Glasgow South West
2010 Results:
Conservative: 2084 (6.56%)
Labour: 19863 (62.5%)
Liberal Democrat: 2870 (9.03%)
SNP: 5192 (16.34%)
BNP: 841 (2.65%)
TUSC: 931 (2.93%)
Majority: 14671 (46.16%)
2005 Results:
Labour: 18653 (60.2%)
SNP: 4757 (15.4%)
Liberal Democrat: 3593 (11.6%)
Conservative: 1786 (5.8%)
Other: 2188 (7.1%)
Majority: 13896 (44.9%)
Boundary changes prior to 2005 election: Name of seat changed from Glasgow Pollok.
2001 Result
Conservative: 1417 (5.6%)
Labour: 15497 (61.3%)
Liberal Democrat: 1612 (6.4%)
SNP: 4229 (16.7%)
Other: 2522 (10%)
Majority: 11268 (44.6%)
1997 Result
Conservative: 1979 (6%)
Labour: 19653 (59.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 1137 (3.5%)
SNP: 5862 (17.9%)
Referendum: 152 (0.5%)
Other: 4019 (12.3%)
Majority: 13791 (42%)
No Boundary Changes:
Profile:
Current MP: Ian Davidson(Labour) (more information at They work for you)
Maya Forrest (Conservative) Ian Davidson(Labour) (more information at They work for you)Isabel Nelson (Liberal Democrat) Chris Stephens (SNP) David Orr (BNP)
Tommy Sheridan (TUSC) Born 1964, Glasgow. Educated at Lourdes Secondary and Stirling University. Former member of Labour and the Militant Tendency, he was a prominent poll tax rebel and campaigner against Faslane Navel Base, for which he was twice jailed. A leading figure in the creation of the Scottish Socialist party, which he lead from its creation in 1998 until 2004. Shortly after his resignation the News of the World published allegations that Sheridan had attended swingers parties, Sheridan sued for libel and won, despite members of the SSP tesitfying against him. Sheridan subsequently resigned from the SSP and founded a new party, Solidarity. Sheridan has subsequently been charged with perjury in relation to the libel trial, the hearing is expected later in 2009. Glasgow councillor 1992-2003. MSP for Glasgow 1999-2007. Contested Glasgow Pollock 1992, 1997 as Scottish Militant Labour. Contested Scotland 2009 European elections as No2EU.2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 83068
Male: 46.3%
Female: 53.7%
Under 18: 25.2%
Over 60: 21.9%
Born outside UK: 2.9%
White: 97.5%
Asian: 1.6%
Mixed: 0.2%
Other: 0.5%
Christian: 69.3%
Muslim: 1.3%
Graduates 16-74: 9.9%
No Qualifications 16-74: 47.2%
Owner-Occupied: 48.9%
Social Housing: 42.7% (Council: 28.8%, Housing Ass.: 13.9%)
Privately Rented: 3.8%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 18.5%
I agree Dean – although I think he could push the SNP hard for 2nd place here
New Conservative candidate here is Maya Forrest.
“Ian Davidson saw Sheridan off here back in 1992 under older boundaries if I recall correctly, and that we when Sheridan was more…well..sellable frankly…I don;t see any problems for Labour here just due to that old has been.”
In 1992 – Ian Davidson ousted SNP by election victor Jim Sillars in Glasgow Govan. It was in Glasgow Pollok that Tommy Sheridan polled over 6000 (coming second) and slashing the Labour majority by 2 thirds.
Davidson became MP for Glasgow Pollok in 1997 when most of his old Govan seats except for Govan and Ibrox was merged with most of Glasgow Pollok.
The 2005 extension of Pollok to include Govan and Ibrox again ment that Ian Davidson had been MP for Govan for a second time.
BNP have selected David Orr jr here
Interesting story about Heather MacLeod in The Herald saying she was pretty much forced to quit due to “issues” with fellow Conservatives.
Lab Hold= 9,000 maj
Pump – don’t believe everything you read in the Herald! Heather MacLeod did have issues with most other party members, but she quit due to health problems – I know the situation – the health problems are not just an excuse.
Labour
SNP
Conservative
Libdem
Majority – 12000
Lab Hold
Maj 11 600
Neil, I don’t know why -or on what basis – you claim to know Heather MacLeod’s situation.
Heather was the victim of a smear campaign by people (mostly electoral no-hopers) who were trying to take over Social Justice Scotland for their own purposes (supposedly to make it a mouthpiece for Conservative Social Justice policies).
Fiona Houston (PPC Coatbridge) started it – she made allegations about Heather’s business past: she was supported in this by Mike Crow, Director of Communications for the Conservatives in Scotland. If you really knew what was going on, then you’d have heard the allegations behind that story, and about how Fiona behaved in public as a representative of Social Justice Scotland – it is not something which can be written about here, but a bit of Googling should reveal more. Or just look at http://www.libdemvoice.org/heather-macleod-18693.html and at http://glasgowunihumanrights.blogspot.com/2010/04/dear-all-tories-dont-change-they-will.html
Heather has always been open about her past, unlike some of the others involved in this tale.
Hamira Khan (PPC Glasgow East) and Richard “Golden Boy” Cook (East Renfrewshire) jumped on the smear bandwagon. An alliance of the Thatcherite wing and self-serving elements of the Party the made a concerted effort to destroy what was then a centre-right group which was working very much within Cameron’s paradigm.
If – when – the Conservatives lose in Scotland, it will be due less to voter antipathy than to elements within the Party attempting to derail David Cameron’s Social Justice Agenda.
Full List
Ian DAVIDSON (Labour)
Maya FORREST (Conservative)
Isabel NELSON (Lib Dem)
David ORR (BNP)
Tommy SHERIDAN (Solidarity/TUSC)
Chris STEPHENS (SNP)
Lab maj 11,000
Tommy Sheridan gain likely due to meltdown of Labour vote!
Taysider talking through his rear orifice again. LAB HOLD
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Glasgow Southside
Lab 9092
SNP 7877
Con 1887
LD 1477
Nicola S will be defeated here but will be returned as a Glasgow List MSP.
I wonder if Tommy Sheridan will contest this seat again, from his prison cell
“Nicola S will be defeated here but will be returned as a Glasgow List MSP.”
Which shows one of the flaws in the electoral system of the Scottish assembly.
You should stand either by constituency or list but not both.
If so that is also a flaw in the German system in which Helmut Kohl lost his constituency seat in Ludwigshafen in 1998 but retained his seat because of his place on the list. Personally I don;t have a problem with it and it would put a stop to a lot of that decapitation nonsense
But it means that it’s impossible to kick out leading politicians.
And the only nonsense about ‘decapitation’ attempts is that parties keep trying it and thus inefficiently using their own resources.
Has Annabel Goldie ever managed to win an election?
I think the SSP were crazy to get rid of Tommy Sheridan. It would have been like the ILP (Independent Labour Party) ostracising Jimmy (James) Maxton.
I recall when Tommy Sheridan polled over 6000 (20%)in Glasgow Pollok in 1992.
When you consider a third of the constituency was Pollokshields/ Shawlands, then his share of the vote in Greater Pollok would have been in excess of 25%.
Indeed, Scottish Militant Labour took 2 of the 4 council seats in Greater Pollok.
In the 2003 Holyrood elections he took 27% in Glasgow Pollok, but that fell to just 7% on the regional vote in Glasgow Pollok in 2007 (Solidarity did not fight the constituency seat). In 2010 he took just 900 votes in Glasgow South West.
Glasgow Pollok was the last mainland constituency to exist in two detached parts (Greater Pollok (4 wards) and Pollokshields/ Shawlands (1 ward)), and did so till 1997.
From 1983 – 1997 Pollokshieds and Shawlands were like an island almost detached from Greater Pollok.
Glasgow Govan and Glasgow Cathcart touched within the Pollok House Estate effectively dividing the Pollok constituency in two.
I assume the previous constituencies to be in detached parts were abolished in 1983.
East Dunbartonshire (Cumbernauld as detached)
Flintshire East
Morcambe & Lunesdale
Stirling, Falkirk & Grangemouth
Not aware of any others?
Surely the solution to the decapitation and coming back on the list problem is to switch to a one-tier electoral system. Top-up list systems are overcomplicated and undemocratic. Switch to STV!
I’m not sure I would quite say the SSP ‘got rid of’ Sheridan
Certainly a solid labour bastion, this seat even though Sheridan was popular for a while
Glasgow Pollok 2011
Lab 59%
SNP 30%
Con 7%
LD 4%.
Refering back to Annabel Goldie, I’ve mentioned before that I think she should stand in the Eastwood constituency because that would giva a boost to the tories in a marginal seat if the party leader is standing there. And if she fails, she can still get elected on the West of Scotland regional list.
I’ve got no problem with candidates standing in both constituencies and on lists because it does solve the decapitation problem.
“Refering back to Annabel Goldie, I’ve mentioned before that I think she should stand in the Eastwood constituency because that would giva a boost to the tories in a marginal seat if the party leader is standing there. ”
Raymond Robertson’s candidacy in Eastwood in 2001 and Peter Duncan’s candidacy in Dumfries & Galloway in 2005 may have had a detrimental effect – being both candidate and Shadow Scottish Secretary.
The trouble with that, Adam is that you end up either with a situation where an unpopular MP/MSP is defeated by another candidate in a constituency but can bounce back via the list – OR – where a personally popular and capable member loses a seat on a national swing against his/her party while unknown or unremarkable “A Listers” can be parachuted into “dead cert” safe seats and the constituents have little real say in who their representative will be.
STV fixes both these issues. Voters can support and retain popular members of unpopular parties while still switching their support overall to another party – or can continue to support their preferred party while at the same time ditching a useless sitting member or candidate.
Tommy Sheridan jailed for 3 years.
Gail Sheridan not running for S parliament so Galloway gets a free playing field.
If Ian Davidson decides to retire, I wonder what chances of Davena Rankin trying for this seat will be. Tom Harris is Glasgow South is in no way going to retire, but Davidson might
Is this Davina Rankin really so talented that she merits mention in any and every discussion of possibly available Labour seats in the Glasgow area? Or is it just because she is a defector? It isn’t a rhetorical question. It just seems that somebody who was a relatively big fish in a small pond (and I guess Glasgow Tories are a very small pond) doesn’t necessarily become a big fish in a much bigger pond. If she can do so by virtue of the fact she has defected rather than worked her way up through her new party, one is bound to think that this could become the preferred career path of many wannabe Labour MPs – fight a few hopeless seats for an opposition party then defect in a flurry of publicity all giving the impression that one is some kind of major player. Indeed one almost wonders if this wasn’t her plan all along
I don’t know, but I find it odd how someone could want to defect to a party (in either direction) which only recently had 13 years to get it right.
I thought that if Davidson retires, his vacant seat can be used to fit all other Glasgow current MPs after the abolition of a seat
“I don’t know, but I find it odd how someone could want to defect to a party (in either direction) which only recently had 13 years to get it right.”
Two thoughts: firstly, Labour hasn’t been in power in Scotland since 2007. Secondly, the national party has a new leader and (potentially) a new direction – we shall see. Somebody might want to be a part of determining the future of the party, which should be rather easier to do now they are out of office.
Although one factor might have been that 2010 was the best result for the Tories in over a decade, yet they still didn’t make an impact in Glasgow – somebody might decide that they’d rather be a member of a party more likely to secure them a seat.
Without wishing to be too unwelcoming to Davena Rankin, I can’t help but agree with Pete on this one. Glasgow Labour Party has some more noteworthy figures than her and there must be any number of longer-standing comrades who would be likelier than she is to be selected for any vacant safe Labour seat. Andrea is also correct however, by the looks of it.
Labour Cllr Irfan Rabani here has defected to the SNP. Apologies if I have misspelt his surname, but I found 3 different spellings online.
He’s one of the many Labour Cllrs deselected (many of them simply not placed on the new aproved candidates’ list)
And I believe he’s standing down in May anyway isn’t he? Making his defection to the SNP entirely honourable.
“And I believe he’s standing down in May anyway isn’t he?”
yes, SNP has already selected all their candidates in Glasgow