Hornsey and Wood Green
2010 Results:
Conservative: 9174 (16.67%)
Labour: 18720 (34.01%)
Liberal Democrat: 25595 (46.5%)
Green: 1261 (2.29%)
Independent: 292 (0.53%)
Majority: 6875 (12.49%)
2005 Results:
Liberal Democrat: 20512 (43.3%)
Labour: 18117 (38.3%)
Conservative: 6014 (12.7%)
Other: 2687 (5.7%)
Majority: 2395 (5.1%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 6921 (15.7%)
Labour: 21967 (49.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 11353 (25.8%)
Green: 2228 (5.1%)
Other: 1594 (3.6%)
Majority: 10614 (24.1%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 11293 (21.9%)
Labour: 31792 (61.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 5794 (11.3%)
Referendum: 808 (1.6%)
Other: 1800 (3.5%)
Majority: 20499 (39.8%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile: The western half of the Borough of Haringey, covering Wood Green, Noel Park, Alexandra Palace, Muswell HIll, Crouch End, Cranley Gardens and Highgate (though the famous cemetery is over the border in Holborn and St Pancras). This is a fashionable and trendy areas for young professionals and the middle class intelligensia, though there are also areas of council housing and a diverse ethnic population, including Jewish, Cypriot and afro-carribean communities.
This was a Conservative seat until 1992 but by 1997 had become what looked like a rock solid Labour seat, with Barbara Roche enjoying a majority of over 20,000. The Liberal Democrat however have surplanted the Conservatives as the alternative to Labour here, both at Parliamentary level where they won the seat in 2005 and local level (Haringey council is split almost straight down the middle in political terms – the western part that forms this seat is solidly Liberal Democrat, the eastern part that forms Tottenham is solidly Labour).
Current MP: Lynne Featherstone(Liberal Democrat) born 1951, London. Educated at South Hampstead High School and Oxford Brookes University. Former design consultant. Haringey councillor 1998-2006, leader of the Lib Dem group 1998-2002. London Assembley member 2000-2005. Contested Hornsey and Wood Green 1997, 2001. First elected as MP for Hornsey and Wood Green 2005. Home affairs spokesman 2005-2006, shadow Liberal Democrat secretary of state for internatonal development 2006-2007, youth and equality spokesman since 2007 (more information at They work for you)
Richard Merrin (Conservative) Managing director of a PR company.
Karen Jennings (Labour) Former nurse. Head of health at UNISON. Lynne Featherstone(Liberal Democrat) born 1951, London. Educated at South Hampstead High School and Oxford Brookes University. Former design consultant. Haringey councillor 1998-2006, leader of the Lib Dem group 1998-2002. London Assembley member 2000-2005. Contested Hornsey and Wood Green 1997, 2001. First elected as MP for Hornsey and Wood Green 2005. Home affairs spokesman 2005-2006, shadow Liberal Democrat secretary of state for internatonal development 2006-2007, youth and equality spokesman since 2007 (more information at They work for you)
Pete McAskie (Green) Green party management co-ordinator. Contested Tottenham 2005, Enfield and Haringey 2008 London elections.
Stephane de Roche (Independent)Rohen Kapur (Independent)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 107034
Male: 47.6%
Female: 52.4%
Under 18: 20.2%
Over 60: 13.9%
Born outside UK: 30.7%
White: 76.3%
Black: 11.3%
Asian: 5.8%
Mixed: 4.1%
Other: 2.5%
Christian: 49.3%
Hindu: 1.9%
Jewish: 3.7%
Muslim: 7.2%
Full time students: 6.7%
Graduates 16-74: 47.8%
No Qualifications 16-74: 16.9%
Owner-Occupied: 51.4%
Social Housing: 22.6% (Council: 14.5%, Housing Ass.: 8.1%)
Privately Rented: 22.6%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 10.4%
This seat, being large, probably unlikely to change I guess, so we can make reasonable comparisons, and largely predict on the likely political situation alone.
I think this could be a longer term LD seat, but see the majority bob up and down, perhaps until a retirement.
I don’t know. An awful lot of the LD vote is a left of centre vote. If one compares the results with 2001 or 1997 its evident how mcuh of the eletorate is prepared to vote Labour and these kind of left leaning voters are just the type to react badly against the ConDem coalition. I wouldn’t stick my neck out and say Labour will gain it, but it certainly has the potential to swing back in a big way. A Miliband could go down quite well in this area too
Featherstone better start squeezing that Conservative vote then.
She could take advice from Paul Holmes on what not to do
Good analysis Pete Whitehead. Which Miliband do you think would have a better chance of attracting voters in this seat?