Halifax
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 16620 (41.8%)
Conservative: 13182 (33.2%)
Liberal Democrat: 7112 (17.9%)
Other: 2825 (7.1%)
Majority: 3438 (8.7%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 13162 (33.2%)
Labour: 16579 (41.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 7100 (17.9%)
BNP: 2627 (6.6%)
Other: 191 (0.5%)
Majority: 3417 (8.6%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 13671 (33.8%)
Labour: 19800 (49%)
Liberal Democrat: 5878 (14.6%)
UKIP: 1041 (2.6%)
Majority: 6129 (15.2%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 16253 (32.1%)
Labour: 27465 (54.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 6059 (12%)
Other: 779 (1.5%)
Majority: 11212 (22.2%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Outgoing MP: Linda Riordan(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Candidates: 
Philip Allott (Conservative) Born 1959. Runs a marketing business. Former Harrogate councillor. Contested Brent North in 2001, Bolton West 2005. Linda Riordan(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Elizabeth Wilson (Liberal Democrat) Contested Colne Valley 2005.
Diane Park (Independent) Calderdale councillor since 2003. Originally selected as the Lib Dem PPC, in 2009 she resigned from the party and announced her intention to run as an Independent.
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 94756
Male: 48.5%
Female: 51.5%
Under 18: 24.9%
Over 60: 20.2%
Born outside UK: 8%
White: 88.5%
Black: 0.3%
Asian: 10.1%
Mixed: 0.9%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 67.6%
Muslim: 9.5%
Full time students: 2.6%
Graduates 16-74: 13.6%
No Qualifications 16-74: 35.1%
Owner-Occupied: 68.1%
Social Housing: 19.9% (Council: 10.6%, Housing Ass.: 9.3%)
Privately Rented: 8.4%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 21.3%
I assume BNP will stand here but will they take votes of Con and Labour in roughly equal numbers; I would think more votes off Labour.
Con gain irrespective of BNP vote.
I’ve just posted for several constituencies. it is useful psephological information to know which seats the parties think are worth the expense of billboard posters. So are there any Cameron “We should be doing better” posters here?
Is abortion much of an issue here? I found press reports that it was used in the very close 1992 election here.
Maybe that might have been a reason why the Labour majority was unexpectedly cut to only 478 votes in 1992?
Andy JS – yes, apparently. Be good to get local confirmation. I know the area is largely Catholic and Mahon was pro-abortion. I think the BNP polling 660? may have saved her as they stood on an anti-Mahon platform given her left wing status within Labour even under Kinnock.
This can only be Tory? I am surprised this is target number 72.
Is there anything that can stop the Tories here?