Hampshire North West
2010 Results:
Conservative: 31072 (58.31%)
Labour: 6980 (13.1%)
Liberal Democrat: 12489 (23.44%)
UKIP: 2751 (5.16%)
Majority: 18583 (34.87%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Conservative: 24296 (50.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 12412 (25.7%)
Labour: 9803 (20.3%)
Other: 1820 (3.8%)
Majority: 11885 (24.6%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 26005 (50.7%)
Labour: 10594 (20.7%)
Liberal Democrat: 12741 (24.9%)
UKIP: 1925 (3.8%)
Majority: 13264 (25.9%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 24374 (50.1%)
Labour: 12365 (25.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 10329 (21.2%)
UKIP: 1563 (3.2%)
Majority: 12009 (24.7%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 24730 (45.2%)
Labour: 12900 (23.6%)
Liberal Democrat: 13179 (24.1%)
Referendum: 1533 (2.8%)
Other: 2325 (4.3%)
Majority: 11551 (21.1%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: George Young(Conservative) (more information at They work for you)
George Young(Conservative) (more information at They work for you)Sarah Evans (Labour)Tom McCann (Liberal Democrat) Stan Oram (UKIP) 2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 95545
Male: 49.4%
Female: 50.6%
Under 18: 23.2%
Over 60: 19%
Born outside UK: 6%
White: 98.1%
Black: 0.2%
Asian: 0.5%
Mixed: 0.7%
Other: 0.4%
Christian: 77.5%
Full time students: 1.7%
Graduates 16-74: 19.8%
No Qualifications 16-74: 23.1%
Owner-Occupied: 73.2%
Social Housing: 15.8% (Council: 4.3%, Housing Ass.: 11.5%)
Privately Rented: 6.7%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 3.4%
It is a substantial swing,
but strange things do happen in council by-elections.
I’m wary of drawing too much from them – on either side.
I’d have thought Labour would expect to advance more in Andover though – they had a substantial vote here in 1997-2005
and would have been one of the main reasons Labour was second in Winchester in 1979, in the old inflated seat.
Labour has underperformed badly in Andover ever since the party won Winchester in 1945.
Surely not in 1995/97/01/05
Andover wasn’t in the Winchester seat in 1945 so there is no relevance in Labour winning there in 1945.
You’re right, not as good as I thought,
although they were respectable.
This is probably their best result there in recent
times.
I guess the rather Military nature of the area makes it better for Cons?
Elections June 2001
ANDOVER NORTH 1997 2001
Conservative Hold
TEST VALLEY DISTRICT Party: CON CON
Electorate: 15412 Turnout: 66.66% 53.22%
Candidate Party Votes Cast Share of the Vote
Patricia West CON 3388 41.3%
Michael Mumford LAB 2731 33.29%
Robin Hughes LD 2083 25.39%
8202
I am surprised that Andover wasn’t included in Winchester in 1945. Was it in Basingstoke?
According to Wikipedia the answer is yes.
Andover recently got a town council (which will make it one of the largest towns in the country to be parished). The Conservatives won 9 seats against 5 each for the Lib Dems and the Campaign for an Andover Town Council (who one would have thought would be rather superfluous now). Labour did not put up a single candidate for these elections.
It seems that Labour were backing the Campaign grouping. Sarah Evans, the Labour candidate here in the general election is now one of the Campaign group town councillors.