Comments on: Hammersmith

By: Pete Whitehead

Pete Whitehead — Thu, 11 Mar 2010 22:02:03 +0000

Yes it will be the same answer as for Shepherd’s Bush

By: Harry Porter

Harry Porter — Thu, 11 Mar 2010 21:50:26 +0000

Which seats have included present-day White City ward? I am guessing they will have been the same as listed in answer to my previous queries upthread.

By: Richard

Richard — Tue, 09 Mar 2010 19:15:01 +0000

Of course the swing in each seat will be individual and apart from the uncertainty abour the actual majority other factors such as changing demographics and the quality of the Conservative candidate suggest a greater than average swing in this seat.

By: Frederic Stansfield

Frederic Stansfield — Tue, 09 Mar 2010 18:39:23 +0000

Thanks for pointing this out, Andy

By: Andy Stidwill

Andy Stidwill — Tue, 09 Mar 2010 18:12:02 +0000

Frederick, are you aware that the official Rallings & Thrasher notional results give Labour only a 8.4% lead in this seat, so requiring a swing of 4.3% for the Conservatives to win?

By: Frederic Stansfield

Frederic Stansfield — Tue, 09 Mar 2010 17:54:19 +0000

The Populus poll reported today of the 100 Labour marginals most challenged by the Conservatives suggests a 6.7% swing in such seats. Which puts this constituency right in multi-recount territory, notionally with Labout getting back by a hundred votes or so.

Is this how people with local knowledge currently see the state of play?

By: Joe James B

Joe James B — Sat, 06 Mar 2010 21:14:45 +0000

1979
Hammersmith North
Labour hold
CS Soley Labour 17,241 48.19%
J Cripps Conservative 13,735 38.39%
SHJA Knott Liberal 4,147 11.59%
R Pearse National Front 462 1.29%
C Stewart Workers Revolutionary Party 193 0.54%

Electorate: 50,821; Turnout: 70.40%;
Majority: 3,506 (9.80%

October 1974
Hammersmith North
Labour hold
F Tomney Labour 18,061 53.38%
RG Beckett Conservative 9,939 29.38%
SHJA Knott Liberal 5,200 15.37%
JP McFadden Ind 633 1.87%

Electorate: 52,371; Turnout: 64.60%;
Majority: 8,122 (24.01%

February 1974
Hammersmith North
new constituency boundaries
F Tomney Labour 18,970 49.45%
RG Beckett Conservative 11,929 31.10%
S Knott Liberal 7,460 19.45%

Electorate: 52,036; Turnout: 73.72%;
Majority: 7,041 (18.36%)

By: Richard

Richard — Sat, 06 Mar 2010 21:08:14 +0000

Barnaby

The Copeland / Workington split is rather infamous.

By: Pete Whitehead

Pete Whitehead — Sat, 06 Mar 2010 20:47:02 +0000

It is not what they for. They are to communicate with ones constituents – not to campaign. The majority of the electors in this constituency (and the ones concerned in the article) are not constituents of Andrew Slaughter and may well never be.

By: Rutter

Rutter — Sat, 06 Mar 2010 19:58:17 +0000

“Mr Slaughter appears to be in a spot of trouble.”

I dont understand what the issue is in that article, I would say that there is nothing wrong with Slaughter using parliamentary envelopes to campaign for getting elected. Surely that is what they are there for?