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Holborn and St Pancras

2010 Results:
Conservative: 11134 (20.37%)
Labour: 25198 (46.11%)
Liberal Democrat: 15256 (27.92%)
BNP: 779 (1.43%)
UKIP: 587 (1.07%)
Green: 1480 (2.71%)
English Democrat: 75 (0.14%)
Independent: 140 (0.26%)
Majority: 9942 (18.19%)

Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 19335 (44.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 12320 (28.1%)
Conservative: 8665 (19.8%)
Other: 3543 (8.1%)
Majority: 7015 (16%)

Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 6482 (18.9%)
Labour: 14857 (43.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 10070 (29.3%)
Green: 2798 (8.1%)
Other: 152 (0.4%)
Majority: 4787 (13.9%)

2001 Result
Conservative: 5258 (16.9%)
Labour: 16770 (53.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 5595 (18%)
UKIP: 301 (1%)
Green: 1875 (6%)
Other: 1330 (4.3%)
Majority: 11175 (35.9%)

1997 Result
Conservative: 6804 (17.9%)
Labour: 24707 (65%)
Liberal Democrat: 4750 (12.5%)
Referendum: 790 (2.1%)
Other: 946 (2.5%)
Majority: 17903 (47.1%)

Boundary changes: Significant changes due to the Boroughs of Brent and Camden being paired. Gains the vast majority of Gospel Oak and Highgate wards, part of Haverstock and part of Camden Town with Primrose Hill.

Profile: A long slim inner-city seat, stretching from the fringes of the City of London at Holborn, past the museums and university collages of Bloomsbury to St Pancras and King Cross station, still regarded as a grim red light district though it is being redeveloped ready for the new Eurostar terminal at St Pancras. Northwards the seat covers the vibrant trendy areas like Camden Town with its market and music venues, the fashionable victorian terraces of Primrose Hill. the large council estates of Kentish Town and Maitland Park, Conservative Gospel Oak and the leafy affluence of Parliament Hill and Highgate.

Traditionally this has been a safe Labour seat and was retained by Labour throughout the 1980s. Almost half the housing is social housing and there is a significant Bangladeshi Muslim population. The more inner-city and southern part of the constituency is solidly Labour. The Liberal Democrats have however been gaining strength in the seat, as have the Greens who hold two council seats in Highgate. The boundary changes make the seat more secure for Labour, but there is potential for a Liberal Democrat challenge.

This seat was already oversized based on the year 2000 population figures used by the boundary review when it had a population of 78,307. This had swollen to 85,188 by 2005 making it one of the most populus constituencies in the country. With the large scale redevelopment around Kings Cross St Pancras it is likely to be even more unwieldy in future years.

portraitCurrent MP: Frank Dobson(Labour) born 1940, York. Educated at Archbishop Holgate`s Grammar School and the LSE. Worked for the Electricty board prior to his election. Camden councillor 1971-75, council leader 1973-1975. First elected as MP for Holborn and St Pancras South in 1979. Spokesman on various issues throughout the 1980s, he was appointed Secretary of State for health on Labour`s election victory in 1997. He remained in post for only two years before being pursuaded to stand for London Mayor. He won the Labour nomination against Ken Livingstone, but was decisively beaten in the actual election. Since then he has been a regular critic of the government and opponant of the war in Iraq (more information at They work for you)

2010 election candidates:
portraitGeorge Lee (Conservative) Born Hong Kong. Former Chief Inspector in the Metropolitan Police.
portraitFrank Dobson(Labour) born 1940, York. Educated at Archbishop Holgate`s Grammar School and the LSE. Worked for the Electricty board prior to his election. Camden councillor 1971-75, council leader 1973-1975. First elected as MP for Holborn and St Pancras South in 1979. Spokesman on various issues throughout the 1980s, he was appointed Secretary of State for health on Labour`s election victory in 1997. He remained in post for only two years before being pursuaded to stand for London Mayor. He won the Labour nomination against Ken Livingstone, but was decisively beaten in the actual election. Since then he has been a regular critic of the government and opponant of the war in Iraq (more information at They work for you)
portraitJo Shaw (Liberal Democrat) born London. Educated at Leeds University. Barrister specialising in housing, employment and family law.
portraitNatalie Bennett (Green) Educated at University of Sydney. Journalist.
portraitMaxine Spencer (UKIP)
portraitRobert Carlyle (BNP)
portraitMikel Susperregi (English Democrat)
portraitJohn Chapman (Independent)
portraitIain Meek (Independent)

2001 Census Demographics

Total 2001 Population: 121443
Male: 48.4%
Female: 51.6%
Under 18: 20.4%
Over 60: 13.8%
Born outside UK: 34.9%
White: 70.2%
Black: 9%
Asian: 12.7%
Mixed: 3.8%
Other: 4.3%
Christian: 47.9%
Hindu: 1.4%
Jewish: 2.5%
Muslim: 14.1%
Full time students: 13.4%
Graduates 16-74: 41.1%
No Qualifications 16-74: 21%
Owner-Occupied: 29.6%
Social Housing: 47.5% (Council: 33.9%, Housing Ass.: 13.6%)
Privately Rented: 18.4%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 8.9%

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide

367 Responses to “Holborn and St Pancras”

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  1. Thanks for the info, Pete. Any chance of posting electoral maps of the constituency in another place when you get a moment? Just for the sake of completeness?

  2. Yes I will do that – it seems I hadn’t even created the map in the same format as for the other constituencies. I think it was because I got so excited about how badly Brian Coleman had done I just posted the constituency stuff

  3. May I be permitted to disagree with Andy’s statement above? Thanks.

  4. Pete fascinated we were the only Boris ‘gain’ in May. HH I am Agent in H&KCA and just had fun with a swing to us in Hampstead Town. Thanks for the kind words.

    May election did include a very large canvass. Having been back in this post since August 2009, and canvassed in a vast number of roads it is amazing the different feel in many roads since my first stint 1995 – 2000. Not in Frognal but in places like West Hampstead and South Hill Park.

    Assisted by getting 50% of Camden wide postal vote – including all of Holborn StP. Boris also did very well in Brondesbury and Queens Park.

  5. Census results, white British 2001 / 2011:

    Bloomsbury: 48.2% / 38.6%
    Camden Town with Primrose Hill: 55.6% / 50.0%
    Cantelowes: 57.2% / 48.5%
    Gospel Oak: 58.9% / 50.0%
    Haverstock: 53.3% / 45.2%
    Highgate: 66.7% / 61.4%
    Holborn & Covent Garden: 50.1% / 39.4%
    Kentish Town: 59.0% / 52.6%
    King’s Cross: 37.2% / 31.6%
    Regent’s Park: 46.8% / 36.7%
    St Pancras & Somers Town: 44.5% / 34.6%

    TOTAL: 52.3% / 44.2%

    White overall, Holborn & St Pancras:
    2001: 70.2%
    2011: 63.6%

    Unusually the black African population declined between 2001 and 2011 in this constituency:

    2001: 7,929 / 121,443 = 6.5%
    2011: 7,613 / 135,642 = 5.6%

    So did the Bangladeshi population:

    2001: 11,002 / 121,443 = 9.1%
    2011: 10,754 / 135,642 = 7.9%

  6. Do you have the number of Cornish torture-thriller writers in Camden Town ward?

  7. I believe the answer to that question is one.

  8. Can you imagine if there was more?

  9. By election 14 March in Gospel Oak ward – Lab resignation

  10. 2010 election result, Gospel Oak:

    Sean Birch, (Lab): 2,015
    Theo Blackwell, (Lab): 1,965
    Larraine Levah, (Lab): 1,825
    Lulu Mitchell, (Con): 1,421
    Keith Sedgwick, (Con): 1,344
    Steve Adams, (Con): 1,305
    Margaret Jackson, (LD): 1,107
    Laura Noel, (LD): 1,006
    Simon Horvat-Marcovic, (LD): 860
    Robin Neal Smith, (Grn): 602
    Jane Katheryn Walby, (Grn): 595
    Constanin Timothey Buhayer, (Grn): 548

    Sean Birch is the councillor who has resigned.

  11. Conservatives select local mum Leila Roy for GO byelection http://www.hampsteadandkilburn.org/news/leila-roy-gospel-oak

  12. Seems that the effect of the housing benefits cap is beginning to be felt:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-21456057

    I wonder what the psephological outcomes will be? In regards to this seat, it may become more competitive for the Tories but probably not enough to seriously challenge. I imagine it will make a difference in Hampstead & Kilburn and Westminster North however.

  13. Gospel Oak candidates are Con, Lab; LD Green, TUSocAll and BNP

  14. Looking at the 2010 result this should be a fairly straightforward Labour hold. Bit unusual for the BNP to contest a seat in this area.

  15. It’s a long time since the ward has been seriously in play really. I’m a bit surprised that the Tories are second in it rather than the LDs though I know that parts of an abolished Hampstead ward are nowadays included in it. Anything other than a comfortable Labour hold would indeed be a surprise.

  16. “It’s a long time since the ward has been seriously in play really.”

    2006 when the Tories won all 3 seats in a close fight

  17. 2006 was only Cons win in ward. In 1968 the much smaller ward was split One Lab one Con. Current ward is made up of that old small ward plus parts of the abolished Labour ward of South End.

    In 2006 the election was dominated by a huge heating failure on the Gospel oak estate. Case work and campaigning led by Chris Philp won. Chris did not defend the seat in 2010 as was by then Cons candidate for Hampstead & Kilburn. The General election turnout, and the fading memory of the estate’s pressing issues saw Labour regain a ward they never thought they would lose.

    Interestingly the LD vote was 20%.Will it hold up?

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