Hornchurch and Upminster
Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 23990 (48.5%)
Labour: 16147 (32.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 4305 (8.7%)
BNP: 1634 (3.3%)
Other: 3353 (6.8%)
Majority: 7843 (15.9%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 16820 (48.5%)
Labour: 10778 (31.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 3128 (9%)
BNP: 1174 (3.4%)
Green: 543 (1.6%)
UKIP: 701 (2%)
Other: 1533 (4.4%)
Majority: 6042 (17.4%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 15410 (45.5%)
Labour: 14169 (41.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 3183 (9.4%)
UKIP: 1089 (3.2%)
Majority: 1241 (3.7%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 16315 (39.5%)
Labour: 19085 (46.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 3919 (9.5%)
Referendum: 2000 (4.8%)
Majority: 2770 (6.7%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Outgoing MP: Angela Watkinson(Conservative) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: Angela Watkinson(Conservative) (more information at They work for you)Kath McGuirk (Labour) Karen Chilvers (Liberal Democrat)Melanie Collins (Green)
Lawrence Webb (UKIP) Contested Hornchurch 2005, London region 2009 European elections. Mark Logan (BNP)
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 99357
Male: 47.8%
Female: 52.2%
Under 18: 21.9%
Over 60: 24.4%
Born outside UK: 5.2%
White: 95.8%
Black: 1%
Asian: 1.7%
Mixed: 0.9%
Other: 0.6%
Christian: 76.5%
Hindu: 0.8%
Muslim: 0.8%
Full time students: 2.2%
Graduates 16-74: 12.5%
No Qualifications 16-74: 31.9%
Owner-Occupied: 78.1%
Social Housing: 16.2% (Council: 14.7%, Housing Ass.: 1.4%)
Privately Rented: 4.1%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 5%
(of the election).
Scotland had declared in a few seats, and I think possibly one or two in the north west, but they were in places one might have expected to do something different.
Obviously I watched the program totally retrospectively but I still felt that Upminster, although it was a larger than the likely average swing, being a rather ordinary place, was the point where it was clear.
Former Upminster MP John Loveridge died fairly recently, this is an obituary which is quite interesting:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/obituaries/1570711/Sir-John-Loveridge.html
Thanks for this – it is interesting.
The BNP have selected Havering councillor Mark Logan here