8%)
Other: 149 (0.5%)
Majority: 11059 (36%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 6254 (20.1%)
Labour: 19921 (63.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 3675 (11.8%)
UKIP: 470 (1.5%)
BNP: 576 (1.8%)
Other: 291 (0.9%)
Majority: 13667 (43.8%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 7536 (18.9%)
Labour: 27174 (68.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 4606 (11.5%)
Other: 609 (1.5%)
Majority: 19638 (49.2%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Bridget Phillipson (Labour) Educated at St Roberts School and Oxford University. Women`s refuge manager.
Robert Oliver (Conservative) Politics and history teacher. Sunderland councillor. Contested Sunderland South 2005.Bridget Phillipson (Labour) Educated at St Roberts School and Oxford University. Women`s refuge manager.
Chris Boyle (Liberal Democrat) Lawyer. Newcastle councillor since 2003.
Richard Elvin (UKIP)Karen Allen (BNP) Colin Wakefield (Independent)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 90046
Male: 48.4%
Female: 51.6%
Under 18: 22.4%
Over 60: 22.2%
Born outside UK: 1.4%
White: 99%
Asian: 0.5%
Mixed: 0.3%
Other: 0.2%
Christian: 84.2%
Full time students: 2.1%
Graduates 16-74: 10.9%
No Qualifications 16-74: 38.8%
Owner-Occupied: 60.8%
Social Housing: 35.1% (Council: 24.5%, Housing Ass.: 10.6%)
Privately Rented: 2.8%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 1.5%
LAB HOLD
Considering the fact that it’s highly likely Bridget will be the first Labour MP in the new parliament, does that mean she’ll be the leader of the Labour party until the next Labour MP has won their seat? lol!!!
First seat declared – 8.4% swing to Tories on the notionals. Lib Dem vote down!
8.4% would mean the exit polls out a bit and Con overall majority. We shall see
OK please note: Others 14.4% – that is staggeringly high. BNP and Colin Wakefield have held their deposits!
I think this is skewing the swing figure slightly. Labour well down – but Tories not much up…
I said Colin Wakefield would do well! Maybe not as well as he’d hoped, but to finish fourth behind tthe major parties is a staggering achievement. The Independent councillors in the Copt Hill and Houghton wards also just missed out by around 200 votes each. If it hadn’t been a general election on the same night, they may well have both been elected.
Well the first couple of declarations certainly threw the cat am,ongst the pigeons with the studio pundits and swing “experts” – I think it’d be uncharitable to say they were clueless to extrapolate from Washington and Houghton’s results, but it took something of a pro-Conservative leap of faith to declare that the swings here (about 9% and in Washington, 11%) were cut and dried when in fact there were extremely high votes for none of the three main parties which totally skewed the swings, something which was totally ignored, on the BBC at least. The picture in Sunderland Central mirrored the national swing more accurately, which, being a more marginal seat, the pundits ought to have hung on for before they got a tad overexcited.