Gower
2010 Results:
Conservative: 13333 (32%)
Labour: 16016 (38.43%)
Liberal Democrat: 7947 (19.07%)
Plaid Cymru: 2760 (6.62%)
BNP: 963 (2.31%)
UKIP: 652 (1.56%)
Majority: 2683 (6.43%)
Notional 2005 Results:
Labour: 16786 (42.5%)
Conservative: 10083 (25.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 7291 (18.4%)
Plaid Cymru: 3089 (7.8%)
Other: 2293 (5.8%)
Majority: 6703 (17%)
Actual 2005 result
Conservative: 10083 (25.5%)
Labour: 16786 (42.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 7291 (18.4%)
Plaid Cymru: 3089 (7.8%)
Green: 1029 (2.6%)
UKIP: 1264 (3.2%)
Majority: 6703 (17%)
2001 Result
Conservative: 10281 (27.5%)
Labour: 17676 (47.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 4507 (12.1%)
Plaid Cymru: 3865 (10.3%)
Green: 607 (1.6%)
Other: 417 (1.1%)
Majority: 7395 (19.8%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 10306 (23.8%)
Labour: 23313 (53.8%)
Liberal Democrat: 5624 (13%)
Plaid Cymru: 2226 (5.1%)
Referendum: 1745 (4%)
Other: 122 (0.3%)
Majority: 13007 (30%)
Boundary changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Martin Caton(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Byron Davies (Conservative) Martin Caton(Labour) (more information at They work for you)Mike Day (Liberal Democrat)Darren Price (Plaid Cymru) Gordon Triggs (UKIP)Adrian Jones (Support our Troops Bring them Home)2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 74365
Male: 48.3%
Female: 51.7%
Under 18: 21.1%
Over 60: 25.5%
Born outside UK: 2.4%
White: 99.1%
Asian: 0.3%
Mixed: 0.3%
Other: 0.3%
Christian: 75.7%
Full time students: 3.4%
Graduates 16-74: 22.9%
No Qualifications 16-74: 25.7%
Owner-Occupied: 79.3%
Social Housing: 12.2% (Council: 10%, Housing Ass.: 2.2%)
Privately Rented: 5%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 3.2%
Put all your money on a Conservative victory for the forthcoming general election! Labour and Plaid have now both overseen the closure of Morriston Hospitals brain surgery service by moving it to Cardiff and thats despite a previous public outcry and protest campaign that collected well over 100,000+ signatures.
The sophisticated and intelligent non-tribal type voter who appreciates and understands the necessity of having a ‘golden hour’ life and disability saving service is sure to notice this one and is not going to forget it easily either. The Tories have been presented with a dream like open goal here not that this tragic event come open goal is anything to gloat about. What will Labour move to Cardiff next? Goodbye Mr Caton! Goodbye! Goodbye! Goodbye!
Ladbrokes:
Lab 4/6
Con 11/10
LD 25/1
PC 100/1
The Lib Dems have selected local councillor Mike Day
I was wondering now that Wales has a new First Minister, is it likely that Labour will now get a bounce in Wales please? Any polling evidence of this in Wales?
More recent news needed on this seat but frankly I am predicting a narrow Labour hold.
Lab Hold= 1,000 maj
[...] also: http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/guide/seat-profiles/gower [...]
Lab Hold
Maj 2900
BNP have selected Adrian Jones here
Lab maj 1,000
LAB HOLD